Extension-eligible players in 2022-23: LeBron James, James Harden, Damian Lillard, more

If this year’s upcoming free agency class feels lighter than some of the most recent ones, the biggest reason is the high rate of extensions that have been signed over the past few seasons. Players have been incentivized to extend now with the salary cap rising at a slower pace following the COVID-19 pandemic. Many are also signing extensions that align their deals around 2025 when the salary cap could rise significantly following a new national television rights deal.

It’s possible we could have fewer extensions this summer than we had in 2020 and 2021 with 2025 just three years away. With that said, there should still be a good amount this offseason. Here is a list of every extension-eligible player, the maximum amounts they can get, and the probability of each player getting extended.

Bogdan Bogdanovic (Atlanta Hawks)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $96.8 million
Free agency age: 32 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $63,000,000
Agent: Jason Ranne
Probability of extending: Decent

Bogdanovic’s maximum extension amount is fair but his long-term fit is complicated by the emergence of Kevin Huerter. He’s been excellent in his role off the bench but could become a cap-casualty down the line if the Hawks extend DeAndre Hunter this offseason and Onkyeka Okungwu the next.

De'Andre Hunter (Atlanta Hawks)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 25 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $22,265,760
Agent: Thaddeus Foucher
Probability of extending: Decent

Hunter has been great for the Hawks on both ends but has missed a lot of time for them due to injuries. His health history might negatively affect him in extension negotiations, which could make him a candidate to hit restricted free agency instead.

Danilo Gallinari (Atlanta Hawks)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $115.3 million
Free agency age: 35 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $177,685,814
Agent: Michael Tellem
Probability of extending: Weak

Gallinari is more likely to get waived and hit free agency in order to reduce the Hawk’s payroll by $16 million than to get extended.

Jaylen Brown (Boston Celtics)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $110.8 million base
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $72,547,125 (adjust for incentives)
Agent: Jason Glushon
Probability of extending: Weak

Brown’s maximum extension number is simply too little for him to accept. He will likely command maximum contract offers if he were to hit free agency, and could even become supermax eligible if he earns All-NBA honors next season.

Al Horford (Boston Celtics)

Maximum possible contract: two years, $66.1 million
Free agency age: 37 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $243,228,232
Agent: Jason Glushon
Probability of extending: Decent

Horford has surprisingly become an extremely valuable member of the Celtics after spending two years in the wilderness. It’s possible Boston looks to extend him on a team-friendly deal for a year or two, but likely at a significantly lower salary.

Grant Williams (Boston Celtics)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $7,496,400
Agent: Erik Kabe and Bill Duffy
Probability of extending: Strong

Williams made himself a lot of money this offseason, especially since he was the X factor in their win against Milwaukee. Extension negotiations for him could start north of the mid-level exception since that is what most teams will be able to offer him in free agency.

Kyrie Irving (Brooklyn Nets)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $196.2 million base
Free agency age: 31 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $195,350,257
Agent: Shetellia Riley Irving
Probability of extending: Decent

It’s unclear if Irving declined a maximum extension offer from the Nets last offseason, and it’s even less clear if the Nets are thinking of offering one now. His unavailability may have Brooklyn doubting his commitment to the team and game, which they ultimately may use to get a discount on his next deal.

Ben Simmons (Brooklyn Nets)

Maximum possible contract: two years, $88.1 million
Free agency age: 29 years old in 2025
Career earnings: $90,183,586
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Weak

Maximum players rarely accept short-term extensions as soon as they are eligible to sign them. Simmons is more likely to revisit an extension when his contract is almost up so he can add more years.

Seth Curry (Brooklyn Nets)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 33 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $33,320,061
Agent: Erika Ruiz
Probability of extending: Strong

Curry is eligible to sign for up to four years, $59 million starting on August 10, 2022. That figure seems like very fair value for the veteran guard whom the Nets may want to lock up long-term.

