Breaking down LSU’s game-by-game predictions using the Football Power Index
As the month of July continues to chug along, we inch ever closer to the end of the offseason and the much-anticipated beginning of the 2022 season.
For the Tigers, that means the first look at new head coach Brian Kelly, who was hired this offseason after a 12-year stint at Notre Dame, where he stands as the winningest coach in program history. LSU reached a nadir in the past two seasons after winning a national title in 2019, but with a new coach and promising roster (albeit one with some questions), hopes are high this fall.
The schedule is challenging as it is every fall when you compete in the SEC West, but ESPN’s Football Power Index likes LSU’s chances of a solid finish. The FPI is high on the Tigers in general, ranking them 10th in the country entering the season.
Here’s how ESPN’s analytics system thinks each game will play out for Kelly’s team this fall.
Sept. 4 vs. Florida State Seminoles (in New Orleans)
Doug Engle/Ocala Star-Banner
Win Probability: 71.0%
Running Record Tally: 1-0
Sept. 10 vs. Southern Jaguars
Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
Win Probability: 99.5%
Running Record Tally: 2-0
Sept. 17 vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports
Win Probability: 68.2%
Running Record Tally: 3-0
Sept. 24 vs. New Mexico Lobos
Brian Losness-USA TODAY Sports
Win Probability: 98.6%
Running Record Tally: 4-0
Oct. 1 at Auburn Tigers
Photo by Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images
Win Probability: 42.6%
Running Record Tally: 4-1
Oct. 8 vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images
Win Probability: 67.7%
Running Record Tally: 5-1
Oct. 15 at Florida Gators
Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports
Win Probability: 55.3%
Running Record Tally: 6-1
Oct. 22 vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Syndication: The Knoxville News-Sentinel
Win Probability: 63.0%
Running Record Tally: 7-1
Nov. 5 vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports
Win Probability: 18.5%
Running Record Tally: 7-2
Nov. 12 at Arkansas Razorbacks
Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
Win Probability: 54.2%
Running Record Tally: 8-2
Nov. 19 vs. UAB Blazers
Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports
Win Probability: 88.4%
Running Record Tally: 9-2
Nov. 26 at Texas A&M Aggies
Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
Win Probability: 44.5%
Running Record Tally: 9-3
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