Best wins: Missouri, 'Cuse (x2), N.D. (x2)
Key losses: Duke, Syracuse, G'town
Leading scorer: Russ Smith (18.1)
[Other regions: South | East | West ]
Backcourt experience and senior leadership are two prerequisites for making a national championship run. With guards Peyton Siva and and Russ Smith, coach Rick Pitino can happily check both of those boxes.
Siva, a senior who averages 10 points and 5.9 assists a game, guided the Cardinals to a second straight Big East tournament title, joining Georgetown's Patrick Ewing as the only repeat tourney MVP. Smith, a 6-foot-1 junior who averages a team-best 18.1 points per game, is the dynamic scorer capable of creating his own shot. Siva and Smith also ignite Pitino's trademark press, each making two steals a game, but the diminutive guards can be exposed defensively against bigger guards.
Best wins: UK, Louisville, Ohio St., Miami
Key losses: NC State, Miami, Maryland(x2)
Leading scorer: Mason Plumlee (17.2)
Duke not only shoots the 3-pointer, ranking among the nation's best at 40.6 percent, but it also defends the three, holding opponents to just 29.3 percent from beyond the arc.
[Related: Play Yahoo! Sports Tourney Pick'em]
Best wins: Kansas, OSU, Michigan
Key losses: Miami, Indiana (x2), OSU (x2)
Leading scorer: Keith Appling (13.6)
The Spartans will bring the bruisers in the tournament, in the form of Adreian Payne and Derrick Nix, and that should soften opponents enough late in games to give scorers Keith Appling and Gary Harris room to create. The question is whether it will be enough room. Those two combine for just north of 25 ppg, so a hot-shooting team could put the Spartans in a hole that isn’t easy to get out of. Izzo’s crew will once again rely on its toughness to survive and advance, while less physical teams tend to wilt around them – especially as the Final Four gets closer.
Best wins: Butler (x3), VCU (x2)
Key losses: Kansas, Xavier
Leading scorer: Dwayne Evans (13.6)
Disciplined and mentally tough, they boast one of the top half-court defenses in the land by forcing turnovers while conceding just 0.88 points per possession. Consistency on offense has lagged at times, but when Mike McCall and Cody Ellis are shooting well from the outside, they are very difficult to beat. If they can control the tempo and execute on offense, St. Louis could surprise.
Best wins: N.C. State, Kansas, K-State
Key losses: Gonzaga, K-State, Kansas
Leading scorer: Marcus Smart (15.4)
Brown and Phil Forte give Oklahoma State a couple of solid 3-point threats. One potential worry: The Cowboys looked weary by the end of the Big 12 tournament.
[Related: Interactive bracket and complete tourney coverage]
Best wins: Ohio, Tennessee
Key losses: VCU, Minnesota, Louisville
Leading scorer: Joe Jackson (13.6)
Still, there’s a strong case to be made for a deep tournament run. Most obviously, the Tigers have lost once since December 15. They have four double-digit scorers in Adonis Thomas, Chris Crawford, Joe Jackson, and Geron Johnson. Two of those guys (Jackson and Crawford) are shooting better than 40 percent from three. So the firepower is there. The test will come when Memphis faces a big-conference school with size and strength. Then it will be up to baby-faced head coach Josh Pastner (104 wins at age 35) to array all that shooting talent into a tournament-tough team. Pastner doesn’t drink alcohol, soda or caffeine. If his Tigers can show that kind of discipline in a stressful setting, watch out.
Best wins: Wisconsin, ASU, Cal, Wich. St.
Key losses: Boise St., Wich. St., St. Mary's
Leading scorer: Doug McDermott (23.1)
Ethan Wragge and Jahenns Manigat can really fill it up from the outside, Gregory Echenique is a muscle man down low, and Will Artino and Avery Dingman have provided valuable minutes off the bench. Defensively, Creighton can be a mess, but if it locks down in that area, as it did in the MVC tourney, it could make the Sweet 16.
Best wins: UNLV, SDSU
Key losses: SDSU, New Mexico(x2), UNLV
Leading scorer: Colton Iverson (14.7)
The CSU faithful can dream big with All-Mountain West first-teamer Colton Iverson. The 6-foot-10 senior transfer from Minnesota brought toughness to the Rams, averaging a team-leading 15 points and 10 rebounds. His inside presence opens things up for Dorian Green and Wes Eikmeier to do damage from the outside. Both senior guards average nearly 13 points a game, but Green has been slowed by an ankle sprain.