Joe Harris (Brooklyn Nets)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $77.5 million
Free agency age: 32 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $53,663,246
Agent: Mark Bartelstein
Probability of extending: Weak

Brooklyn is more likely to make Harris available in a trade than to extend him.

Gordon Hayward (Charlotte Hornets)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $122.5 million
Free agency age: 34 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $203,347,778
Agent: Mark Bartelstein
Probability of extending: Weak

Hayward’s tenure in Charlotte may mostly be remembered for the amount of time he missed in key stretches. They are unlikely to extend him and may already be looking to trade him to create cap flexibility.

PJ Washington (Charlotte Hornets)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 25 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $12,070,560
Agent: Kevin Bradbury
Probability of extending: Decent

Washington has been good for Charlotte and they would probably like to extend him if the terms are right. At the same time, Charlotte’s future finances are in the air right now and they could look to keep him available in a potential trade for a starting center.

Mason Plumlee (Charlotte Hornets)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 33 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $64,648,103
Agent: Zach Kurtin and Mark Bartelstein
Probability of extending: Weak

Plumlee has been a solid center for the Hornets but not quite a long-term solution. They may want to keep their flexibility open instead for a potentially bigger move down the road.

Jalen McDaniels (Charlotte Hornets)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 25 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $4,199,602
Agent: Nima Namakian and Bill Duffy
Probability of extending: Decent

Nick Richards (Charlotte Hornets)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 25 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $2,517,981
Agent: Jeff Schwartz and Javon Phillips
Probability of extending: Weak

Nikola Vucevic (Chicago Bulls)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $118.2 million
Free agency age: 32 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $133,958,980
Agent: Rade Filipovich and Bill Duffy
Probability of extending: Strong

Vucevic had a down year but should get his shooting back on track next season. It seems like a good bet the Bulls will want to extend him, especially considering all they gave up to acquire him.

Coby White (Chicago Bulls)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $16,717,560
Agent: Ty Sullivan and Steven Heumann
Probability of extending: Weak

When the Bulls are fully healthy, their guard rotation is so deep that White likely wouldn’t get minutes. He’s more likely to get traded than offered an extension as of now.

Darius Garland (Cleveland Cavaliers)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $20,162,520
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Strong

Garland seems like a lock to get offered a five-year, maximum extension projected at $185.7 million at the start of free agency after the season he just had.

Caris LeVert (Cleveland Cavaliers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $101 million
Free agency age: 29 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $41,226,704
Agent: Austin Brown
Probability of extending: Strong

LeVert will have his trade restriction lifted on August 7, 2022, which would allow him to extend for up to four years, $101 million. Seems like Cleveland would like to extend their new guard and there’s a good chance he gets a slight annual raise on his next contract.

Kevin Love (Cleveland Cavaliers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $155.6 million
Free agency age: 35 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $237,780,811
Agent: Sam Goldfeder and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Decent

Love embraced his bench role and nearly won Sixth Man of the Year. Perhaps both sides would be open to an extension now at a team-friendly number.

Cedi Osman (Cleveland Cavaliers)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $43 million
Free agency age: 29 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $25,298,914
Agent: Jordan Gertler, Misko Raznatovic and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Weak

Dylan Windler (Cleveland Cavaliers)

Maximum possible contract: Five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $6,412,440
Agent: Andy Shiffman and Mark Bartelstein
Probability of extending: Decent

Dean Wade (Cleveland Cavaliers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 26 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $3,675,602
Agent: Austin Walton
Probability of extending: Weak

Christian Wood (Dallas Mavericks)

Maximum possible contract: two years, $30.8 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $31,020,924
Agent: Adam Pensack and Ben Pensack
Probability of extending: Decent

Wood is currently limited to two years, $30.8 million in an extension with the Mavericks following his trade. In six months, he will become eligible to extend for up to four years, $77 million.

Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 31 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $27,168,857
Agent: Guy Zucker
Probability of extending: Strong

Kleber was absolutely key for Dallas in their run to the Western Conference Finals. He made himself a lot of money in that run and may have played his way into getting offered a maximum extension projected at four years, $59 million.

