Lions vs. Buccaneers: What I learned from film study of Detroit’s playoff win
Fresh off the first Detroit Lions postseason victory since the 1991 season, the team decided that one win wasn’t enough. The Lions beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 31-23, in Ford Field in Sunday’s NFC Divisional Round matchup to advance to the NFC Championship in San Francisco.
Just like the win over the Rams a week earlier, this was a stressful game decided in the fourth quarter. The first three quarters all ended with the score tied. The tension of such a closely-played, high-stakes contest shone through even on the silent All-22 game film.
This week’s film rewatch of the game, both of the broadcast feed and the All-22, revealed a lot about the Lions and where they win and lose games. Here’s some of what I took away from the rewatch.
Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown celebrates the 31-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers…
Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown celebrates the 31-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions safety Kerby Joseph (31) celebrates a play against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second…
Detroit Lions safety Kerby Joseph (31) celebrates a play against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta (87) runs for a first down against Tampa Bay Buccaneers…
Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta (87) runs for a first down against Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebacker Lavonte David (54) during the second half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions linebackers coach Kelvin Sheppard reacts to a play against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the…
Detroit Lions linebackers coach Kelvin Sheppard reacts to a play against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions offensive tackle Penei Sewell (58) celebrates 31-23 win over Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the…
Detroit Lions offensive tackle Penei Sewell (58) celebrates 31-23 win over Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions linebacker Alex Anzalone (34) celebrates 31-23 win over Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the NFC…
Detroit Lions linebacker Alex Anzalone (34) celebrates 31-23 win over Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta (87) tries to grab a pass from quarterback Jared Goff…
Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta (87) tries to grab a pass from quarterback Jared Goff against Tampa Bay Buccaneers safety Ryan Neal (23) during the second half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions' Craig Reynolds runs into the end zone for a 1-yard touchdown during the third…
Detroit Lions' Craig Reynolds runs into the end zone for a 1-yard touchdown during the third quarter against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC divisional round playoff game at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024. Right tackle Penei Sewell (58) celebrates.
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jake McQuaide #43 of the Detroit Lions leaves the field following…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jake McQuaide #43 of the Detroit Lions leaves the field following a victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images)
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jahmyr Gibbs #26 of the Detroit Lions leaves the field following…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jahmyr Gibbs #26 of the Detroit Lions leaves the field following a victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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NFL: NFC Divisional Round-Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
Jan 21, 2024; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (14) makes a…
Jan 21, 2024; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (14) makes a catch for a touchdown against Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerback Zyon McCollum (27) during the second half in a 2024 NFC divisional round game at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Baker Mayfield #6 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is pursued by…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Baker Mayfield #6 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is pursued by Brian Branch #32 of the Detroit Lions during the first quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Josh Reynolds #8 of the Detroit Lions celebrates a touchdown against…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Josh Reynolds #8 of the Detroit Lions celebrates a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Josh Reynolds #8 of the Detroit Lions catches a pass for…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Josh Reynolds #8 of the Detroit Lions catches a pass for a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jahmyr Gibbs #26 of the Detroit Lions celebrates a touchdown with…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jahmyr Gibbs #26 of the Detroit Lions celebrates a touchdown with Taylor Decker #68 during the fourth quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Derrick Barnes #55 of the Detroit Lions celebrates after an interception…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Derrick Barnes #55 of the Detroit Lions celebrates after an interception against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the fourth quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions wide receiver Josh Reynolds celebrates with fans after scoring the first touchdown of the…
Detroit Lions wide receiver Josh Reynolds celebrates with fans after scoring the first touchdown of the game making the score 10-3 during the first half against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Divisional Playoff at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21 2024.
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NFC Wild Card Playoffs - Los Angeles Rams v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 14: Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions shakes hands with Frank…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 14: Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions shakes hands with Frank Ragnow #77 prior to a game against the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC Wild Card Playoffs at Ford Field on January 14, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams makes a catch during warmups before the NFC divisional playoff game…
Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams makes a catch during warmups before the NFC divisional playoff game between the Lions and Buccaneers at Ford Field on Sunday, Jan, 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Lions quarterback Teddy Bridgewater warms up before the NFC divisional playoff game between the Lions and…
Lions quarterback Teddy Bridgewater warms up before the NFC divisional playoff game between the Lions and Buccaneers at Ford Field on Sunday, Jan, 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Lions defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn watches warmups before the NFC divisional playoff game between the Lions…
Lions defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn watches warmups before the NFC divisional playoff game between the Lions and Buccaneers at Ford Field on Sunday, Jan, 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) looks to pass against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the first…
Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) looks to pass against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the first half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Aidan Hutchinson #97 of the Detroit Lions reacts to a sack…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Aidan Hutchinson #97 of the Detroit Lions reacts to a sack against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the third quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Sam LaPorta #87 of the Detroit Lions is pursued by Zyon…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Sam LaPorta #87 of the Detroit Lions is pursued by Zyon McCollum #27 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions wide receiver Josh Reynolds (8) celebrates a touchdown against Tampa Bay Buccaneers with running…
Detroit Lions wide receiver Josh Reynolds (8) celebrates a touchdown against Tampa Bay Buccaneers with running back Craig Reynolds (13) during the first half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions place kicker Michael Badgley (17) attempts a field goal against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during…
Detroit Lions place kicker Michael Badgley (17) attempts a field goal against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the first half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Trey Palmer (10) makes a catch against Detroit Lions cornerback Kindle…
Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Trey Palmer (10) makes a catch against Detroit Lions cornerback Kindle Vildor (29) during the first half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions attempt to block a Tampa Bay field goal kick during the first half against…
Detroit Lions attempt to block a Tampa Bay field goal kick during the first half against the Buccaneers in the NFC Divisional Playoff at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21 2024.
