NFL Week 4 picks: Will Dolphins, Eagles remain undefeated? Dolphins-Bills a classic
Los Angeles Times NFL writer, Sam Farmer examines this week’s matchups. Lines according to FanDuel Sportsbook (O/U = over/under). Last week’s record 9-7 (.563); season 27-21 (.563). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread last week would have been 9-7 (.563); season 23-25 (.479). All times Pacific.
Lions (2-1) at Packers (2-1)
Thursday, 5:15 p.m.
TV: Amazon Prime Video
Line: Lions by 1½. O/U: 45½.
Green Bay’s defense is pretty good and the Packers aren’t turning over the ball, but the Lions are a more well-rounded team and more explosive. QB Jared Goff keeps it going at Lambeau Field.
Prediction: Lions 24, Packers 20
Falcons (2-1) vs. Jaguars (1-2)
Sunday, 6:30 a.m.
TV: ESPN+, Disney+ (at London)
Line: Jaguars by 3. O/U: 43½.
The Falcons are running the ball and stopping the run. They aren’t throwing it a ton and aren’t loaded with firepower. The Jaguars have the air attack to make you pay for committing to stop the run.
Prediction: Jaguars 27, Falcons 21
Rams (1-2) at Colts (2-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: Channel 11
Line: Colts by 1½. O/U: 46½.
Things fell apart for the Rams on Monday night, and that patchwork offensive line is a worry. But they’re capable of going into Indianapolis and winning, particularly against a lightly seasoned rookie QB.
Prediction: Rams 21, Colts 17
Dolphins (3-0) at Bills (2-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Bills by 3. O/U: 53½.
Great matchup. The Bills are excellent and you never can count out Josh Allen, but the Dolphins are the best team in the NFL. They put up 70 points last week without receiver Jaylen Waddle. So much speed.
Prediction: Dolphins 35, Bills 31
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Vikings (0-3) at Panthers (0-3)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Vikings by 3½. O/U: 45½.
The Panthers were better with Andy Dalton at quarterback last week and their defense is decent. But Minnesota’s offense is going to put up 23 or more points even against good defenses.
Prediction: Vikings 28, Panthers 23
Broncos (0-3) at Bears (0-3)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Broncos by 3½. O/U: 46.
The Broncos were thoroughly embarrassed by the Dolphins, so heaven help the team that goes up against coach Sean Payton the next week. Chicago needs tons of help anyway. The Bears are brutal.
Prediction: Broncos 28, Bears 17
Ravens (2-1) at Browns (2-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Browns by 2½. O/U: 40½.
The Browns realized their potential on defense last Sunday, holding Tennessee to a field goal. The Ravens are solid and well coached but they’re already beat up. Divisional games tend to be close.
Prediction: Browns 23, Ravens 20
Steelers (2-1) at Texans (1-2)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Steelers by 3. O/U: 41½.
The Texans are playing hard and are getting promising play from rookie QB C.J. Stroud. Pittsburgh’s defense is vulnerable and its offense tends to struggle, but the Steelers keep hitting big plays.
Prediction: Steelers 23, Texans 16
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Buccaneers (2-1) at Saints (2-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Saints by 3. O/U: 40½.
With Saints QB Derek Carr hurt, Jameis Winston could face his former team. Running back Alvin Kamara returns from his three-game suspension. Tampa Bay’s secondary is banged up and rotating in some no-name players.
Prediction: Saints 27, Buccaneers 21
Commanders (2-1) at Eagles (3-0)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Eagles by 8½. O/U: 44½.
The Eagles aren’t as good at safety or linebacker as last season, but that defensive line is a brick wall. On offense, this combo of Kelce (Jason) and Swift (D’Andre) is just too much.
Prediction: Eagles 28, Commanders 20
Bengals (1-2) at Titans (1-2)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Bengals by 2½. O/U: 40½.
That Bengals’ defensive front punished Matthew Stafford in beating the Rams, so the Titans will have their hands full trying to stop that flood. QB Joe Burrow isn’t himself but he’s still really good.
Prediction: Bengals 24, Titans 20
Raiders (1-2) at Chargers (1-2)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m.
TV: Channel 2
Line: Chargers by 5½. O/U: 48½.
The Chargers don’t have receiver Mike Williams, but they’ve survived that before. Keenan Allen was unstoppable at Minnesota. The Raiders will have the crowd, but the Chargers are better.
Prediction: Chargers 30, Raiders 23
Cardinals (1-2) at 49ers (3-0)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
TV: Channel 11
Line: 49ers by 14. O/U: 43½.
It’s wild that Arizona could be 3-0 right now — coulda, woulda, shoulda — but the Cardinals are playing over their heads. It’s back to reality in the Bay Area, though, as the 49ers are outstanding.
Prediction: 49ers 28, Cardinals 17
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Patriots (1-2) at Cowboys (2-1)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Cowboys by 6½. O/U: 43½.
As with Denver, Dallas was embarrassed last week. This figures to be a fairly low-scoring game, considering the defenses. But QB Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense have the edge at home.
Prediction: Cowboys 23, Patriots 18
Chiefs (2-1) at Jets (1-2)
Sunday, 5:20 p.m.
TV: Channel 4
Line: Chiefs by 9½. O/U: 42½.
The Chiefs keep it rolling. They have the best player in the game at quarterback, and getting Chris Jones back was huge for that defense. Jets quarterback Zach Wilson is going to be under siege all night.
Prediction: Chiefs 27, Jets 13
Seahawks (2-1) at Giants (1-2)
Monday, 5:15 p.m.
TV: ESPN
Line: Giants by 1½. O/U: 46½.
The Seahawks have scored 37 in back-to-back weeks and the Giants have given up at least 28 in each of their three games. QB Geno Smith and Seattle keep it rolling against a vulnerable New York defense.
Prediction: Seahawks 34, Giants 27
This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.
