Best NFL Week 6 wagers

Minty Bets and Pamela Maldonado each give you their two favorite bets this weekend in the NFL. Will the Texans cover the huge spread vs the Colts? Will the Cowboys stay undefeated against the spread? New BetMGM customers who bet $1 on ANY game will receive $100 in free bets added to their account. You don’t need to win your bet to receive the promotion. Must be 21+ in AZ, CO, IN, IA, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. . Terms apply. Go to BetMGM.com/YAHOOSPECIAL to get started or use promo code SPORTSBOOK when making your first deposit.

Video Transcript

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MINTY BETS: Welcome to "Yahoo Sportsbook Daily." I am Minty Bets, joined by Pam Maldonado, and we are here to preview some of our favorite bets for the NFL week six. Let's kick things off with you, Pam. What is your first pick for today's pod?

PAMELA MALDONADO: I'm rolling with them Boys minus 3 and 1/2 at the New England Patriots. The New England defense, they're starting-- yeah, they looked good that they held Super Bowl champ Tom Brady in check. Sure, we'll give them that. Zero passing touchdowns for Brady. Held below under 300 yards of passing.

But there's a few things that come into play. Weather, it was a factor. The big moment of breaking Drew Brees' passing record, that's a factor. Facing his old coach Bill Belichick in his old house, that's a factor. All of that came into play as to why we saw Tom Brady underperform. The Patriots, they then allowed rookie Davis Mills to look like an absolute stud last week. Mills had 312 passing yards, three passing touchdowns, three big-time passing plays of 67, 40, and 37 yards. So now which Patriots team are we actually looking at here?

What I do love about the Cowboys, though, is that this Dallas offense, why are they such a threat? Because they use both running backs, Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard, as passing backs. They use to tight ends in Dalton Schultz and Blake Jarwin. Three deep threats in CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Cedrick Wilson. Defending this offense is hella hard. You're not gonna get Davis Mills. You're getting Dak Prescott.

Mac Jones, he has five touchdowns on the season, five interceptions. Dallas is still top two for takeaways. 10 forced interceptions already. The Cowboys are 5 and 0 against the spread this season. I'm gonna keep riding them until they stop.

MINTY BETS: I do not like the Cowboys, but I do like your pick. And you're so right, you have to ride the hot teams. They're the only 5 and 0 against-the-spread team right now. So I don't blame you for picking the Cowboys, Pam.

And you spoke of Davis Mills earlier. Speaking of him, I am actually going to take the Houston Texans plus 10 over the Indianapolis Colts. Now this just doesn't make sense to me. The Colts have been underdogs all season long, five weeks straight, and now they've jumped to 10-point favorites. They are being so overvalued as much as the Texans are being undervalued here.

Davis Mills has underperformed since his start. He had a great week last week, completing 72% of his passes, throwing for three touchdowns, no picks. And it was a very, very close loss to the Patriots. Mills is building an on-field relationship with Chris Conley, Brandin Cooks, and he's got great depth with his running backs.

Indy is coming off a short week, so that will affect them. And I expect this game to be pretty tight because of this. So that's why I like the Houston Texans plus 10. Come on, you've got to take the double-digit dog here. Pam, what is your second pick for this podcast?

PAMELA MALDONADO: Minty, I'm gonna look to a game total instead of an against-the-spread pick. I'm rolling with the under on Raiders and Broncos, 44 and 1/2. You have two teams who are really good at applying quarterback pressure, and both of these teams are really bad at quarterback protection. If you look at pressure versus protection, Las Vegas Raiders, they are 13th in pressure rate and they are 28th with their offensive line in quarterback protection. Denver, the same scenario. They are 10th best at applying quarterback pressure, but they are 24th with quarterback protection.

Now the Raiders, they're a one-dimensional pass-heavy offense. They're fourth in passing, 29th in rushing. And Derek Carr, I'm not sure if you have seen him. We all have. When he's under pressure, he is not that good. He is ranked 21st in completion percentage when under pressure. The Denver Broncos are gonna bring that.

And then Denver for themselves, it's a great opportunity to run the ball, slow down the clock, use Melvin Gordon, use Javonte Williams. The Raiders are 25th in rushing defense. That's definitely gonna come into play here. Able to slow down the scoring. Denver already 0 and 2 to the under at home this season, and the under is 7 and 2 combined between these two squads. I like the under on 44 and 1/2. Minty, what do you think about that?

MINTY BETS: I actually really love that pick. I see the Raiders play all the time, and I know they start off really slow. In fact, the first half, I'm usually walking around at the concessions eating, and then I join for the second half.

All right, my last pick to end this pod, got to go with my Cincinnati Bengals minus 3 and 1/2 over the Lions. All right, the Bengals are the best team in the league, OK? Just kidding, but they do look better than everyone expected. They lost last week to the Packers, or should I actually word it they almost won against the Super Bowl contender Green Bay Packers. Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase will continue connecting and gain significant yardage against the Lions.

Detroit doesn't have anyone that can hang with Chase, and then you throw Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins in the mix. There's a variety with this offense. Detroit is allowing 10 yards per pass attempt, which is dead last in the league, so that should be good for this receiving corps. But take this with a grain of salt because Burrow needs to be healthy and ready to go.

3 and 1/2 is a tricky line when betting on a favorite, especially with the Bengals. They love keeping games close. I don't expect that this time around though. Cincy will bounce back here, they will win by a full score, and they're the better team. So far, they have a winning record and must maintain that record and get back on track to remain in contention.

The Bengals rank seventh in the league in defensive DVOA, which is a huge improvement from last year at 27. The Lions currently rank 29th, so I am taking my chances with the Bengals minus 3 and 1/2. But we'll see if we can get minus 3 here. But like I said, I think they win by a full score. Pam, thoughts on this pick?

PAMELA MALDONADO: I'm very confused about the Bengals. They are a team that I just don't quite understand. I love Joe Burrow, but that offensive line is still susceptible. So as long as you're riding them, I trust you. You're good at NFL.

MINTY BETS: I mean, you know what, they are hit or miss. But every time I bet on them, they seem to be a hit. Just to recap, we've got Cowboys minus 3 and 1/2, Texans plus 10, Broncos at Raiders under 44 and 1/2, and Bengals minus 3 and 1/2. You guys can follow me on Twitter at MintyBets, follow Pam at PamelaM35, and make sure to follow all of our content over at Yahoo Sportsbook.

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Frank Schwab will be back on Monday on "Yahoo Sportsbook Daily." Until then, goodbye and good luck.