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Amon-Ra St. Brown #14 of the Detroit Lions celebrates a touchdown…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Amon-Ra St. Brown #14 of the Detroit Lions celebrates a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the fourth quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images)
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jahmyr Gibbs #26 of the Detroit Lions rushes for a touchdown…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jahmyr Gibbs #26 of the Detroit Lions rushes for a touchdown against Antoine Winfield Jr. #31 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the fourth quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jahmyr Gibbs #26 of the Detroit Lions celebrates a touchdown with…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jahmyr Gibbs #26 of the Detroit Lions celebrates a touchdown with Taylor Decker #68 during the fourth quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Brock Wright #89 of the Detroit Lions is pursued by Joe…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Brock Wright #89 of the Detroit Lions is pursued by Joe Tryon-Shoyinka #9 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the third quarter of the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions fans cheer for the Lions against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half of…
Detroit Lions fans cheer for the Lions against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Lions fans cheer for quarterback Jared Goff before the NFC divisional playoff game between the Lions…
Lions fans cheer for quarterback Jared Goff before the NFC divisional playoff game between the Lions and Buccaneers at Ford Field on Sunday, Jan, 21, 2024.
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NFL: NFC Divisional Round-Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
Jan 21, 2024; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions fans cheer against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during…
Jan 21, 2024; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions fans cheer against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the first half in a 2024 NFC divisional round game at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
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Syndication: Detroit Free Press
Detroit Lions fans cheer for the Lions against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the first half of…
Detroit Lions fans cheer for the Lions against Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the first half of the NFC divisional round at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024.
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NFL: NFC Divisional Round-Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
Jan 21, 2024; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions fans show their support for Detroit Lions quarterback…
Jan 21, 2024; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions fans show their support for Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) during the first quarter in a 2024 NFC divisional round game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
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NFC Divisional Playoffs - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Detroit Lions
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions leaves the field following…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 21: Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions leaves the field following a victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Ford Field on January 21, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
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Jared Goff was even better than I first thought
The box score for Lions QB Jared Goff was a strong one:
30-of-43, 287 yards, 2 TDs, no INTs, 103.5 QB Rating, sacked twice
Box score scouting is perilous, of course. Even in a game with a good line, Goff was better than the stats might indicate.
The first play of the game was one of Goff’s worst. The Buccaneers smartly read the play designed to get TE Sam LaPorta the ball on a quick curl. Goff then wildly overthrew David Montgomery to the left. He missed seeing TE Brock Wright completely uncovered to the right. Goff avoided the negative play well–the Bucs were clearly hoping he’d target LaPorta–but he could have had more.
After that, his decision-making with the ball was almost perfect. The Buccaneers like to present a look pre-snap and then mix it up once the play starts. Goff handled that beautifully. He was late and threw off his back foot on the end zone throw that Bucs CB Jamel Dean should have picked off, getting lucky on his biggest mistake.
One of the things I’ve come to really appreciate about Goff over the last 25 or so games is his ability to avoid disaster. There were a couple of instances in this game where he had no real good options on pass plays. Goff did a nice job of giving his receiver (Josh Reynolds on one, Sam LaPorta on the other) a small chance of making a play, but the defender has zero chance of making a play. It’s a throwaway in effect, but Goff also leaves just a glimmer of hope for his target to make a great play.
Yet for all the money throws, like the TD strike to Reynolds or deft touch on the (fantastic) backside release to Brock Wright, perhaps my favorite play was Goff’s 7-yard scramble. It wasn’t aesthetically pleasant, and his awkward slide had me fearing for a second that he blew out a leg joint. It was also critically important both in this game and going forward.
Football is a game of give and take. The defense can’t stop everything; they have to pick what to focus on and what to concede. All season long, opposing defenses have conceded wide running lanes for Goff to exploit on a scramble. And all season long, Goff has ignored it. The fact he actually took off plants a seed, putting on film something new for the defense to worry about when facing the Lions offense.
