Notre Dame football: Irish Playoff odds improve in updated ESPN FPI
Notre Dame moved to 3-0 by putting together a 45-24 win at NC State over the weekend, but it wasn’t overly impressive to ESPN’s Football Power Index.
Despite the road win against a solid Power Five opponent, Notre Dame fell from No. 6 to No. 9 in the index. However, the Irish’s chances of making the College Football Playoff improved.
Below are the updated numbers on what ESPN’s FPI sees happening the rest of the season for Notre Dame. We have included what the percentages were for Notre Dame when we first looked at the FPI in July and also included what the numbers showed a week ago.
Check it out:
Sept. 16 vs. Central Michigan
Current odds of Notre Dame victory: 98.6%
Odds on Sept. 4: 97.9
Odds on July 9: 97.4%
Sept. 23 vs. Ohio State
Current odds of Notre Dame victory: 43.7%
Odds on Sept. 4: 33.3%
Odds on July 9: 20.7%
Sept. 30 at Duke
Current odds of Notre Dame victory: 80.9%
Odds on Sept. 4: 89.0%
Odds on July 9: 82.8%
Oct. 7 at Louisville
Current odds of Notre Dame victory: 75.3%
Odds on Sept. 4: 80.8%
Odds on July 9: 78.8%
Oct. 14 vs. USC
Current odds of Notre Dame victory: 54.2%
Odds on Sept. 4: 60.0%
Odds on July 9: 59.1%
Oct. 21 vs. Pitt
Current odds of Notre Dame victory: 87.0%
Odds on Sept. 4: 83.0%
Odds on July 9: 85.4%
Nov. 4 at Clemson
Current odds of Notre Dame victory: 66.6%
Odds on Sept. 4: 48.5%
Odds on July 9: 36.8%
Nov. 18 vs. Wake Forest
Current odds of Notre Dame victory: 93.1%
Odds on Sept. 4: 92.3%
Odds on July 9: 88.6%
Nov. 25 at Stanford
Current odds of Notre Dame victory: 93.3%
Odds on Sept. 4: 89.2%
Odds on July 9: 88.6%
Current Ranking
Despite the impressive win at NC State, Notre Dame’s ranking drops in ESPN’s FPI. The Irish went from sixth to ninth this week.
Win-Loss Projection
Before the year, most had North Carolina State circled as a potential trap game. By getting through that game and with more of a sample size on Notre Dame’s remaining opponents, the Irish’s season projection climbs from 9.5-2.5 to 9.9-2.1 this week.
12-0?
By beating NC State, Notre Dame’s chances of a 12-0 regular season significantly improved. Just a week ago the Irish were given a 5.7% chance of going 12-0 by the FPI. This week they’re up to 9.9%.
College Football Playoff Odds
Notre Dame’s chances of making the College Football Playoff went up significantly this week. The Irish are given a 22.1% shot at making the playoff after having a 17.2% chance last week and a 15.8% chance in July.
National Champs?
Notre Dame is given a 5.1% chance of winning the national championship by ESPN FPI this week. Those are the ninth-best odds nationally. Ohio State (14.9%) has the best odds to win it all according to the index.