Dwight Powell (Dallas Mavericks)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59.6 million
Free agency age: 32 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $60,781,250
Agent: Mike George and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Weak

Powell has been solid but there is no rush for Dallas to extend him. He could become available in a trade to acquire an upgrade or in a salary dump to lower their luxury tax payment next season.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $260 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $115,586,917
Agent: Misko Raznatovic, Mike Lindeman, and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Strong

It has already been confirmed by Jokic’s camp and his agent that he plans on signing the supermax extension this summer.

Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets)

Maximum possible contract: two years, $88.1 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2025
Career earnings: $71,263,506
Agent: Mike George and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Weak

There’s no rush for Murray to extend right now, especially since he can add more years in an extension as he nears the end of his deal.

Jerami Grant (Detroit Pistons)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $112.6 million
Free agency age: 29 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $61,287,174
Agent: Mike Kneisley
Probability of extending: Strong

The big question with Grant is if he will be on another team next season. If traded, he will be limited to a two-year extension worth $45.1 million but can extend for four years, $112.6 million six months after.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $138.7 million, or three years, $107.3 million
Free agency age: 34 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $130,953,541
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Strong

Green may have locked himself into a maximum extension after the season he and the Warriors just had. A deal where he’s earning north of $30 million annually would finally make him properly paid.

Klay Thompson (Golden State Warriors)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $152.5 million
Free agency age: 34 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $184,868,850
Agent: Greg Lawrence
Probability of extending: Decent

Thompson and the Warriors could discuss an extension after coming back strong from two and a half years out. They could look to align him with Stephen Curry through 2026, though it’s unclear where they’d agree on an annual salary.

Andrew Wiggins (Golden State Warriors)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $172.2 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $138,943,522
Agent: Andrew Morrison and Steve Heumann
Probability of extending: Strong

Wiggins has completely reformed his game and looks like he could stick around the Warriors long-term. It’s unlikely he gets a maximum extension, but it’s not unreasonable for him to earn around what he’s currently getting.

Jordan Poole (Golden State Warriors)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $6,189,480
Agent: Andrew Morrison and Austin Brown
Probability of extending: Strong

Poole could be looking at an extension that pays him $20-25 million annually after the leap he made this season. The Warriors could be looking at a nearly $500 million roster in 2023-24 if they extend and re-sign everyone from their core this season.

Jae'Sean Tate (Houston Rockets)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $2,963,948
Agent: EJ Kusnyer and Jordan Cornish
Probability of extending: Decent

Tate may be worth his maximum extension amount but the Rockets could choose to hold off on extending anyone right now to preserve cap flexibility. He has a tiny cap hold and the Rockets could generate around $65 million in cap space in 2023 and re-sign him after spending it.

Kevin Porter Jr. (Houston Rockets)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $4,791,602
Agent: Sam Permut
Probability of extending: Decent

Like Jae’Sean Tate, Porter Jr. also has a relatively small cap hold and the Rockets could look to prioritize 2023 cap space over extensions.

Eric Gordon (Houston Rockets)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $81.3 million
Free agency age: 35 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $158,631,090
Agent: Brandon Rosenthal
Probability of extending: Weak

Gordon has been available for trade since last year’s trade deadline, making him unlikely to get extended with Houston.

John Wall (Houston Rockets)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $222.8 million
Free agency age: 33 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $232,604,425
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Weak

Wall is more likely to receive a buy-out than to get his contract extended.

KJ Martin (Houston Rockets)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million, or three years, $43 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $2,416,291
Agent: Shayaun Saee
Probability of extending: Decent

Trey Burke (Houston Rockets)

Maximum possible contract: two years, $7.6 million
Free agency age: 30 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $22,019,147
Agent: Sam Permut
Probability of extending: Weak

Myles Turner (Indiana Pacers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $96.7 million
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $64,301,804
Agent: Bill Duffy
Probability of extending: Decent

Turner is worth the maximum four years, $96.7 million extension he’s eligible for, and can get an even higher figure than that if the Pacers use some of their cap space to renegotiate his $18 million salary for this season. It’s also possible no extension is discussed to keep him available for a potential trade down the line.

