Complete Playoff Ranks
Welcome to the NFL Playoffs, Fantasy Rankings Division. Ranking NFL players for the playoffs is extremely difficult unless you have Biff’s Grays Sports Almanac to tell you exactly how many games each team will play, but that’s what makes it fun (or extremely frustrating). Unlike in normal leagues you can’t be sure that the team your draftee plays for will play more than one game. And if you’ve ever wagered on football you know that your chances of picking that right are fairly precarious. But that’s the added twist that makes playoff leagues more challenging. Below I’ll give you a little look into my thinking on strategy for playoff-long draft leagues and then get into the rankings. Good luck!
Picking the winners from Wildcard Weekend for NFL Playoff drafts will for sure give your players two games, but of course the odds of them having more than two games are less than a team like Seattle or Denver having more than two. So even though it would be nice to pick the bulk of your fantasy players from a wild card winner who will go to the Super Bowl, the odds are still in favor of Seattle and Denver being there in the end. So that will be my default position in the overall rankings, but it is still worth selecting a couple teams you feel are strong enough to go deep in the playoffs from each conference. You’ll have trouble winning if you spread your picks out too much. To the bold goes the bounty.
NFL Playoff Rankings
Quarterbacks
1. Peyton Manning
2. Russell Wilson
3. Tom Brady
4. Colin Kaepernick
5. Nick Foles
6. Cam Newton
7. Aaron Rodgers
8. Andy Dalton
9. Drew Brees
10. Andrew Luck
11. Philip Rivers
12. Alex Smith
QB Notes: Peyton Manning’s consistently huge numbers easily makes him the first quarterback and first player taken in fantasy drafts because his odds of getting to the Super Bowl coupled with his upside in relation to the other quarterbacks is pretty wide. ... After Manning I’d want to go with Russell Wilson based on his team’s dominance at home and his play in last year’s playoff when he combined for 572 passing yards, 127 yards rushing and four all-purpose touchdowns in two games. ... Tom Brady has the coach and playoff experience to make the Patriots the third most likely team to win out. Brady’s numbers haven’t been elite of late, but ‘he’ll show up in a shootout and a win with middling stats’ is usually better than 'great stats with a loss’. After these three it gets a lot muddier for me. Colin Kaepernick, Aaron Rodgers, Cam Newton and Nick Foles all have extremely high ceilings and a fairly equal shot at multiple games in my mind. If I miss out on the top three, I think I would wait on a quarterback. ... Drew Brees is a tough call, but it is very hard to look past his 3-5 road record and distinctive home/away statistical splits. At home he averages 354 yards passing per game with a total of 27 touchdowns to three interceptions and on the road he’s averaging 291 yards passing per game and a total of 12 touchdowns to nine interceptions. And outdoors the stats are even worse.
Running Backs
1. Marshawn Lynch
2. Knowshon Moreno
3. LeSean McCoy
4. Frank Gore
5. Jamaal Charles
6. Eddie Lacy
7. Shane Vereen
8. LeGarrette Blount
9. Giovani Bernard
10. Donald Brown
11. Stevan Ridley
12. Montee Ball
13. Ryan Mathews
14. DeAngelo Williams
15. Pierre Thomas
16. Mike Tolbert
17. BenJarvus Green-Ellis
18. Danny Woodhead
19. Darren Sproles
20. Trent Richardson
21. James Starks
22. Bryce Brown
23. Robert Turbin
24. Mark Ingram
25. Knile Davis
26. Kendall Hunter
27. Chris Polk
28. Jonathan Stewart
29. Ronnie Hillman
30. Christine Michael
31. Brandon Bolden
32. LaMichael James
33. John Kuhn
34. Khiry Robinson
35. Anthony Dixon
36. Jed Collins
37. James Develin
38. Ronnie Brown
39. C.J. Anderson
40. Stanley Havili
RB Notes: Marshawn Lynch would be my first non-QB pick. He will get his work and the Seahawks have the best odds to go all the way. ... Knowshon Moreno will continue to lose some work to Montee Ball, but is still the lead back on a great offense with home-field advantage throughout. ... LeSean McCoy has the ability to put up big numbers and I like the Eagles’ chance to beat the Saints at home which would take them to Carolina where I think they have a much better shot of winning than if they had to go to Seattle. ... After McCoy I’d be looking at wide receivers pretty closely. The Patriots' backfield has a good chance of moving on in the playoffs, but also are a little scary from game to game. But each running back, including Stevan Ridley, has a bunch of potential during these playoffs. ... Giovani Bernard out-touched BenJarvus Green-Ellis 18 to 11 last Sunday and I like the Bengals’ chances to beat San Diego at home and they have the personnel to beat quite a few teams if Good Andy shows up. ... The Panthers are tough for me to gauge. They have the talent to go all the way, but I also feel like they are vulnerable if their offense doesn’t show up. So DeAngelo Williams and Mike Tolbert could have some value if you can grab them later, but they don’t feel like strong plays. Johnathan Stewart also could play at some point and hurt their value as well.
