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Week 14 Over/Under: Will Denver continue to Deck the halls?

Brad Evans
Roto Arcade

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Eric Decker, the ultimate king of inconsistency. (USAT)

Fantasy is a speculative game. Predict the future, and you look like a genius. Don't, and you're painfully human. Gazing into the crystal ball, here's our view on 10 intriguing over/unders this week.

Rollercoaster ride, Eric Decker, off a 47-point fantasy effort in standard Yahoo leagues, receiving yards Week 14 in a cold, potentially snowy clash with Tennessee 79.5

Brad – UNDER. Decker rarely strings together standout performances. The man is the essence of boom/bust. Expected to draw the unyielding duo of Verner/McCourty in coverage and given Peyton Manning's historical struggles gripping the football in cold weather (Game time temps are expected to be in the low-20s), he'll be luck to cross the 60-yard mark, let alone 80.

Brandon – UNDER. If he goes over this number, he'd be only the fourth receiver to do so against Tennessee this season. And Decker has only gone over this number twice in the past seven games.

Scott – UNDER. They key is to see Decker through his seasonal resume, not his Week 13 explosion. He's a lower-end WR2, but some deep teams might be justified in benching him.

Robert Griffin III, arguably the hardest to predict passer on a week-in, week-out basis, combined yards against spiraling Kansas City 299.5

Brandon – UNDER. I have a feeling KC will come up with a strong defensive effort in this one, and I think QB Alex Smith and company will be able to execute a ball-control game plan that will keep RGIII off the field more often than not. I'm guessing he'll still finish close to this number, just slightly under.

Scott – UNDER. I don't trust Griffin's coaching staff or targets, and he's not the most accurate passer to begin with. I'm merely glad we don't have to watch another bloody Washington game on National TV this week.

Dalton – OVER. Washington's terrible defense really helps his cause here, as does a KC defense that has just two sacks over its past five games and has allowed the third-most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks this season. This game should be fairly high scoring.

C.J. Spiller, possibly in the midst of a resurgence after torching Atlanta for 157 total yards and a touchdown, total yards against the Bucs 99.5

Scott – UNDER. It's a time share with the Bills, as we all know, and I've seen too many shots of Spiller hobbling to the sidelines with a fresh injury. It's very difficult to bet on a full game here.

Dalton – UNDER. It took a long run (77 yards) for him to reach this total last week, as Spiller has been ignored in the passing game all season and still shares touches with Fred Jackson. Moreover, Spiller appeared to tweak his ankle injury in the second half and now faces a Bucs team playing far better right now than they were over the first half of the year.

Andy – OVER. Lately with Spiller, you either get 140 total yards or you get 30. There is no middle ground. Last week, he looked like his usual shifty, uncontainable self, so I'm betting on another useful stat line.

Hot waiver add Ladarius Green, who has drawn 16 targets the past three weeks, receiving yards versus the G-Men 64.5

Dalton – OVER. He's topped this mark in two of the past three weeks and should only continue to be a bigger part of the offense, as Green sure looks like a future star when it comes to the eye test. This game should be a shootout, and it's not like the Giants have exactly shut down tight ends this season.

Andy – OVER, but probably not by a lot. It's not as if 16 targets in three games is high-volume. I'd bet Green finds the end zone again, however.

Brad – OVER. The athletic marvel saw 91-percent of the club's snaps last week. Considering his growing role, 67.7 yards per game average over the past three weeks and plus matchup, he's a strong candidate to tally 70-plus yards in front of the home crowd.

Record-setter Josh Gordon, expected to draw Aqib Talib and with Caleb Hanie in the mix to start, receiving yards at New England 99.5

Andy – OVER. Jason Campbell is back at practice, and the Browns will clearly need to throw early and often against New England. Gordon owners have little to fear.

Brad – UNDER. No question, Gordon is in another dimension. He's been highly productive with three different mediocre quarterbacks. I still think he'll be top-12 material, but the proposed total is a hefty number against one of the league's stingiest corners. Talib has allowed a 55.6 QB rating to his assignments. Expect him to finish in range of 5-90-1.

Brandon – OVER. Flash has gone well over this number in six of his 10 games, and I'm guessing that Jason Campbell will clear his concussion tests and be able to start at QB for Cleveland. If it truly does end up being Hanie behind center, all bets are off for Gordon.

