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A Sliding Share Price Has Us Looking At Bunzl plc's (LON:BNZL) P/E Ratio

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Bunzl (LON:BNZL) share price has dived 34% in the last thirty days. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

See our latest analysis for Bunzl

How Does Bunzl's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 12.19 that there is some investor optimism about Bunzl. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (10.2) for companies in the trade distributors industry is lower than Bunzl's P/E.

LSE:BNZL Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 19th 2020
LSE:BNZL Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 19th 2020

That means that the market expects Bunzl will outperform other companies in its industry. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

Bunzl's earnings per share grew by 6.4% in the last twelve months. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 10% per year over the last five years.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Bunzl's Balance Sheet

Bunzl's net debt equates to 30% of its market capitalization. You'd want to be aware of this fact, but it doesn't bother us.

The Bottom Line On Bunzl's P/E Ratio

Bunzl's P/E is 12.2 which is above average (11.2) in its market. With debt at prudent levels and improving earnings, it's fair to say the market expects steady progress in the future. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become significantly less optimistic about Bunzl over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 18.5 back then to 12.2 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.