ESPN updates chances of Ohio State winning each remaining regular-season game after Week 7
The Ohio State football team enjoyed a bye in Week 6, and it was a much-needed. It gave the Buckeyes a chance to get some of its most important players who were nursing injuries time to heal.
Six games into the season and it’s pretty clear all of the goals Ohio State had at the beginning of the campaign are still in play, including a Big Ten championship and a potential berth into the College Football Playoff. But with the season half the way over, OSU has to finish the deal.
ESPN updates its matchup predictor for every game for every Football Bowl Subdivision team every week and we like to follow. It’s time to check in again after a week in which Ohio State sat idly by to watch Michigan make a statement against Penn State, and Illinois and Purdue separate themselves in the West a bit.
Have any of the percentages changed? Is Ohio State still favored to win all of its games in the regular season? Here’s what the ESPN FPI says about each of the remaining games on the Buckeyes’ schedule the rest of the way.
Saturday, Oct. 22, vs. Iowa
USA TODAY Sports
How it all breaks down
Venue | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability | 95.5% (⇑ from 95.3%)
All-Time Series | OSU leads 46-15-3
Projected running record: 7-0
Saturday, Oct. 29, at Penn State
Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports
How it all breaks down
Venue | Beaver Stadium (State College, Pennsylvania)
Predicted Winner | Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability | 83.1% (⇑ from 80.1%)
All-Time Series | OSU leads 22-14
Projected running record: 8-0
Saturday, Nov. 5, at Northwestern
Oct. 16, 2021; Evanston, Illinois; Northwestern Wildcats head coach Pat Fitzgerald looks on in the first half against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Ryan Field. Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports
How it all breaks down
Venue | Ryan Field (Evanston, Illinois)
Predicted Winner | Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability | 98.7% (⇑ from 98.6%)
All-Time Series | OSU leads 64-14-1
Projected running record: 9-0
Saturday, Nov. 12, vs. Indiana
Indiana Hoosiers head coach Tom Allen watches from the sideline during the fourth quarter of the NCAA football game at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana, on Saturday, Oct. 23, 2021. USA TODAY Sports
How it all breaks down
Venue | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability | 98.3% (⇓ from 98.5%)
All-Time Series |OSU leads 77-12-5
Projected running record: 10-0
Saturday, Nov. 19, at Maryland
Sept. 10, 2022; Charlotte, North Carolina; Maryland Terrapins wide receiver Octavian Smith Jr. (15) and quarterback Billy Edwards Jr. (9) celebrate his touchdown against the Charlotte 49ers during the second half at Jerry Richardson Stadium. Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports
How it all breaks down
Venue | Maryland Stadium (College Park, Maryland)
Predicted Winner | Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability | 86.2% (⇑ from 85.2%)
All-Time Series | OSU leads 7-0
Projected running record: 11-0
Saturday, Nov. 26, vs. Michigan
Michigan Wolverines wide receiver Cornelius Johnson (6) celebrates his score against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors during first-half action at Michigan Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022. USA TODAY Sports
How it all breaks down
Venue | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)
Predicted Winner | Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability | 75.1% (⇓ from 77.4%)
All-Time Series |OSU trails 51-59-6
Projected Final Regular Season record: 12-0
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