Who will win the Premier League? Predicting the title race, analysis on remaining games

The Premier League title race is a remarkable three-horse race until the very end, as we enter the final stretch of the 2023-24 season.

But, who will win it all?

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Reigning champs Manchester City are back to their best but sit in third, while injury-hit Liverpool are level on points with surging Arsenal but the Gunners are top on goal difference and their recent charge has made things even more interesting with 10 games to go.

I guess we can still call Aston Villa and Tottenham outside title contenders but a lot would have to go in their favor for either of that duo to win it all.

[ MORE: Latest Premier League table ]

Below we focus on the current top three in the Premier League and predict the points they will get and how it will all pan out between now and the final day on May 19.


Current position: 1st
Current points: 64 points
Games remaining: Chelsea (H), Manchester City (A), Luton Town (H), Brighton (A), Aston Villa (H), Wolves (A), Tottenham (A), Bournemouth (H), Manchester United (A), Everton (H)

Predicted points: 88 points

Mikel Arteta's side are a different animal to last season. They are enjoying the title race this time, and in first after beating Brentford before Liverpool and Man City drew in the big one on Sunday. Arsenal have learned how to control games and they've mirrored Manchester City in kicking on and being more ruthless as soon as spring is threatening to arrive in England. They do have some very tricky games to negotiate with Chelsea, Manchester City, Brighton, Aston Villa, Wolves, Tottenham and Manchester United still on the fixture list. There's nothing Arsenal will be scared of but in reality they can't afford to drop points in more than two of their final 10 games. They're going to be right there until the final week of the season and how far they go in the Champions League will also impact their title hopes. The only issue is that Arsenal's squad isn't strong enough to withstand an injury to a key player like Bukayo Saka, Declan Rice or Martin Odegaard, while City and Liverpool have more depth and experience. If Arsenal stay healthy it will go down to the final game of the season.


Current position: 2nd
Current points: 64 points
Games remaining: Everton (A), Brighton (H), Sheffield United (H), Manchester United (A), Crystal Palace (H), Fulham (A), West Ham (A), Tottenham (H), Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H)

Predicted points: 90 points

Yes, injuries (and plenty of 'em) will hamper Liverpool's title push but they have the easiest remaining schedule out of the three contenders. The only games you can see them dropping points in are against Manchester United, Tottenham and maybe Aston Villa. That's it. As long as the injury problems calm down, which they are now, and fringe players keep stepping up, then Jurgen Klopp looks set to get the perfect ending to his Liverpool career. But it will go down to the wire.

Manchester City

Current position: 3rd
Current points: 63 points
Games remaining: Brighton (A), Arsenal (H), Aston Villa (H), Crystal Palace (A), Luton Town (H), Tottenham (A), Nottingham Forest (A), Wolves (H), Fulham (A), West Ham (H)

Predicted points: 89 points

We all know City are a juggernaut and at this time of the season they kick on, plus they're chasing a double-treble for goodness sake. That said, they are looking very susceptible on the counter attack and Erling Haaland isn't quite as clinical as he was last season. That will probably lead to a few more draws in their final 10 games and they have a tricky run coming up in March/early April that will define their season. After drawing at Liverpool, Brighton, Arsenal and Aston Villa is a heck of a run of three games and City know they'll have to win all three of those games to put themselves in a commanding position. It is so tight and their home game against Arsenal on March 31 looks like it will be pivotal.

And the winner will be...

Liverpool! Okay, this prediction will likely change on a weekly basis between now and May 19 but you can't look past three things when it comes to Liverpool's title push: 1) Mohamed Salah is back and should soon be firing on all cylinders. 2) Liverpool have the easiest remaining schedule and City have to host Arsenal at home. 3) Klopp is leaving and his players, and everyone at the club, will do whatever they can do make it an incredible farewell.

But, injuries are having an impact on Liverpool who are still in three competitions. Is their squad depth enough to get past Man City and Arsenal to win the title? While City and Arsenal are still in the Champions league and that will have a big impact on their final months of the season too if they make it to the semifinals or beyond.