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Detroit Lions 2024 schedule release: Dave Birkett's game-by-game predictions

The Detroit Lions are coming off a 12-win season and NFC championship game appearance, and they are poised to be even better this fall. Maybe not record-wise, with a first-place schedule, an early-season bye and three sets of back-to-back road games. But they have a better roster top-to-bottom and a chance to go deeper in the playoffs.

Here’s my way-too-early game-by-game prediction of how the Lions will fare in 2024.

Week 1: vs. Los Angeles Rams, 8:20 p.m., Sept. 8, NBC

The atmosphere for this game won’t be nearly as electric as when the teams met in the first round of the playoffs in January, but the “Ja-red Goff” chants will be just as loud. Pick: Lions 28, Rams 24.

Week 2: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1 p.m. Sept. 15, Fox

If the bullseye on their back wasn’t big enough, the Lions open with back-to-back games against teams they beat in the playoffs in January. Pick: Bucs 21, Lions 20.

Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs gets upended on a tackle by Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerback Carlton Davis III during the second half in the playoff game at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs gets upended on a tackle by Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerback Carlton Davis III during the second half in the playoff game at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.

Week 3: at Arizona Cardinals, 4:25 p.m. Sept. 22, Fox

Looking forward to that early-season rookie showdown between Terrion Arnold and Marvin Harrison Jr. Pick: Lions 31, Cardinals 20.

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Week 4: vs. Seattle Seahawks, 8:15 p.m. Sept. 30, ABC

The Seahawks have scored 51, 48 and 37 points against Aaron Glenn’s defenses the past three years. None of those games were Monday night tilts at Ford Field. Pick: Lions 34, Seahawks 24.

Week 6: at Dallas Cowboys, 4:25 p.m. Oct. 13, Fox

Coming off a bye week, you know Ben Johnson will have something clever dialed up for Taylor Decker and/or Dan Skipper this game. Pick: Cowboys 24, Lions 23.

Lions running back David Montgomery celebrates a touchdown against the Cowboys with quarterback Jared Goff during the second half of the Lions' 20-19 loss at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas on Saturday, Dec. 30, 2023.
Lions running back David Montgomery celebrates a touchdown against the Cowboys with quarterback Jared Goff during the second half of the Lions' 20-19 loss at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas on Saturday, Dec. 30, 2023.

Week 7: at Minnesota Vikings, 1 p.m. Oct. 20, Fox

I think J.J. McCarthy will have a nice career in Minnesota, but he’s headed for some growing pains as a rookie. Pick: Lions 20, Vikings 17.

Week 8: vs. Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. Oct. 27, Fox

The Lions play the entire AFC south in a five-week span in October and November. Pick: Lions 31, Titans 14.

Week 9: at Green Bay Packers, 4:25 p.m. Nov. 3, Fox

I’ve got the Lions winning the division again, but losing to Jordan Love at Lambeau Field. Pick: Packers 23, Lions 20.

Week 10: at Houston Texans, 8:20 p.m. Nov. 10, NBC

C.J. Stroud couldn’t beat Michigan. Maybe he’ll fare better against the Lions. Pick: Texans 34, Lions 27.

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Week 11: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. Nov. 17, CBS

Think Jacksonville regrets taking Travon Walker over Aidan Hutchinson yet? Pick: Lions 34, Jaguars 24.

Week 12: at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. Nov. 24, Fox

If Anthony Richardson stays healthy, I think the Colts challenge for a playoff spot in the AFC. Pick: Lions 28, Colts 27.

Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams is tackled by Bears linebacker Micah Baskerville during the second quarter on Sunday, Dec. 10, 2023, in Chicago.
Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams is tackled by Bears linebacker Micah Baskerville during the second quarter on Sunday, Dec. 10, 2023, in Chicago.

Week 13: vs. Chicago Bears, 12:30 p.m. Nov. 28, CBS

The Lions have lost seven straight on Thanksgiving, and three of those losses have come against the Bears. Pick: Lions 31, Bears 21.

Week 14: vs. Green Bay Packers, 8:15 p.m. Dec. 5, 8:15 p.m., Amazon Prime

Back-to-back Thursday games gives the Lions a mini-bye heading into the homestretch. Pick: Lions 28, Packers 20.

Week 15: vs. Buffalo Bills, 4:25 p.m. Dec. 15, CBS

The Lions almost beat the Bills two years ago when Buffalo was good. They’re Josh Allen and a whole lot of mediocre now. Pick: Lions 35, Bills 24.

Week 16: at Chicago Bears, 1 p.m. Dec. 22, Fox

If Caleb Williams is halfway decent, the Bears will be an NFC contender before long. Pick: Bears 26, Lions 21.

Dan Campbell watches warmups before the NFC divisional playoff game between the Lions and Buccaneers at Ford Field on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
Dan Campbell watches warmups before the NFC divisional playoff game between the Lions and Buccaneers at Ford Field on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.

Week 17: at San Francisco 49ers, 8:15 p.m. Dec. 30, ESPN/ABC

Winner gets the No. 1 seed in the NFC? Pick: 49ers 27, Lions 24.

Week 18: vs. Minnesota Vikings, time and date TBA, TV TBA

Lions-Packers or Lions-Bears would have been a more compelling season finale. Maybe the league figures the division will be locked up by then. Pick: Lions 28, Vikings 17.

Final record: 11-6.

Contact Dave Birkett at dbirkett@freepress.com. Follow him on X and Instagram at @davebirkett.

This article originally appeared on Detroit Free Press: NFL schedule release: Why Detroit Lions will go 11-6 in way-too-early