Obviously, that’s overselling the threat of Goff as a runner, but the underlying point could be just enough to give LaPorta a little more room to get open behind a linebacker on a 3rd-and-7 or hold the defensive end from completely abandoning containment and slow his upfield arc just a tad. Goff’s vision, the Lions weapons and Ben Johnson’s play scheme can take advantage of that.
Aaron Glenn is at his best when scheming pressures
The Lions pass coverage on the outside was once again a major struggle. We’ll get to that in a bit. However, against Tampa Bay I thought Lions DC Aaron Glenn did a very good job in mitigating the team’s biggest deficiency–lack of talent at outside CB.
When you can’t cover on the outside and know you can’t cover on the outside, the best remedy is to bring pressure. Glenn certainly did that with some impressively designed, well-executed pressure packages that impacted Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers.
Take this one from the first quarter.
Safety Ifeatu Melifonwu is highlighted pre-snap playing as a box backer. He’s the guy (spoiler alert) who gets the sack, though you’d never know he’s blitzing. More to the point, the Bucs don’t know.
Tackling is becoming a bigger problem for the Lions defense
With all the (rightful) consternation about the downfield coverage struggles, one area where the defense continues to decline is tackling. The Buccaneers game was the latest in a downward slope of tackling.
This game saw Rachaad White, who averages a paltry 3.6 YPC, rush for 55 yards on nine carries against what’s been a great Lions run defense. Missed tackles and tackling opportunities created almost all of those yards.
It’s the missed opportunities that stood out on film. Sure, missing a tackle like Melifonwu did when he failed to sink his weight after getting an initial wrap, or Alex Anzalone falling off a tackle attempt is not good. But being the player who should be in position to make the play and not being there is worse. Rookie LB Jack Campbell had three instances on White’s nine carries where he should have been there to make the play but wasn’t. The path to the point of attack from both Campbell and Anzlaone was not optimal in this game.
Tackling has been a growing issue. PFF tackling grades are not always a gold standard of metrics, but the Lions have five of their eight lowest game tackling grades in the last five weeks. That’s backed up by the eye test and film study. The defensive line isn’t doing as diligent of a job in inhibiting blockers from getting out to the second level or shedding and finishing. In this game, Romeo Okwara, Aidan Hutchinson and especially John Cominsky really struggled in those facets. Cominsky had a really rough one when matched up against Bucs left tackle Tristan Wirfs, who had a great game. Wirfs is one of the league’s best, but it was hard to see the Lions not adapt to the Bucs attack.
At this time of the season, practicing tackling with actual contact simply isn’t going to happen. It shows.
Quick hits
–Jonah Jackson’s injury really hurt the interior pass protection. It’s a shame because No. 73 played his best game in weeks before going down with the knee injury, notably at sustaining blocks in pass protection.
–Give credit to the defensive coaching staff for applying film study of the Buccaneers offense. It manifested on Derrick Barnes’ game-sealing INT, but the defense seldom got tricked or beaten by misreading the play.
–Kerby Joseph played arguably his best game in single-high safety coverage. He anticipated routes and assignments better than he had in recent weeks.
–It can be tough to focus on route-running when the receiver isn’t targeted, but once again I see progress in attention to detail from Jameson Williams on shorter routes and also working back to Goff. He’s growing his game every week even if the stat sheet doesn’t always show it.
–On the end-of-game clock management: it was clear from the Bucs players that they knew the game was over and conceded. Much ado about very little…
–Melifonwu absolutely got away with one in defending Mike Evans on the end zone fade route. He got away with it because Evans didn’t stop or make a play back to the ball. However, it spotlights the ongoing issue of Lions DBs doing a poor job of playing, or even recognizing, the ball in the air. It’s weird that CB coach Dre Bly was exceptional at that during his playing days but it clearly hasn’t rubbed off on his players.
–I want more Jalen Reeves-Maybin in the game at linebacker. Once again, his nose for the ball and closing speed to the point of attack shone.
–The TE release crosser by Brock Wright was picture-perfect. His slow-motion move in the open field was not only beautiful but also really important. It set up the Craig Reynolds TD run, which was the most critical offensive play of the second half for Detroit.
–I thought the officials did a good job calling a consistent game that let the players control the game. They missed a few calls, as is inevitable and part of the game. Good job overall, however. Don’t get to say that very often…
–Chase Lucas had a phenomenal game as the gunner on coverage units. Will Harris also did a great job, notably on the return where he made a tackle. Would have been easy for him to give up his outside contain based on the start of the return but Harris stayed disciplined and made a play.
–Left tackle Taylor Decker in pass protection vs. Bucs EDGE Joe Tryon-Shoyinka: 10 pass rush attempts, 0 pressures allowed by Decker. I’m not privy to the determination of what analytics considers “wins” versus just stalemates, but I would’ve had Decker with nine wins in 10 attempts. No. 68 played a fantastic game.
