Updated Wisconsin ESPN FPI win projections after Week 1
Wisconsin rolled in Week 1, putting together a 38-0 win over Illinois State at Camp Randall.
Graham Mertz looked confident, Braelon Allen ripped off the longest touchdown run in school history, and the defense pitched a shutout. Wisconsin now prepares to take on a Pac-12 opponent in Washington State with kickoff set for 2:30 p.m. CT at Camp Randall.
ESPN FPI provides win projections for each Badger game, and those projections update after each week’s result. What do the win probabilities look like for the Badgers going forward? Here is an updated look at each week’s win percentage chances according to ESPN FPI:
September 10 vs Washington State
Sep 3, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers quarterback Graham Mertz (5) celebrates following a touchdown during the third quarter against the Illinois State Redbirds at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin win probability: 92.9 %
September 17 vs New Mexico State
Sep 3, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers running back Braelon Allen (0) celebrates after rushing for a touchdown during the second quarter against the Illinois State Redbirds at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin win probability: 99.0%
September 24 at Ohio State
Ohio State Buckeyes defensive end Zach Harrison (33) runs onto the field with the Buckeyes as they are introduced at the start of the College Football Playoff Semifinal at the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Clemson Tigers on Saturday, December 28, 2019 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. [Joshua A. Bickel/Dispatch]
Wisconsin win probability: 9.5%
October 1 vs Illinois
MINNEAPOLIS, MN – NOVEMBER 6: Head coach Bret Bielema of the Illinois Fighting Illini looks on before the start of the game against the Minnesota Golden Gophers at Huntington Bank Stadium on November 6, 2021 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by David Berding/Getty Images)
Wisconsin win probability: 81.5%
October 8 at Northwestern
Sep 3, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers quarterback Graham Mertz (5) throws a pass during warmups prior to the game against the Illinois State Redbirds at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin win probability: 81.5%
October 15 at Michigan State
Sep 3, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers nose tackle Keeanu Benton (95) celebrates following a tackle during the second quarter against the Illinois State Redbirds at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin win probability: 40.2%
October 22 vs Purdue
Sep 3, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers wide receiver Chimere Dike (13) celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the third quarter against the Illinois State Redbirds at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin win probability: 74.3%
November 5 vs Maryland
Sep 3, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers safety John Torchio (15) returns an interception for a touchdown during the first quarter against the Illinois State Redbirds at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin win probability: 72.8%
November 12 at Iowa
Oct 30, 2021; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Iowa Hawkeyes head coach Kirk Ferentz looks on during warmups prior to the game against the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin win probability: 70.0%
November 19 at Nebraska
Sep 3, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers head coach Paul Chryst talks with quarterback Graham Mertz (5) during the third quarter against the Illinois State Redbirds at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin win probability: 65.0%
November 26 vs Minnesota
Aug 31, 2018; Madison, WI, USA; A Wisconsin Badgers cheerleader carries the Wisconsin flag following a score during the game against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin win probability: 69.5%
