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Updated game-by-game predictions for Wisconsin basketball after its loss to Michigan

Wisconsin basketball is in the middle of a lengthy slump.

The team entered February riding high, sitting at 16-4 overall and 8-1 in Big Ten play. Since then, the Badgers are 0-3 with a blown a 19-point lead on the road at Nebraska, a tight loss to No. 2 Purdue and a back-breaking loss on the road to Michigan.

Greg Gard’s team is now 16-7 (8-4 Big Ten), sits two games behind Purdue for first place in the conference and falling to a 3-seed in most bracket projections.

Related: Wisconsin social media reacts to crushing loss to last-place Michigan

To say a win on the road at Rutgers tomorrow is necessary would be a gigantic understatement.

ESPN Basketball Power Index forecasts that matchup, plus the rest on the Badgers schedule before postseason play begins. Here are the odds for each game, plus Wisconsin’s final projected win total:

February 10 at Rutgers

Feb 4, 2023; New York, New York, USA; The Rutgers Scarlet Knights mascot, Sir Henry, celebrates during the second half often game between the Scarlet Knights and the Michigan State Spartans at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 4, 2023; New York, New York, USA; The Rutgers Scarlet Knights mascot, Sir Henry, celebrates during the second half often game between the Scarlet Knights and the Michigan State Spartans at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 62.2% Wisconsin wins

Rutgers BPI Rank: No. 99

Rutgers 2023-24 record: 12-10 (4-7 Big Ten)

February 13 vs Ohio State

Feb 6, 2024; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes head coach Chris Holtmann talks to his team during the second half of the men’s basketball game against the Indiana Hoosiers at Value City Arena. Ohio State lost 76-73. Credit: Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch-USA TODAY NETWORK
Feb 6, 2024; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes head coach Chris Holtmann talks to his team during the second half of the men’s basketball game against the Indiana Hoosiers at Value City Arena. Ohio State lost 76-73. Credit: Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch-USA TODAY NETWORK

Matchup predictor: 85.9% Wisconsin wins

Ohio State BPI Rank: No. 69

Ohio State 2023-24 record: 13-10 (3-9 Big Ten)

February 17 at Iowa

Dec 11, 2022; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; Iowa Hawkeyes head coach Fran McCaffery reacts with an official during the first half against the Wisconsin Badgers at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 11, 2022; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; Iowa Hawkeyes head coach Fran McCaffery reacts with an official during the first half against the Wisconsin Badgers at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 59.9% Wisconsin wins

Iowa BPI Rank: No. 48

Iowa 2023-24 record: 13-10 (5-7 Big Ten)

February 20 vs Maryland

Jan 27, 2024; College Park, Maryland, USA; Maryland Terrapins head coach Kevin Willard reacts during the first half against the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Xfinity Center. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 27, 2024; College Park, Maryland, USA; Maryland Terrapins head coach Kevin Willard reacts during the first half against the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Xfinity Center. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 86.3% Wisconsin wins

Maryland BPI Rank: No. 66

Maryland 2023-24 record: 13-10 (5-7 Big Ten)

February 27 at Indiana

Jan 19, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers forward Carter Gilmore (14) sets a screen as Wisconsin Badgers guard John Blackwell (25) is fouled by Indiana Hoosiers guard Trey Galloway (32) during the first half at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 19, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers forward Carter Gilmore (14) sets a screen as Wisconsin Badgers guard John Blackwell (25) is fouled by Indiana Hoosiers guard Trey Galloway (32) during the first half at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 73.4% Wisconsin wins

Indiana BPI Rank: No. 101

Indiana 2023-24 record: 14-9 (6-6 Big Ten)

March 2 vs Illinois

Feb 1, 2024; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Teammates react to a shot from Illinois Fighting Illini guard Terrence Shannon Jr. (0) during the second half of the NCAA men’s basketball game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Value City Arena. Ohio State lost 87-75.
Feb 1, 2024; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Teammates react to a shot from Illinois Fighting Illini guard Terrence Shannon Jr. (0) during the second half of the NCAA men’s basketball game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Value City Arena. Ohio State lost 87-75.

Matchup predictor: 59.2% Wisconsin wins

Illinois BPI Rank: No. 12

Illinois 2023-24 record: 17-5 (8-3 Big Ten)

March 7 vs Rutgers

Feb 18, 2023; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights center Clifford Omoruyi (11) and guard Cam Spencer (10) celebrate the Scarlet Knights 58-57 win over the Wisconsin Badgers at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 18, 2023; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights center Clifford Omoruyi (11) and guard Cam Spencer (10) celebrate the Scarlet Knights 58-57 win over the Wisconsin Badgers at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 91.1% Wisconsin wins

Rutgers BPI Rank: No. 99

Rutgers 2023-24 record: 12-10 (4-7 Big Ten)

March 10 at Purdue

Feb 4, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Purdue’s Zach Edey (15) is swamped by Wisconsin forward Tyler Wahl (5) and forward Steven Crowl (22) during the first half at Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 4, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Purdue’s Zach Edey (15) is swamped by Wisconsin forward Tyler Wahl (5) and forward Steven Crowl (22) during the first half at Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 85.8% Purdue wins

Purdue BPI Rank: No. 2

Purdue 2023-24 record: 21-2 (10-2 Big Ten)

Overall

Feb 4, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers head coach Greg Gard talks with his players during the second half against the Purdue Boilermakers at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 4, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers head coach Greg Gard talks with his players during the second half against the Purdue Boilermakers at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports

FPI Rank: 17

Projected W-L: 21.3-9.7 (13.3-6.7 Big Ten)

% Chance Wisconsin wins Big Ten: 2.3

Story originally appeared on Badgers Wire