Buddy Hield (Indiana Pacers)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $72.2 million base
Free agency age: 31 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $63,662,716
Agent: Diana Day
Probability of extending: Weak

It’s probably a bit early for Hield and Indiana to talk extension since it’s unclear where he stands in their long-term plans. He could also be a trade candidate this season alongside the other Pacer veterans.

Goga Bitadze (Indiana Pacers)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $8,872,680
Agent: Jared Mucha, Mike Lindeman, and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Weak

Marcus Morris (Los Angeles Clippers)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $66.5 million
Free agency age: 35 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $74,225,409
Agent: Chafie Fields and Jason Ranne
Probability of extending: Weak

The Clippers are so loaded at the wing now after acquiring Robert Covington and Norman Powell that Morris could be the odd man out, especially if they re-sign Nicolas Batum. They could look to trade Morris for a point guard or to save money.

Ivica Zubac (Los Angeles Clippers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 26 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $24,892,518
Agent: Jared Mucha
Probability of extending: Decent

Zubac is one of the more underrated centers in the league and is a great fit for the Clippers’ system. It seems like a good bet that the Clippers will exercise his $7.5 million team option and then enter extension negotiations with him.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers)

Maximum possible contract: two years, $97.1 million
Free agency age: 38 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $390,511,590
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Decent

James may not be in a rush to sign his maximum extension as soon as he’s eligible to sign it on August 4, 2022, especially since he can sign it during the season and get that same amount as a free agent in 2023. He could also abstain from signing it to keep the pressure on the Lakers organization to fix the roster.

Russell Westbrook (Los Angeles Lakers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $221.4 million
Free agency age: 34 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $291,976,692
Agent: Thaddeus Foucher
Probability of extending: Weak

Even if the Lakers really are entertaining the idea of bringing back Westbrook, there is no urgency to extend him.

Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $27,500,400
Agent: Jim Tanner
Probability of extending: Strong

Expect to hear that the Grizzlies and Morant agreed on a maximum contract extension as soon as free agency begins, with Rose rule provisions that would allow him to earn an additional $37 million if he earns All-NBA honors again next season.

Dillon Brooks (Memphis Grizzlies)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $61.3 million
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $27,412,377
Agent: Javon Phillips and Mike George
Probability of extending: Decent

The Grizzlies may be content with bringing back Brooks on his maximum extension amount. If he is seeking more, he could be more likely to hit free agency instead or get traded.

Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $96.4 million
Free agency age: 30 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $128,833,174
Agent: Darren Matsubara
Probability of extending: Weak

Adams may not be the long-term answer at center for Memphis, so they may want to hold off on an extension and keep their options open.

Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $7,808,640
Agent: Mark Bartelstein
Probability of extending: Decent

Clarke has been one of the bigger draft steals in recent memory and his versatility was key in Memphis’ win against Minnesota. The Grizzlies could still have some cap flexibility next season if they don’t add any long-term salary other than Ja Morant, so it wouldn’t be surprising if no extension gets done with Clarke.

De'Anthony Melton (Memphis Grizzlies)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $43 million
Free agency age: 26 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $20,743,540
Agent: Joel Bell
Probability of extending: Weak

Xavier Tillman (Memphis Grizzlies)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $43 million, or four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 25 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $2,817,981
Agent: Zach Kurtin
Probability of extending: Weak

John Konchar (Memphis Grizzlies)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $43 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $5,198,310
Agent: George Langberg
Probability of extending: Weak

Tyler Herro (Miami Heat)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $11,466,720
Agent: Mike Lindeman and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Decent

Herro could be set to earn huge contract offers from other teams if he were to hit restricted free agency. It will be interesting to see how high Miami is willing to go on him in extension negotiations.

Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $152.5 million, or four years, $200.9 million
Free agency age: 33 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $158,632,891
Agent: Mike Lindeman and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Strong

Middleton has only two years left on his maximum deal with the Bucks which he has more than outplayed the value of. It would make sense to extend him to a deal that at least aligns him with Giannis Antetokounmpo who is under contract through 2026.

Brook Lopez (Milwaukee Bucks)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $74.8 million
Free agency age: 35 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $159,179,511
Agent: Darren Matsubara
Probability of extending: Decent

The Bucks are in a tight position with little flexibility to make significant improvements going forward. Retaining their core players is a priority, which could include extending Lopez who is vital to their defensive foundation.

Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 30 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $16,506,768
Agent: Jordan Gertler and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Decent

It seems more likely at this juncture after having a career best season that Connaughton will decline his player option and re-sign with the Bucks on a more lucrative long-term deal. If he were to opt in, both sides would probably enter into extension negotiations.

Karl-Anthony Towns (Minnesota Timberwolves)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $210.9 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $114,123,435
Agent: Jessica Holtz
Probability of extending: Strong

Towns is eligible to sign the supermax extension this offseason after earning All-NBA honors. Unless there’s reservations from either him or the Timberwolves about their future together, look for Towns to sign it.

D'Angelo Russell (Minnesota Timberwolves)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $168.7 million
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $108,965,728
Agent: Aaron Mintz and Austin Brown
Probability of extending: Decent

The Timberwolves are in a position to generate maximum cap space in 2023 assuming they don’t add any long-term salaries by then. That would include not extending Russell, whom they could make available in a trade if both sides are far apart in negotiations.

Malik Beasley (Minnesota Timberwolves)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $83.6 million, or three years, $64.2 million
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $35,751,373
Agent: Brian Jungreis
Probability of extending: Decent

Naz Reid (Minnesota Timberwolves)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $4,198,912
Agent: Sean Kennedy
Probability of extending: Weak

Jaylen Nowell (Minnesota Timberwolves)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $4,198,912
Agent: Ryan Davis
Probability of extending: Weak

Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $30,736,320
Agent: Austin Brown and Lisa Joseph-Metelus
Probability of extending: Decent

The Pelicans are reportedly unwilling to offer Williamson a full five year guaranteed maximum extension, although the front office might feel otherwise. In most cases, not maxing out a young star player can alienate them from the team. Williamson may want to consider getting as much long-term security as he can after missing nearly two seasons worth of games.

CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $139.2 million.
Free agency age: 33 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $147,980,107
Agent: Sam Goldfeder and Jeff Schwartz
Probability of extending: Decent

It seems like there’s interest from both McCollum and the Pelicans to get an extension done after the way they turned their season around together. The question is at what annual rate will they agree to.

Larry Nance Jr. (New Orleans Pelicans)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 30 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $41,234,326
Agent: Mark Bartelstein
Probability of extending: Decent

Nance is another role player the Pelicans would like to keep long term but their proximity to the luxury tax going forward can complicate that. A maximum extension for Williamson can put them into the luxury tax starting in 2023-24 before factoring in a potential deal for Nance.

Jaxson Hayes (New Orleans Pelicans)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $15,315,480
Agent: Bill Duffy
Probability of extending: Weak

RJ Barrett (New York Knicks)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $24,695,640
Agent: Bill Duffy
Probability of extending: Strong

Barrett’s extension negotiations should be one of the more interesting ones this offseason along with Tyler Herro’s. There’s a lot of variance on what Barrett’s deal could look like with Jaylen Brown’s four year, $106 million deal and Jaren Jackson Jr.’s four year, $105 million deal being possible baselines for him.

Cam Reddish (New York Knicks)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $13,373,880
Agent: Omar Wilkes
Probability of extending: Weak

The Knicks took a low-risk flier on Reddish by giving up a first-round pick that may never actually convey. They probably need to see more from him before committing to him on a new long-term deal.

