ESPN FPI updates Michigan football game-by-game predictions after Week 1
For every future opponent for Michigan football, Week 1 is in the books. And now we have a better idea of what to expect going forward.
Though teams will certainly either improve or regress as the season wears on and there are still a lot of questions in Ann Arbor when it comes to the quarterback battle, the defense was impressive against a Colorado State team that was thought to be improved under new head coach Jay Norvell. However, a lot of teams on Michigan’s schedule really eked out their games in the first week of the season. MSU struggled to get past Western Michigan, Iowa had no offense against South Dakota State, even Ohio State didn’t field the explosive offense anticipated against Notre Dame.
ESPN FPI is an advanced analytics algorithm that predicts who will win each game, and Michigan’s chances went up in every game but one. The odd thing? The team that now fares a better chance against the Wolverines is one that lost in Week 1.
Check out the odds for each remaining game on the schedule below.
Week 2: Hawaii
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Chances of Michigan winning: 99.7%
Previously: 98%
Week 3: UConn
Photo: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports
Chances of Michigan winning: 99.1%
Previously: 99.1%
Week 4: Maryland
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Chances of Michigan winning: 85.5%
Previously: 82.6%
Week 5: at Iowa
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Chances of Michigan winning: 83.9%
Previously: 70%
Week 6: at Indiana
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Chances of Michigan winning: 88.3%
Previously: 85.9%
Week 7: Penn State
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Chances of Michigan winning: 73%
Previously: 66.9%
Week 9: Michigan State
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Chances of Michigan winning: 74.8%
Previously: 69.5%
Week 10: at Rutgers
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Chances of Michigan winning: 89.3%
Previously: 88.6%
Week 11: Nebraska
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Chances of Michigan winning: 89.8%
Previously: 80%
Week 12: Illinois
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Chances of Michigan winning: 91.3%
Previously: 93.1%
Week 13: at Ohio State
Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Chances of Michigan winning: 19.7%
Previously: 15.2%
