LSU has the third-toughest schedule remaining

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The computers are starting to give some love to the LSU Tigers. Their win probabilities have changed for the better in every game this season.

According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, LSU has the No. 3 toughest remaining schedule in the country. Only the Auburn Tigers have a tougher remaining schedule. Auburn has five teams remaining in the top 25, while LSU also has five. The difference is that the former has to play both the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide and No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs.

Updated look at the game-by-game win probabilities for LSU:

Opponent

Win Probability

Prev

Change

at Mississippi State

44.2

41.6

+2.6

vs Auburn

41.6

34.4

+7.2

at Kentucky

59.1

37.6

+21.5

vs Florida

33.9

30.6

+3.3

at Ole Miss

30.4

25.8

+4.6

at Alabama

8.6

5.7

+2.9

vs Arkansas

50.9

44.8

+6.1

vs UL-Monroe

98.7

97.3

+1.5

vs Texas A&M

43.1

33.1

+10.0

Prior to the game against Central Michigan, the Tigers were only favored to win against UL-Monroe and the game this past Saturday. The update has LSU favored against Kentucky and Arkansas, but the game against the Razorbacks is essentially a coinflip at this point. Games against the Wildcats and Texas A&M saw the biggest change.

All eyes will be in Starkville this weekend as the Bayou Bengals travel to Mississippi State to open SEC play. The Bulldogs have a slight edge but the Tigers are hungry for retribution after losing 44-34 at home to open last season.

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