Ball Don't Lie - NBA

Boston 89, Cleveland 73 

I'd rather not get too far into this, it's going to depress me and you to no end (enjoy every sandwich, I know), but we're looking at an unprecedented talent that is being shackled by the limits of his own surroundings, and the pleas of a coach who is way, way out of his league.

(Had I written that opener a year ago about KG, nobody would have blinked. Thank Ainge that this man is on a team that deserves him.)

On top of that, the Boston Celtics are ridiculously good. The depth they boast may have yet to show up on the road during the playoffs (though it was winning games for this team down the stretch in the regular season), but this team plays such perfect defense, and takes care of what it can offensively - and it's so fun to watch when everything is clicking.

A commenter pointed this out in a post from Thursday, and it was absatively spot-on - the Celtics aren't destroying offenses by trapping like mad or throwing three defenders at their main source of irritation.

The team is zoning, legally, getting Kendrick Perkins to somehow cover huge stretches of court while holding his own on the boards, and recovering when necessary. Nothing overt.

The problem for Cleveland is, yeah, the recovery is hardly necessary. It doesn't matter. None of these guys have open shots.

The ones that do get open shots are 7-3, and even if Big Z nails a series of them, he's still a 7-3 center shooting flat-footed jumpers that go in (at best) 40 percent of the time, and (at worst) rebound long and start a fast-break. It's a no-win for LeBron. He's been damned with a pitiable supporting cast, and unlike Kobe Bryant from 2005-2007, a coach who doesn't know how to overcome the mitigating factors.

(Also, LeBron couldn't post me up, sadly.)

Boston deserved this win. I saw the first half in real time and the second part of things after I knew the outcome, and it just felt like a fight that should have been stopped before the opening bell even rang.

That's not me trying to be cute with the sports analogies, this is just a one-way series that - even if the C's take a holiday upon their two-game visit to Ohio - pits one team that knows what to do versus another that has no clue how to put together a game plan that makes sense.

Also, I'm not entirely sure Kevin Garnett will let his team lose a series. He'll pull a fire alarm if he has to.

San Antonio 110, New Orleans 99

The defending champion San Antonio Spurs, not sure if you've heard -- you can't count them out. You can't count on them, but you can thank them for finally initiating what we've long assumed to be a long series. After an uninspiring first round (what, Boston/Atlanta inspired you? How many novellas did you write?), it's a unique (to this postseason) and appreciated hope that we can't help but get behind.

San Antonio seemed to get every offensive rebound that counted, the team seemed to pull out every loose ball that counted - and you know what? That's not hyperbole. For some reason, the flipped coin landed on their side of things every time out. And it had a lot to do with how they pulled out the win.

But taking away the extra possessions, the extra shots afforded by offensive rebounds (there weren't that many in comparison to NOLA's lot), and the idea that everything was coming up Popovich, this was also a team that was in the midst of its best offensive game in quite a while.

123.6 points per 100 possessions (!) for the Spurs in this one, closer in line with its 5th-place ranking from last year in offensive efficiency versus its 15th-place run from this year.

The Spurs worked the ball, didn't goof around, didn't rely on washed-up players chucking up 25-footers, and let Tony Parker run the show. Parker was brilliant - 31 points, 11 assists, four turnovers; and Manu Ginobili was filling in the holes.

Even as a starter, Manu acted more the 6th-man than usual; moving without the ball, cutting to the hoop after the Spurs grabbed offensive rebounds, and generally (especially in the case of Hornets rookie Julian Wright) making New Orleans look as if it had five players guarding a six-man team.

Or four guarding a five. Your call. I've made mine. Dig.

There are still holes in the San Antonio run. Chris Paul was amazing, he was the best player on the floor, and CP3 got whatever he wanted when he wanted it. Save for that whole "win" thing. Tyson Chandler will improve, others will hit shots, and the Hornets will start to realize that desperate veteran teams shooting long shots will have long offensive rebounds.

But it will be a series. And, whatever the outcome (I think we can all bank on the Hornets, though the road team could win the next two games), it should remind of 2006's glorious Spurs/Mavericks back and forth. I'm cool with that.

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15 Comments

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  1. Nookiez
    1. Posted by Nookiez Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:42 pm EDT

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    My man Rico got it right, sweep for the Celtics. But i predict the Spurs will go down to the Hornets in 6 games.
    See you at the finals! Celtics vs. New Orleans.
  2. mannash10
    2. Posted by mannash10 Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:05 pm EDT

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    i am almost positive that Rico is the author behind these columns-
    http://www.flotsam-media.com/search/label/Bandwagon%20Burt
  3. poker_punker
    3. Posted by poker_punker Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:46 pm EDT

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    Celtics are playing great...but they have yet to face a decent coach (Woodson? Mike Brown?). Whoever comes out of the west will completely outcoach Doc and win the championship.
    Had the Celtics had at least a decent coach (say, Skiles, Carlisle or AJ) they would win it all.
    But they don't. So, I have to pick the Lakers - they matchup great against them (a lot of shooters who can break the zone) and seem to be peaking at the right time.
  4. THOMAS B
    4. Posted by THOMAS B Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:59 pm EDT

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    "he's still a 7-3 center shooting flat-footed jumpers that go in (at best) 40 percent of the time, and (at worst) rebound long and start a fast-break. It's a no-win for LeBron." youre kind of a basic idiot, arent you KD? Big Z has been the best player on the cavs in round 2, and its him you choose to pick on? Z has his limitations, but he came to play unlike some people. 40% of the time? Check the stats moron. And in the weak East, Z is the second best center behind Dwight Howard. He's come up big throughout the playoffs, doing exactly what a #2 guy is supposed to do. Its pretty fuggin sad when the guy who shoots 80% from the field gets blamed for the guy who shoots 20%. Its pretty sad that you actually make your living sucking off lebron.
  5. khandor
    5. Posted by khandor Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:50 pm EDT

