2022 RBC Canadian Open odds, field notes, best bets and picks

The PGA Tour is headed to the great white north for the first time since 2019 thanks to the global crisis known as COVID-19. Rory McIlroy won by seven shots that year and was a closing birdie away from posting 59 in the final round.

McIlroy is one of several big names tuning up in Canada before heading to Massachusetts for next week’s U.S. Open. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who most recently lost in a playoff to Sam Burns at the Charles Schwab, Justin Thomas, Cameron Smith, Shane Lowry, and Tony Finau are just a few of the stars teeing it up at St. George’s.

Golf course

St. George’s Golf and Country Club | Par 70 | 7,014 yards

The 11th hole tee is seen during round three of the 2010 RBC Canadian Open at St. George’s Golf and Country Club on July 24, 2010, in Etobicoke, Canada. (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)

Key statistics

• Strokes Gained: Approach

• Strokes Gained: Around the Green

• Fairways in regulation

Data Golf Information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. TPC Craig Ranch, 2. Brown Deer Park GC, 3. Port Royal Golf Course

Trending: 1. Scottie Scheffler (last three starts: T-15, MC, 2), 2. Cameron Smith (T-21, T-13, T-13), 3. Rory McIlroy (5, 8, T-18)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Scottie Scheffler (10.2 percent), 2. Rory McIlroy (9.4 percent), 3. Justin Thomas (8.8 percent)

Latest Twilight 9 episode

Like golf? How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting and everything in between? Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. Listen to the Twilight 9 podcast!

Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast:
Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts

Betting preview

Odds

Patrick Reed

Patrick Reed lines up his putt on the seventh green during the third round of the Charles Schwab Challenge golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports

Reed had a tough weekend at The Memorial, shooting a combined 4 over the last two days. However, he’s starting to flash.

Three straight weekends and a T-7 at the Charles Schwab point to a return to form.

Key stats rankings this season

• SG: Approach: 176th

• SG: ATG: 50th

• Driving accuracy: 107th

Bets to consider: Outright (+4000), Top 20 (+185)

Tony Finau

Tony Finau lines up a shot on the 17th hole during the third round of The American Express at the Stadium Course at PGA West on January 22, 2022, in La Quinta, California. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

Finau has made six-straight cuts and has finished inside the top 5 twice in his last four starts.

Big Tone time in Canada?

Key stats rankings this season

• SG: Approach: 20th

• SG: ATG: 93rd

• Driving accuracy: 143rd

Bets to consider: Outright (+2000), Top 20 (+125)

Harold Varner III

Harold Varner III reacts on the 18th green after finishing his first round of the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge at the Colonial Country Club, Thursday, May 26, 2022, in Fort Worth, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Varner III was tied for the lead in the middle of his fourth round at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He eventually tied for 27th after a back-nine 45.

He tied for 3rd at the RBC Heritage and hasn’t missed a cut at a stroke-play event since the Genesis.

Key stats rankings this season

• SG: Approach: 43rd

• SG: ATG: 14th

• Driving accuracy: 164th

Bets to consider: Outright (+3000), Top 20 (+140)

Rory McIlroy

Rory McIlroy plays his shot from the ninth fairway rough during the second round of the Memorial Tournament. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

If the Canadian Open was at the same venue as 2019, McIlroy would’ve been the first name on this list. He made that golf course his playground a few years ago.

However, that’s not the case.

You have to think this stretch of golf has to pay off at some point. His worst finish since missing the weekend at the Valero is T-18 (Memorial) and he’s accumulated three top 10s.

Key stats rankings this season

• SG: Approach: 31st

• SG: ATG: 26th

• Driving accuracy: 100th

Bets to consider: Outright (+900), Top 10 (+125)

My full betting card will be posted on my Twitter (@rileyhamel_) Wednesday afternoon.

Last week (Memorial): +.6 units on position plays, -4 units on outrights.

1

1