NFL Week 4 predictions: ESPN Matchup Predictor's picks, win probabilities for games
Which NFL teams have the best chances of winning their games on the NFL Week 4 schedule?
ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the 16 games in the league this week, and they offer some interesting win probabilities.
Take a look at the site's picks for this week's NFL games, beginning with the Thursday Night Football showdown between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers.
Some of the site's predictions differ from NFL Week 4 odds and other NFL Week 4 picks for the Week 4 NFL schedule.
How correct will the analytics be this week?
Click on each game for more NFL Week 4 predictions for that matchup. All times MST.
NFL Week 4 picks: Lions at Packers | Falcons at Jaguars | Dolphins at Bills | Vikings at Panthers | Broncos at Bears | Ravens at Browns | Steelers at Texans | Rams at Colts | Buccaneers at Saints | Commanders at Eagles | Bengals at Titans | Raiders at Chargers | Patriots at Cowboys | Cardinals at 49ers | Chiefs at Jets | Seahawks at Giants
Thursday Night Football prediction
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers, 5:15 p.m., Amazon Prime Video (stream with Amazon Prime Video)
Lions have a 53.7% chance to beat the Packers on Thursday Night Football.
The site gives the Packers a 45.9% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
More: What channel is Thursday Night Football on? Here's who's playing and how to watch, stream
NFL power rankings Week 4: Raising Arizona, dropping Dallas after Cardinals' shocking win
Sunday game in London prediction
Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 6:30 a.m., ESPN Plus (streaming information).
Jaguars have a 52.3% chance to beat the Falcons on Sunday.
The site gives the Falcons a 47.3% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
NOTE: Every Sunday and Monday NFL game below can be streamed locally on FUBO, click here for a free trial
Sunday early football games predictions
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Dolphins have a 51% chance to beat the Bills on Sunday.
The site gives the Bills a 48.6% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Vikings have a 63.9% chance to beat the Panthers on Sunday.
The site gives the Panthers a 35.8% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Broncos have a 52.8% chance to beat the Bears on Sunday.
The site gives the Bears a 46.9% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Ravens have a 53.7% chance to beat the Browns on Sunday.
The site gives the Browns a 45.9% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Houston Texans, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Steelers have a 58.7% chance to beat the Texans on Sunday.
The site gives the Texans a 41% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
Los Angeles Rams at Indianapolis Colts, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Rams have a 55.9% chance to beat the Colts on Sunday.
The site gives the Colts a 43.8% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Saints have a 54.9% chance to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday.
The site gives the Buccaneers a 44.7% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Eagles have a 76.5% chance to beat the Commanders on Sunday.
The site gives the Commanders a 23.3% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Bengals have a 60.8% chance to beat the Titans on Sunday.
The site gives the Titans a 38.9% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
NFL Week 4 schedule: Television channels, how to watch, stream games
Sunday late football games predictions
Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers, 1:05 p.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Chargers have a 74.6% chance to beat the Raiders on Sunday.
The site gives the Raiders a 25.2% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys, 1:25 p.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Cowboys have a 68.6% chance to beat the Patriots on Sunday.
The site gives the Patriots a 31.2% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers, 1:25 p.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
49ers have an 87.3% chance to beat the Cardinals on Sunday.
The site gives the Cardinals a 12.6% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
NFL Week 4 odds: Point spreads, moneylines, over/unders for betting on games
Sunday Night Football prediction
Kansas City Chiefs at New York Jets, 5:20 p.m., NBC (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Chiefs have a 74.1% chance to beat the Jets on Sunday Night Football.
The site gives the Jets a 25.7% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
NFL Week 4 announcers: Television broadcasters, announcing crews for Week 4 NFL schedule
Monday Night Football prediction
Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants 5:15 p.m., ABC, ESPN, ESPN2 (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Seahawks have a 57% chance to beat the Giants on Sunday.
The site gives the Giants a 42.7% shot at winning the Week 4 NFL game.
NFL Week 4 picks, predictions: Lions at Packers, Dolphins at Bills among must-see games
We occasionally recommend interesting products and services. If you make a purchase by clicking one of the links, we may earn an affiliate fee. USA TODAY Network newsrooms operate independently, and this doesn’t influence our coverage.
NFL's highest paid players in 2023: Quarterbacks | Running backs | Wide receivers | Tight ends | Cornerbacks | Safeties | Linebackers | O-linemen | D-linemen | Edge rushers | Highest paid players: Overall | By position | By team
Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
Support local journalism: Subscribe to azcentral.com today.
This article originally appeared on Arizona Republic: NFL Week 4 predictions, win probabilities from ESPN Matchup Predictor
