The win probability for the final two regular season games

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·2 min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

Despite losing five of the last six games, there is still some hope for the LSU Football team. The lone win came against a team in the Florida Gators that struggled with Samford on Saturday. Not going to style point that win since they have been hard to come by this year.

This week the Tigers get a break in the schedule, the UL-Monroe Warhawks are the first team since they played Mississippi State in late September that wasn’t ranked. It has been a rough string of games for LSU.

The team has to focus on ignoring how they got here and go 1-0 on Saturday. They will then close out the regular season against Texas A&M in the final home game of the Ed Orgeron era. Can they find a way to get into the postseason?

We breakdown how ESPN’s Football Power Index sees it:

vs UL-Monroe

Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

Win Probability: 97.1%

This should be an easy victory for the LSU Tigers but let’s be honest nothing has come easy for the Bayou Bengals this season. They are now 4-6 and need some late-season magic to avoid their first losing season in over 20 years. That should start against the Warhawks on Saturday night in Death Valley.

Projected Record: 5-6

What about the season finale?

vs Texas A&M

Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

Win Probability: 43%

A huge game for both teams in the season finale. The Aggies’ hopes for the SEC West crown and a New Years Six bowl are now all but lost. This game can only help their bowl game selection. For LSU, it means avoiding the first losing season since 1999 and getting to a bowl game after the self-imposed bowl ban last year. According to the FPI, it doesn’t look too promising for the Tigers.

Projected Record: 5-7