Lu Dort (Oklahoma City Thunder)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $3,456,249
Agent: Thaddeus Foucher
Probability of extending: Strong

Oklahoma City could look to focus on extending Dort later in the offseason once they have a much clearer picture of their roster outlook after completing the draft and free agency.

Darius Bazley (Oklahoma City Thunder)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $7,197,000
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Weak

Bazley’s role with the Thunder has fluctuated and his role could be reduced once they draft a front-court player like Jabari Smith or Chet Holmgren with the second overall player in this year’s draft.

Kenrich Williams (Oklahoma City Thunder)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $6,255,316
Agent: Adam Pensack and Ben Pensack
Probability of extending: Decent

Williams could continue to be on the trade block but could also make sense to extend with the Thunder long-term on a lucrative deal.

Derrick Favors (Oklahoma City Thunder)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 32 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $118,133,722
Agent: Wallace Prather
Probability of extending: Weak

Ty Jerome (Oklahoma City Thunder)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 26 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $6,909,360
Agent: Kieran Piller and Mark Bartelstein
Probability of extending: Weak

Theo Maledon (Oklahoma City Thunder)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $43 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $4,000,000
Agent: Doug Neustadt
Probability of extending: Weak

Isaiah Roby (Oklahoma City Thunder)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 25 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $4,800,602
Agent: Zach Kurtin
Probability of extending: Weak

Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $66.1 million
Free agency age: 25 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $53,900,017
Agent: Raymond Brothers
Probability of extending: Weak

With Cole Anthony and Jalen Suggs both developing, Orlando is deep at the guard position and has no urgency to extend Fultz.

Terrence Ross (Orlando Magic)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $61.8 million
Free agency age: 32 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $81,089,837
Agent: Aaron Mintz
Probability of extending: Weak

Ross is one of the last holdovers of the Magic veterans who was a part of their recent playoff teams. They are more likely to trade him since they are in the middle of a rebuild.

James Harden (Philadelphia 76ers)

Maximum possible contract: two years, $102 million through August 10, 2022, or four years, $222.8 million afterward, assuming he exercises his $47 million player option.
Free agency age: 34 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $271,996,502
Agent: Lorenzo McCloud
Probability of extending: Decent

Harden could be looking at a pay cut in the near future with few teams out there looking like a fit to give him a maximum contract. If he wants to maximize his title odds with the Sixers, he could opt out and sign a long-term deal in the $30-40 million annual range.

Tobias Harris (Philadelphia 76ers)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $152.5 million
Free agency age: 32 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $173,965,874
Agent: Torrel Harris
Probability of extending: Weak

Harris has been a great role player but his contract has presented roster-building challenges for the Sixers. They might be more likely to trade him for cap relief than to extend him.

Matisse Thybulle (Philadelphia 76ers)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 26 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $8,133,600
Agent: Aaron Goodwin
Probability of extending: Decent

Thybulle has the opportunity to be a defensive anchor in the Sixers starting lineup following the Ben Simmons trade. They may decide to hold off on an extension however if he cannot improve his shooting.

Shake Milton (Philadelphia 76ers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $5,892,338
Agent: Andrew Morrison
Probability of extending: Decent

Paul Reed (Philadelphia 76ers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $2,127,109
Agent: Ron Shade
Probability of extending: Weak

Isaiah Joe (Philadelphia 76ers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 24 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $2,416,291
Agent: Mike Conley Sr.
Probability of extending: Weak

Devin Booker (Phoenix Suns)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $210.9 million
Free agency age: 26 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $98,388,565
Agent: Jessica Holtz
Probability of extending: Strong

It seems like a high probability outcome that the Suns will offer Booker the supermax extension this offseason after he became eligible for it by being voted into All-NBA First Team.