Wide Receivers
1. Demaryius Thomas
2. Eric Decker
3. Julian Edelman
4. Wes Welker
5. A.J. Green
6. Anquan Boldin
7. DeSean Jackson
8. Jordy Nelson
9. Michael Crabtree
10. Golden Tate
11. T.Y. Hilton
12. Doug Baldwin
13. Riley Cooper
14. Keenan Allen
15. Randall Cobb
16. Marques Colston
17. Steve Smith
18. Danny Amendola
19. Marvin Jones
20. Brandon LaFell
21. James Jones
22. Ted Ginn
23. Dwayne Bowe
24. Jarrett Boykin
25. Lance Moore
26. Percy Harvin
27. Andre Caldwell
28. Kenbrell Thompkins
29. Mohamed Sanu
30. Andrew Hawkins
31. Jason Avant
32. Da'Rick Rogers
33. Aaron Dobson
34. Jermaine Kearse
35. Kenny Stills
36. Quinton Patton
37. Griff Whalen
38. Robert Meachem
39. Dexter McCluster
40. Donnie Avery
41. Eddie Royal
42. Ricardo Lockette
43. Vincent Brown
44. Junior Hemingway
45. Josh Boyce
46. Brad Smith
47. Domenik Hixon
48. Darrius Heyward-Bey
49. Jonathan Baldwin
50. A.J. Jenkins
WR Notes: You really can’t go wrong with Denver receivers. Besides having a good shot for multiple games they have upside that can get you a chunk of points that could equal other receivers’ multiple game stats. Demaryius Thomas will be a top 10 pick for me if he’s there, but I would feel good with Eric Decker or Wes Welker as my #1. ... Julian Edelman has been so consistent of late and there is just no Seattle receiver I feel good about from week-to-week. I’d much rather spend my Seattle picks on QB, RB, Defense and/or Kicker and then grab some of the lesser-known receivers for depth. ... Anquan Boldin plays up to the situation more often than not and I’m taking my usual analytical self and just going with the Boldin playoff mystique in this one. ... I want to grab my top receivers from the same team of my top quarterback if possible. After those you can be a little more adventurous and grab the wild card receivers to make sure you can fill out your roster in Week 1 of the playoffs. ... Steve Smith will have had three weeks to heal up and I just don’t see him not playing and playing with the fire of a thousand suns. ... Marvin Jones has been coming on of late and could be in for a good playoff run if everything comes together for the Bengals, plus he should be available later in drafts.
Tight Ends
1. Julius Thomas
2. Vernon Davis
3. Jimmy Graham
4. Greg Olsen
5. Zach Miller
6. Zach Ertz
7. Brent Celek
8. Luke Willson
9. Coby Fleener
10. Andrew Quarless
11. Tyler Eifert
12. Jacob Tamme
13. Jermaine Gresham
14. Antonio Gates
15. Michael Hoomanawanui
16. Ladarius Green
17. Joel Dreessen
18. Anthony Fasano
19. Sean McGrath
20. Virgil Green
TE Notes: Julius Thomas is the clear-cut #1 tight end for me for reasons that I’ve already jabbered on about. ... Vernon Davis has been a playoff stud and has a decent shot at playing two games, but his upside is what I like. ... Jimmy Graham would be the no doubt #1 tight end if the Saints could win on the road. He is pretty much interchangeable with Davis because he has the highest scoring potential and if the Saints get their act together on the road their offense can matchup with anyone. ... Zach Miller and Luke Willson have good upside in an offense that doesn’t focus on one receiver. Of course their downside is pretty low as well, but Seattle has that whole home-field advantage thing.
Defense
1. Seattle
2. Denver
3. Carolina
4. San Francisco
5. New England
6. Cincinnati
7. Kansas City
8. Indianapolis
9. Philadelphia
10. New Orleans
11. Green Bay
12. San Diego
Defense Notes: I’d feel fine reaching for Seattle in a playoff league. They are just that dominant and have a good shot of going to the big dance. Their value over the other defenses is worth its weight in fantasy points. ... After Seattle it gets much trickier. I’ve gone with teams I think will win and bumped up the better defenses a notch.
Kickers
1. Steven Hauschka
2. Matt Prater
3. Stephen Gostkowski
4. Phil Dawson
5. Graham Gano
6. Adam Vinatieri
7. Mike Nugent
8. Alex Henery
9. Shayne Graham
10. Mason Crosby
11. Ryan Succop
12. Nick Novak
Kicker Notes: The odds are the weather will be a bit better in Seattle than in Denver. Hauschka and Prater are the best bets of course, but if you feel strongly about one team making it to the Super Bowl it’s worth grabbing that kicker a little early. If you can get points instead of a certain zero you are ahead of the game.