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PT and Sproles could have active hands vs. CAR (USAT)

Sunday marquee matchup, Carolina at New Orleans, features a Panthers defense that's surrendered the third-most receptions to running backs. Combined catches for Darren Sproles and Pierre Thomas 13.5

Brad – OVER. The perimeter is where you attack the Panthers. Translation, the Saints' screen game will click Sunday night. On the year, Carolina has surrendered 6.5 receptions per game to the position. That's nearly half the proposed number, but New Orleans' reliance on dump-offs to Sproles and PT should push the pair into the 14-16 catch range.

Brandon – OVER. Carolina has allowed the third-most receptions to RBs, and the last time Sproles faced the Panthers, he has 13 catches by himself. I expect 15-plus grabs for the Saints' backfield duo.

Scott – OVER. We all know what Sproles can do in this capacity and Thomas might be the most sure-handed back in the league right now. And given the erratic play Drew Brees is getting from his wide receivers, the horizontal passing game is a logical prescription.

Josh McCown, blessed with the friendliest matchup possible for a QB this week, passing yards Monday night against the 'Boys 324.5

Brandon – UNDER. I think Minnesota might have something to say about that "friendliest matchup possible for a QB" comment but, nonetheless Dallas certainly is a nice draw for McCown. That said, the Cowboys have allowed 285.7 passing yards to QBs in their past seven games. So expecting McCown to go about 40 yards over that average is a little too rich for me. I'd go over 299.5, but not 324.5.

Scott – UNDER, but only because that's a monumental ask of anyone. McCown should be in the high-200s, maybe creep over 300, and makes for a good start yet again.

Dalton – UNDER. I love McCown this week and have him easily as a top-10 QB start, but that's a high mark to clear, and the Bears have equally as favorable of a matchup against the run (the Cowboys have somehow allowed the most fantasy points this season both to opposing QBs and to opposing RBs).

Zac Stacy, who draws a stifling Arizona run defense, total yards this week in the desert 79.5

Scott – OVER, because I'm confident of Stacy's volume. Look for 20-plus carries by the end of the day, and another Working Class Hero line from Stacy.

Dalton – UNDER. I'm a believer in Stacy's talent, but Arizona has yielded the second-lowest YPC (3.5) in the league this season, and their D gets even tougher at home, where they've ceded just one TD run all year.

Andy – UNDER. I've learned to like Stacy well enough, but it's gonna be tough sledding this week against the league's No. 4 run defense. It might take 25 carries for him to reach 80 yards in this one.

Gifted Geno Smith and an atrocious New York Jets offense on the road, combined sacks/turnovers for the Raiders 5.5

Dalton – UNDER. While there's no question this Jets offense is a joke (Maurice Jones-Drew and Ace Sanders have twice as many passing TDs as Geno Smith since Oct. 7), and the Raiders' defense isn't terrible, I still wouldn't bet the over here. With Oakland traveling across the country to play an early game, I expect the Jets and its strong run defense to get out to a lead, which should help New York's offense play conservatively.

Andy – OVER. Oakland's DEF is your streaming play of the week, friends.

Brad – OVER. Geno is an abomination. Over his last five games he's completed just 42.9 percent of his passes, totaling nine turnovers and 13 sacks. Despite the cross-country road trip, the Raiders sail past this number.

RB2 Battle. Pick one: Ray Rice (vs. Min), Steven Jackson (at GB), Frank Gore (vs. Sea), Rashard Mendenhall (vs. StL)

Andy – GORE. I love that we're even pretending there's a Ray Rice owner out there somewhere, still competing in Week 14. Bwahaha.

Brad – MENDENHALL. Quietly, the much admonished rusher has played well down the homestretch. He's scored in three of his past five games and averaged 77.0 total yards per game in his past two. With Andre Ellington a stretch to play and given the very favorable home matchup, he breaks away from the above pack this week.

Brandon – RICE. Only Dallas has allowed more fantasy points through the air to the RB position than Minnesota. This bodes well for Rice, who was targeted seven times by Joe Flacco last week for six catches and 38 yards. I think Rice will push 100 yards from scrimmage this week and has a good chance to find the end zone against a defense allowing an NFL-high 30.5 points per game.

Dalton – RICE. He's been a total bust this year, but Rice has averaged 21.8 touches over the past four games. He faces a Minnesota front seven that has been gashed for the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, and Baltimore has played much better at home this season compared to on the road.

Scott – It's a rare chance to start RICE with some confidence. He exploited the Chicago sieve in November, and Minnesota's rushing defense has collapsed in recent weeks.

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