Cameron Johnson (Phoenix Suns)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $12,705,600
Agent: Ty Sullivan, Steven Heumann, Melvin Booker, and Simone Capers
Probability of extending: Strong

Johnson has vastly exceeded expectations and could be one of the more coveted young forwards if he were to make it to restricted free agency. Extension negotiations will be interesting as he still has more room to improve if given a bigger role.

Jae Crowder (Phoenix Suns)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 33 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $55,487,389
Agent: Glenn Schwartzman
Probability of extending: Weak

With new contracts presumably coming to Devin Booker, Deandre Ayton, and Cameron Johnson, Crowder could become a cap casualty with the Suns expected to have a hefty luxury tax payment every year going forward.

Dario Saric (Phoenix Suns)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 29 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $28,509,666
Agent: Jared Mucha
Probability of extending: Weak

The Suns will probably want to see how Saric looks post-ACL injury before committing to him beyond this season.

Damian Lillard (Portland Trail Blazers)

Maximum possible contract: two years, $106.6 million
Free agency age: 35 years old in 2025
Career earnings: $193,078,512
Agent: Aaron Goodwin
Probability of extending: Decent

Lillard reportedly wants to extend with the Blazers this offseason for his maximum extension amount. It would be quite the gesture of appreciation by the organization, especially since it would pay him $51.2 million and $55.3 million at age 35 and 36, respectively.

Nassir Little (Portland Trail Blazers)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $6,632,400
Agent: Adam Pensack
Probability of extending: Decent

Little has found a role in Portland and could be a part of the next great Blazers team. Both sides could come to an extension agreement or he could bet on himself for another season and shoot for more in restricted free agency.

Eric Bledsoe (Portland Trail Blazers)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $104.2 million
Free agency age: 33 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $126,801,423
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Weak

The Blazers are more likely to waive and potentially stretch Bledsoe’s partially guaranteed salary than extend him.

Domantas Sabonis (Sacramento Kings)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $75.4 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $49,479,555
Agent: Jason Ranne and Greg Lawrence
Probability of extending: Weak

Sabonis should be able to earn much more in free agency than his maximum extension amount, and certainly has the leverage to get it from the Kings after trading for him.

Harrison Barnes (Sacramento Kings)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $98.7 million
Free agency age: 31 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $148,629,017
Agent: Sam Goldfeder
Probability of extending: Decent

Barnes has found a great role in Sacramento and could be kept long-term through an extension. They could also choose to hold off on one in case they find a trade for a significant upgrade that would include him.

Justin Holiday (Sacramento Kings)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 34 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $28,273,299
Agent: Bernie Lee
Probability of extending: Weak

Dejounte Murray (San Antonio Spurs)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $68.9 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $36,074,257
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Weak

Three years, $69 million is simply too little for Murray to accept after the All-Star season he had. He will likely get a significant raise past the $25 million annual range in free agency. If the Spurs still have cap space next offseason, Murray can become a candidate to get a renegotiation and extension.

Jakob Poeltl (San Antonio Spurs)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 27 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $29,083,658
Agent: Sean Kennedy
Probability of extending: Decent

Poeltl developed into one of the best rim protectors in the league and is already looking at a significant raise on his next deal. It’s possible he gets more on the open market than the four years, $59 million the Spurs can offer him in an extension.

Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $6,144,360
Agent: Lucas Newton
Probability of extending: Strong

It’s hard to gauge exactly how much Johnson will get in an extension since he still has so much room for improvement and that needs to get priced in. If they can’t come to an agreement, the Spurs can generate significant cap space next season thanks to his relatively small $11.6 million cap hold and re-sign him afterward without any limitations.

Romeo Langford (San Antonio Spurs)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $10,893,960
Agent: Maxwell Saidman
Probability of extending: Weak

Tre Jones (San Antonio Spurs)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2023
Career earnings: 2,416,291
Agent: Kevin Bradbury and David Mondress
Probability of extending: Decent

Pascal Siakam (Toronto Raptors)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $130.7 million
Free agency age: 30 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $69,968,577
Agent: Todd Ramasar and Jaafar Choufani
Probability of extending: Decent

After making his second All-NBA team, Siakam could forego an extension this offseason and bet on himself earning All-NBA again next season to qualify for the supermax.

