2024 Masters betting: Scottie Scheffler leads by just one but is a huge favorite entering the final round

AUGUSTA, GEORGIA - APRIL 13: Scottie Scheffler of the United States reacts after making birdie on the 18th green during the third round of the 2024 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club on April 13, 2024 in Augusta, Georgia. (Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images)
Scottie Scheffler birdied No. 18 on Saturday to grab a one-shot lead ahead of the final round of the Masters. (Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images)

It’s Scottie Scheffler’s Masters to lose Sunday.

The 2022 Masters champion and runaway pre-tournament favorite has a one-shot lead over Collin Morikawa heading into the final round of the 2024 tournament and is at better than even money to win his second green jacket. Scheffler has odds of -120 at BetMGM after he birdied 18 to shoot a 71 on Saturday.

Scheffler was in the penultimate group of the day Saturday and had an up-and-down round. But he steadied himself after a double-bogey on No. 10 and a bogey on No. 11 to go 3-under over the final six holes. Scheffler eagled the par-5 13th and bounced back with the birdie to close out his round following a bogey on No. 17.

Morikawa shot 3-under 69 on Saturday as he moved from three shots off the lead to just one back. Morikawa birdied his first three holes of the day before closing the round with 10 consecutive pars.

Morikawa is the No. 2 favorite to win the tournament at +350, ahead of Max Homa at +750 and Ludvig Aberg at +850.

Homa and Aberg will be in the next-to-last group Sunday ahead of Scheffler and Morikawa. Homa shot a 73 with 17 pars and one bogey on Saturday, while Aberg was 6-under through 13 holes before back-to-back bogeys on Nos. 14 and 15 to drop to 4-under at the end of the day.

Second-round co-leader Bryson DeChambeau shot a 75 following a rough back nine. DeChambeau chunked a wedge into the water on No. 15 that led to a double bogey and then three-putted No. 16 for a bogey. Things could have been worse, however. After hitting his drive into the trees on the right on No. 18, DeChambeau punched out and then holed his wedge into the green for a closing birdie.

That shot was a huge swing in the betting odds. It dropped DeChambeau’s odds to win the tournament from +4000 to +2000.

Xander Schauffele at +3000 is the only other player with realistic odds of winning the tournament. Schauffele is five shots back of Scheffler after a bogey-free 2-under round of 70 on Saturday.

Masters odds entering Round 4

  • Scottie Scheffler (-120)

  • Collin Morikawa (+350)

  • Max Homa (+750)

  • Ludvig Aberg (+850)

  • Bryson DeChambeau (+2000)

  • Xander Schauffele (+3000)

  • Cam Smith (+8000)

  • Tommy Fleetwood (+8000)

  • Cameron Young (+10000)

  • Nicolai Hojgaard (+10000)

  • Cameron Davis (+10000)