Best wins: Illinois, Florida, Ole Miss
Key losses: Louisville, UCLA, Florida
Leading scorer: Laurence Bowers (14.4)
The preseason Southeastern Conference player of the year's poor shot selection and ill-timed turnovers are on the Mizzou fans' minds more than his good deeds, which include a 11.6-point scoring average and an SEC-leading 7.1 assists per game. Perhaps Laurence Bowers (14.4 points per game), Oregon transfer Jabari Brown (13.7), Keion Bell (11.1) and Connecticut transfer Alex Oriakhi (11.1) can lend a helping hand.
Best wins: Xavier, Pittsburgh, Marquette
Key losses: G'town (x2), L'ville, 'Cuse
Leading scorer: Sean Kilpatrick (16.9)
The Bearcats haven't found much rhythm on offense, shooting just 40.2 percent, which ranks 305th in the nation. Junior guard Sean Kilpatrick leads the Bearcats with 16.9 points per game. Senior guard Cashmere Wright is averaging 12.6 points on 35.9 percent 3-point shooting.
Best wins: BYU (x2), San Diego (x2)
Key losses: Georgia Tech, Gonzaga (x2)
Leading scorer: Matthew Dellavedova (15.8)
Senior guard Matthew Dellavedova is the biggest reason why the Gaels are dancing. The All-West Coast Conference selection leads the team in scoring (16 points per game) and averaged a league-best six assists per game. Reliable perimeter shooting has been lacking for St. Mary's, which will need junior guard Stephen Holt and junior forward Beau Levesque to knock down shots.
Best wins: Ole Miss, Vandy, WKU (x2)
Key losses: Florida, Akron, Belmont
Leading scorer: Marcos Knight (12.5)
Best wins: UNLV, Arizona, UCLA
Key losses: Cincinnati, California (x2)
Leading scorer: E.J. Singler (11.6)
Leading scorer E.J. Singler, brother of ex-Duke star Kyle, is one of five players averaging at least nine points a game. Freshman guard Damyean Dotson is a tough cover with his slashing drives to the basket; senior forward Arsalan Kazemi and senior center Tony Woods do the dirty work inside, offensively and defensively.
Best wins: Utah State, Denver
Key losses: N.M. (x2), La. Tech, USU
Leading scorer: Daniel Mullings (14.0)
Animated skyscraper Sim Bhullar, who stands at 7-foot-5, is a prolific rebounder and shot-blocker. In the WAC tourney alone he rejected nine shots. Still, questions loom. The Aggies are ghastly from three and haven't taken advantage of their numerous free-throw attempts. Self-inflicted wounds are also a problem, evident in their high turnover rate. But given their massive frontcourt size, they shouldn't be immediately dismissed.
Best wins: Murray St., Wright St. (x2)
Key losses: Nebraska, St. Louis, N.M.
Leading scorer: Ryan Broekhoff (15.9)
The Crusaders are led by sharp-shooter Ryan Broekhoff and senior forward Kevin Van Wijk, who combine to shoot 53.2 percent from the field and 81 percent from the free-throw line. Defensively, the Horizon reps are average at best and turnovers have plagued them at times, but the Crusaders should not be overlooked. If they draw an opponent that's soft on defense, they could wreck many brackets.
Best wins: Stony Brook
Key losses: Ohio St., Stony Brook (x2)
Leading scorer: Mike Black (14.9)
The oversized Canines are an effective three-point shooting team that also cashes in often at the free-throw line. Defensively, they lack punch, but led by 6-foot-10 center John Puk, they've dominated the glass at times, ranking inside the top-40 nation in defensive rebounding percentage. Albany shocked Washington in Seattle back in December, but unless it's en fuego from outside, it will likely get the quick hook.
Best wins: ...
Key losses: Georgetown, Richmond
Leading scorer: John Caleb Sanders (14.2)
However, the Flames occasionally overcame their shortcomings with long-range shooting. Davon Marshall, who set a Big South record by hitting seven three-pointers in the tourney final, shoots 43.3 percent from behind the arc. Still, with little size and given its defensive shortcomings, Liberty is a low-end seed with little substance.
Best win: N.C. Central?
Key losses: Wright St., Cincinnati, Iowa St.
Leading scorer: Adrian Powell (12.5)
Unquestionably the worst offensive team in the field, ranking No. 317 in adjusted offensive efficiency, A&T relies solely on defense. It coaxed turnovers on nearly 24-percent of opponent possessions and limited foes to a laudable 0.95 points per possession. But unless Adrian Powell goes nuts from three, the Aggies will soon get body-slammed. Recall, they lost to Cincinnati 93-39 back in November.
Related NCAA tourney video from Yahoo! Sports
More NCAA tourney content from Yahoo! Sports:
• What the selection committee got right and where they screwed up
• Saint Louis team got caught in traffic, watched selection show at Best Buy
• Louisville looks like NCAA tourney favorite
• How to win your office bracket pool