Fred VanVleet (Toronto Raptors)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $88.7 million, or four years, $114.2 million
Free agency age: 30 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $60,782,008
Agent: Brian Jungreis
Probability of extending: Strong

It seems like a good bet that Toronto will offer VanVleet a maximum extension that could pay him close to $30 million annually after the season he just had. HoopsHype’s Michael Scotto reported in a recent podcast episode the Raptors and VanVleet are expected to discuss a possible contract extension this offseason.

Bojan Bogdanovic (Utah Jazz)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $105.1 million
Free agency age: 34 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $84,984,163
Agent: Jason Ranne and Darren Matsubara
Probability of extending: Weak

The Jazz need to reshape the roster around Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, so all their role players should be available for trade. This makes an extension unlikely for Bogdanovic.

Jordan Clarkson (Utah Jazz)

Maximum possible contract: three years, $55.4 million, or four years, $71.7 million
Free agency age: 32 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $75,272,395
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Weak

It seems unlikely that Utah looks to extend any of their role players right now, even though Clarkson was one of their brights spots in the playoffs.

Juancho Hernangomez (Utah Jazz)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million
Free agency age: 28 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $22,847,860
Agent: Aylton Tesch
Probability of extending: Weak

Utah is more likely to waive Hernangomez’ non-guaranteed $7.3 million salary than to extend him. It’s possible they look to re-sign him assuming he clears waivers.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Utah Jazz)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 25 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $9,339,480
Agent: Thaddeus Foucher
Probability of extending: Decent

Bradley Beal (Washington Wizards)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $181.3 million if he opts out, or four years, $195.8 million if he opts in
Free agency age: 30 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $179,548,025
Agent: Reggie Brown and Mark Bartelstein
Probability of extending: Weak

Beal has already confirmed that he is leaning towards declining his $36.4 million player option and re-signing with the Wizards for up to five years, $247.7 million.

Kristaps Porzingis (Washington Wizards)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $172.2 million, or three years, $130.7 million
Free agency age: 29 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $107,053,494
Agent: Janis Porzingis
Probability of extending: Weak

If the Wizards extend Porzingis, it would probably need to be at a significant discount. He’s more likely to hit free agency and test the market on his next deal.

Kyle Kuzma (Washington Wizards)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $69.9 million, or three years, $50.5 million
Free agency age: 29 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $21,650,178
Agent: Austin Brown
Probability of extending: Decent

After having a career season, it’s possible the Wizards offer one of these extension amounts to Kuzma. While he has played to the value of it, he could also bet on himself improving more, allowing him to earn more in free agency in 2023.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Washington Wizards)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $75.3 million
Free agency age: 30 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $74,942,697
Agent: Rich Paul
Probability of extending: Decent

The Wizards could make Pope available for trade, especially since they need a new starting point guard and his $14 million salary is great for salary matching. If they keep him, an extension where he’s earning around the same as his current amount makes sense.

Rui Hachimura (Washington Wizards)

Maximum possible contract: five years, $185.7 million
Free agency age: 25 years old in 2023
Career earnings: $14,078,160
Agent: Jason Ranne and Darren Matsubara
Probability of extending: Weak

The Wizards might not be in a rush to extend Hachimura thanks to their crowded frontcourt, including Kristaps Porzingis, Kyle Kuzma, and Deni Avdija, among others. Their proximity to the luxury tax could also play into not extending him, especially with Bradley Beal set to earn a significant raise this offseason.

Vernon Carey (Washington Wizards)

Maximum possible contract: four years, $59 million, or three years, $43 million
Free agency age: 23 years old in 2024
Career earnings: $2,867,981
Agent: Jeff Wechsler
Probability of extending: Weak

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