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ARLINGTON, Texas – There’s a potential No. 1 NFL draft pick at quarterback, unprecedented recruiting success filling the roster with five-stars and glistening facilities that would make Egyptian pharaohs blush.
These should be gilded times for the University of Oregon football program under Mario Cristobal, as the second-year Ducks coach is thriving in every aspect except game coaching. For the second consecutive year, Cristobal’s decisions late in games pulled defeat from the jaws of victory and appear to be holding the Ducks back from making the leap from good to great.
No. 11 Oregon blew its opener to No. 16 Auburn, 27-21, on Saturday night for a hundred different reasons, capped by a Bo Nix touchdown pass with nine seconds remaining. The Ducks dropped a touchdown, missed a chip-shot field goal and squandered another scoring opportunity with an unforgivable bungle of a simple quarterback-tailback exchange.
But the primary culprit in the aftermath of Oregon giving away a 21-6 second-half lead was Cristobal himself, as those nine seconds never should have been on the clock. Cristobal the game manager is undercutting the progress of Cristobal the program builder, and Saturday night should be the cruel lesson that prompts immediate change in how Oregon handles game management.
For the second consecutive season, a scintillating performance by the Ducks was thrown away in the final minutes. Last year it came at home against Stanford, as Cristobal declined to kneel the ball in victory formation and punt late in the game. Instead, he ran the ball into disaster, as CJ Verdell fumbled and Oregon gave away the game in overtime.
This time around, there’s a tasting menu of Cristobal fourth-quarter blunders. The ones that drew the most attention on Saturday night came when Oregon burnt back-to-back timeouts with 5:34 remaining amid a flurry lowlighted by the Ducks coaching staff not knowing basic timeout rules. That was inexcusable, as they attempted to call timeout to put Justin Herbert back in the game after he’d left due to injury until the officials denied them. Somehow, none of the endless wave of Ducks assistants and analysts in those shiny $109 Nike polo shirts knew that rule — that a player couldn’t “buy back into the game” with a timeout, as the referee explained it. Oregon blew back-to-back timeouts amid the bedlam.
That moment embarrassed the Ducks coaching staff more than it cost them the game, underscoring the issues at hand without being fatal.
The cavalier clock management on the next possession can be more directly tied to Oregon’s demise. Oregon started that drive with 4:31 left on the clock and a 21-20 lead. They’d done a great job neutralizing Auburn’s salty defensive front all night, and the obvious plan here would have been to attempt to milk the clock, force Auburn to burn timeouts and win the game.
But Oregon, nursing that one-point lead, snapped the ball with 11 on the play clock on second-and-6. The next two downs, they did a little better in milking the clock down to five. Still, that’s at least 15 seconds – to be charitable – in a game that they lost with nine seconds remaining. That’s simple coaching negligence, easily first-guessed while it was happening and astounding when looking back to second-guess.
“We try and get the play in around 17, being that we snap the ball around five or six,” Cristobal said. “We also felt that we were going to have to score. We felt like we had to get in a rhythm, we didn’t feel that it would be a matter of taking the air out of the ball. We felt we were going to have to stay aggressive.”
That’s faulty logic at best, as minimizing Auburn’s opportunity to score should have been Cristobal’s priority. With the ball and a Duck defense that made Auburn quarterback Bo Nix look like he was running after a Dizzy Bat Race most of the night – he finished 13-for-31 passing with two interceptions – outgunning Auburn shouldn’t have been the priority. Limiting their opportunity made much more sense.
On the prior possession that began at 9:48, Oregon showed the same ambivalence toward milking the clock in the snaps before the timeout debacle. Oregon snapped the ball with 14 seconds left on the play clock, 14 seconds left on the play clock and then six seconds. Instead of playing to minimize possessions, Oregon unwittingly ended up keeping hope alive for Auburn. On the night, they basically gifted them a full game minute.
These are the types of situations where NFL front-office and coaching types laugh at the game management of college coaching staffs. Not coincidentally, most NFL teams have personnel dedicated solely to thinking about these situations and advising coaches accordingly. The NFL types especially chuckle at tempo offenses – think Texas A&M in their historic fold at UCLA in 2017 – not being able to shed their identity in order to win games.
I asked Cristobal specially how Oregon’s game management process worked and if he had someone helping him.
“We have a chart that we go by in terms of the clock itself,” he said, “and how much time we can burn or how much time the other team can burn as it relates to timeouts, as it relates to whether there’s an injury, stoppage of play or the clock is continuing to run.”
It’s time for Cristobal to rip up the chart and acknowledge that he needs help, the same kind that the savviest of NFL coaches get. I also asked AD Rob Mullens who exactly is looking over the game management, and no one really had succinct answers.
It’s time for Phil Knight to dip into his coffers for another analyst. Heck, even Larry Scott would probably lend some of his $5.3 million-dollar salary to help out, as the Pac-12 desperately needed this win.
Simply put, the Stanford game last year and the Auburn game this year have left Cristobal branded as one of the worst game managers in all of the Power Five. This is simple and true. And he needs to realize that quickly, as his own inability to navigate late-game situations has already cost his program dearly.
Cristobal took umbrage to the Stanford game coming up last night, and he’s so sensitive about it that he went through his failed strategy again.
“Very different scenarios,” he said. “There were 13 seconds on the clock that we would have had to punt, chose not to punt, chose to go for it on second-and-2, just like two teams did that week as well. Very different scenarios.”
He’s right, the scenarios were different. But the results were strikingly similar. Oregon lost to No. 7 Stanford last year and No. 16 Auburn this year after poor clock management, games that knocked the Ducks out of the national conversation.
This has become a trend for Cristobal, one that’s up to him to reverse. It’s time for him to use another timeout and rethink however he’s managing games, as late-game strategy is undercutting the program’s searing momentum.
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