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UFC 292 predictions: Who’s picking upsets in the two title fights in Boston?

The UFC is back in one of the most historic cities in the country this week with a paid of title fights at the top of the bill.

UFC 292 takes place Saturday at TD Garden in Boston. The main card airs on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPN and early prelims on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

Get pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Pedro Munhoz vs. Marlon Vera

Marlon Vera
Marlon Vera

Records: Pedro Munhoz (20-7 MMA, 10-7 UFC), Marlon Vera (20-8-1 MMA, 14-7 UFC)
Division: Bantamweight
Betting odds: Vera -200, Munhoz +165
Junkie pick results: Vera 9, Munhoz 2

Mario Bautista vs. Da'Mon Blackshear

Mario Bautista
Mario Bautista

Records: Mario Bautista (12-2 MMA, 6-2 UFC), Da’Mon Blackshear (14-5-1 MMA, 2-1-1 UFC)
Division: Bantamweight
Betting odds: Bautista -220, Blackshear +180
Junkie pick results: Bautista 9, Blackshear 1 (1 no-pick)

Ian Machado Garry vs. Neil Magny

Ian Machado Garry
Ian Machado Garry

Records: Ian Machado Garry (12-0 MMA, 5-0 UFC), Neil Magny (28-10 MMA, 21-9 UFC)
Division: Welterweight
Betting odds: Garry -485, Magny +370
Junkie pick results: Garry 11, Magny 0

Zhang Weili vs. Amanda Lemos

Zhang Weili
Zhang Weili

Records: Zhang Weili (23-3 MMA, 7-2 UFC), Amanda Lemos (13-2-1 MMA, 7-2 UFC)
Division: Women’s strawweight
Betting odds: Weili -310, Lemos +250
Junkie pick results: Weili 10, Lemos 1

Aljamain Sterling vs. Sean O'Malley

Aljamain Sterling
Aljamain Sterling

Records: Aljamain Sterling (23-3 MMA, 15-3 UFC), Sean O’Malley (16-1 MMA, 8-1 UFC)
Division: Bantamweight
Betting odds: Sterling -260, O’Malley +210
Junkie pick results: Sterling 9, O’Malley 2

Preliminary card picks

Although fights on the prelims don’t count toward the standings in the MMA Junkie staff picks, we still pick each fight. Here are some key results:

UFC 292 is the most blowout-heavy full card of staff picks in MMA Junkie history. The 12 fights on the card had an average vote tally of 10-1, including four shutouts.

Brad Tavares
Brad Tavares

Gregory Rodrigues (13-5 MMA, 4-2 UFC) is the second biggest favorite on the entire card in his middleweight bout against Denis Tiuliulin (11-7 MMA, 1-2 UFC), and he’s one of the four unanimous picks.

Along with Ian Garry on the main card, the other two unanimous picks are Kurt Holobaugh (19-7 MMA, 0-4 UFC) in his “TUF 31” lightweight final against Austin Hubbard (15-6 MMA, 3-4 UFC) and Andre Petroski (9-2 MMA, 4-0 UFC) in his middleweight bout against Gerald Meerschaert (35-16 MMA, 10-8 UFC).

The closest fight from a picking standpoint still is a blowout at 8-3 for Brad Tavares (19-9 MMA, 14-8 UFC) against former middleweight champ Chris Weidman (15-6 MMA, 11-6 UFC), who is returning from a layoff of more than two years due to a broken leg.

Check out all the playoff picks below.

UFC 292 main card picks

Sterling
vs.
O’Malley

Weili
vs.
Lemos

Garry
vs.
Magny

Bautista
vs.
Blackshear

Munhoz
vs.
Vera

MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
132-85

sterling2023


Sterling
(63%)

weili2023


Weili
(83%)

garry2023


Garry
(77%)

bautista2023


Bautista
(65%)

vera2023


Vera
(82%)

Nolan King
@mma_kings
134-83

sterling2023


Sterling

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

bautista2023


Bautista

vera2023


Vera

Simon Samano
@SJSamano
132-85

omalley2023


O’Malley

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

bautista2023


Bautista

vera2023


Vera

Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
131-86

trophy copy

2018, 2022 Champion

sterling2023


Sterling

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

bautista2023


Bautista

vera2023


Vera

Matt Erickson
@MattE
130-87

omalley2023


O’Malley

lemos2023


Lemos

garry2023


Garry

blackshear2023


Blackshear

vera2023


Vera

George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
130-87

sterling2023


Sterling

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

bautista2023


Bautista

munhoz2023


Munhoz

Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
128-89

trophy copy

2014 Champion

sterling2023


Sterling

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

bautista2023


Bautista

vera2023


Vera

Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
127-90

sterling2023


Sterling

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

bautista2023


Bautista

vera2023


Vera

Brian Garcia
@thegoze
125-92

trophy copy

2017 Champion

sterling2023


Sterling

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

bautista2023


Bautista

vera2023


Vera

Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
125-92

sterling2023


Sterling

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

bautista2023


Bautista

munhoz2023


Munhoz

Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
122-95

sterling2023


Sterling

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

bautista2023


Bautista

vera2023


Vera

Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
120-97

sterling2023


Sterling

weili2023


Weili

garry2023


Garry

nopick2023


N/A

vera2023


Vera

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 292.

Story originally appeared on MMA Junkie