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    KD, my man ...
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    re: But taking away the extra possessions, the extra shots afforded by offensive rebounds (there weren't that many in comparison to NOLA's lot), and the idea that everything was coming up Popovich, this was also a team that was in the midst of its best offensive game in quite a while.
    123.6 points per 100 possessions (!) for the Spurs in this one, closer in line with its 5th-place ranking from last year in offensive efficiency versus its 15th-place run from this year.
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    During last night's Live Blogging event wasn't it you who was lauding the HORNETS' (rather than the Spurs) top notch offensive performance in last night's game, via their 'Points Scored Per 100 Possessions' (PSPHP) output?
    As I tried to tell you last night ... certain game stats ... like this one, for one team and not the other, in the context of what specific plays are happening and influencing the outcome of the game, from possession-to-possession ... do not allow an observer to truly understand what separates Winners from Losers in an NBA game, and are instead essentially a waste of time.
    Did you see Tony Parker's close-out (hand to nose) on that critical jumper which was by N.O. when the Spurs sealed the deal in the 4thQ? ... or, the moment at which David West lost that game for the Hornets yesterday, when he allowed his head to drop, momentarily, during that crucial sequence at about the 9 minute mark in the 4th, when I told you ... 'THIS GAME IS OVER!' ? ... did you?
    Possession by possession evaluation is where and what this game's about, not overall game stats ... even of the new-age variety.
    As Dickie V might say, "String Theory meets the NBA, Baby!" ... now, that's where it's at.
    ciao
    (and feel free to drop by for a visit at any time)
  6. ballerblogger
    6. Posted by ballerblogger Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:01 pm EDT

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    KD
    Yes, Boston's defense is that good.
    But unfortunately for him, his team, and their fans, LeBron's jumpshot is also that bad.
    If James was hitting with any consistency from mid-range and beyond, things would open up for him and the Cavs offense.
    As otherwordly talented as the man is, it's sad that after five years in the league, he still hasn't developed that aspect of his game.
  7. KD
    7. Posted by KD Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:48 pm EDT

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    khandor,
    as I explained, as as I know you read, the Hornets actually had a better mark when I lauded them, and I thought it more impressive than San Antonio's mark because they were a young team playing on the road for the first time in over a week against the champs. Then again, you've never been the best listener.
    Thomas B -- kindly go over to NBA.com, look at the Hot Zones, and tell me who the real idiot is.
  8. KD
    8. Posted by KD Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:48 pm EDT

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    Ah hell, I'll just do it for you: 42 percent this, year, 39 percent last year.
    The C's are pushing the Cavs into their last ditch shot, the only one that can't be taken away: the tallest guy shooting a long jumper. And so far, he's hit it. And even with that, it's a recipe to get swept by.
  9. khandor
    9. Posted by khandor Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:50 pm EDT

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    KD,
    It's a lot easier to claim that someone else is less than a good 'listener' ... when you're the one deciding whether or not that other person's comments are being published in-full on your blog. :-)
    The point is ... neither the Hornets nor the Spurs PSPHP stats in isolation are worth squat ... in terms of telling you anything about which team is playing better offensively relative to the other ... and which team is probably going to end up winning that specific game, and/or why.
    Listening is something I do very well. :-)
  10. KD
    10. Posted by KD Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:48 pm EDT

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    khandor -- I'm not the one. Skeets gets a dozen comments sent his way every five seconds or so.
    And scoring more points than the other team is generally a good thing.
    TB -- you're daft.
  11. khandor
    11. Posted by khandor Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:50 pm EDT

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    KD,
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    re: And scoring more points than the other team is generally a good thing.
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Which is precisely MY point, not yours. :-)
    The relative value of PSPHP ,,, which is something you are propogating ... is NOT connected to the simple concept of "scoring more points than the other team" ... which is something I value a lot.
    And since we have yet to talk with one another face-to-face or via telephone ... let me also suggest to you that it might be best if you 'Read' carefully what I just wrote there rather than simply trying to 'Listen' to what it is you might think it is I said, without first taking the time to read it carefully instead.
    I'm a good listener and a good reader ... hopefully, you are too. :-)
  12. Osiris
    12. Posted by Osiris Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:04 pm EDT

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    The Cavs are having an offensive problem because Mike Brown has relied on LeBron to win every game for them . This is all well and good, but at this level of competition, the workshare has to be distributed. Z has been playing really well and hits his free-throws. (Howard, Shaq, Duncan, you hear that???)
    Damon Jones and Devin Brown have barely played and the Cavs are wasting one of the world's greatest talents by the world's most simplistic offensive schemes. When's the last time you saw the Cavs execute a backdoor cut, or a double screen?
    I would be happy to see LeBron work with Karl Malone this summer and use his body to punish people down low.
    He's athletic enough to be a combo of Jordan and Larry Johnson, but a coach with some vision is a necessity.
    Given all that, don't count out Cleveland til it's over. Stranger things have happened, and karma is going to come back on Boston for poisoning Big Ben and making that floor sooooo slippery.
  13. Greatest Championship History
    13. Posted by Greatest Championship History Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:54 pm EDT

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    hey lucy..nice pics..hehehe
  14. jingjing
    14. Posted by jingjing Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:27 pm EDT

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    im a basketball funnatic, and i like boston vs cavs to comes up with a game 7 & also spurs vs hornets cause it so nice to watch nba playoff....i like the drama most specially in the fourth quarter, that each team so discipline to excecute the defense & offense............
  15. angloamer
    15. Posted by angloamer Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:54 pm EDT

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    The finals will be Boston and SanAntonio.

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