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    What To Watch For

    Track Facts

    Venue: Homestead-Miami Speedway
    Race length: 401 miles
    No. of laps: 267
    Qualifying: Fri., 6 p.m. ET
    Race: Sun., 3:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)
    STAT OF THE WEEK
    Clinch scenario: If Brad Keselowski finishes 15th or better, he automatically clinches the 2012 Sprint Cup title.
    LAST YEAR'S RACE
    Top 5
    1. Tony Stewart
    2. Carl Edwards
    3. Martin Truex Jr.
    4. Matt Kenseth
    5. Jeff Gordon
    RECENT FALL WINNERS
    2011: Tony Stewart
    2010: Carl Edwards
    2009: Denny Hamlin
    2008: Carl Edwards
    2007: Matt Kenseth
    2006: Greg Biffle
    2005: Greg Biffle
    2004: Greg Biffle
    2003: Bobby Labonte
    2002: Kurt Busch
    ALSO THIS WEEKEND:
    Nationwide Series
    Ford EcoBoost 300, Homestead-Miami Speedway, Sat., 4:45 p.m.

    Camping World Series
    Ford EcoBoost 200, Homestead-Miami Speedway, Fri., 8:18 p.m.

    EXPERT STANDINGS
    NOTE: Jay Hart ended the regular season with 816 points, followed by Jay Busbee with 775 and Nick Bromberg with 755.
    Hart:  2,306 points (5 wins)
    Busbee:  2,282 points (4 wins)
    Bromberg:  2,280 points (1 win)
    YAHOO! SPORTS FANTASY AUTO RACING
    Check your team | Expert picks
    Homestead-Miami preview (PDF)

    The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series heads to Homestead-Miami Speedway for Sunday's Ford EcoBoost 400.

    Kasey Kahne is the defending race winner.

    Who Will Win?

    Brad Keselowski: Tony Stewart did it last year, and Keselowski will do it this year – winning the title with an exclamation point. Jimmie Johnson tried to get into Keselowski's head, but that's not happening. Bad Brad is too mentally strong and too good on 1.5-mile tracks. He gets the win and the title. – Jay Hart

    Matt Kenseth: It makes perfect, symmetrical sense: Kenseth winning his last race in a Ford at a Ford-branded event. Kenseth has been money throughout the year, except when he's had pieces falling off his car. He, or whoever wins, will be a sidelight to the main show, but he'll get himself rolling into 2013 and Joe Gibbs Racing on a high note. – Jay Busbee

    Carl Edwards: Why not, right? He's got the best average finish of any driver at Homestead, and that includes two wins, and the only time he's ever finished outside the top 10 in South Florida was in his first race in 2004. Plus, it'd be a fitting end to Edwards' 2012 if he won and was immediately overshadowed by the championship. – Nick Bromberg

    Top Storyline

    Goodbye 2012 car, we hardly knew you. This is the final race for this current Sprint Cup car iteration, so if you're in the Charlotte area, you may want to start checking Craigslist. You could have yourself a race car for pennies on the dollar. – Nick Bromberg

    The furious battle for 20th! Can Jamie McMurray hold off Aric Almirola? No, of course the big story is Keselowski vs. Johnson, and there will be guessing and second-guessing about Keselowski's strategy no matter what he does. Run up front? Prevent defense? Stick to the 48's bumper? All have merit, and all have pitfalls. Going to be fun to see how Keselowski handles playing with a lead. – Jay Busbee

    Keep an eye on Roger Penske. The Captain has never won a Cup title, and Sunday could be his first. Brad Keselowski figures to be the man of the hour – unbelievable, right? – but Penske deserves a ton of credit for taking a chance on him three years ago. – Jay Hart

    FROM THE SOURCE

    "Somebody asked me how I felt when [I] blew a tire out at Phoenix. … I was really disappointed, because I want the pressure. I want the pressure of – I wanted the pressure. I don't have a choice in the matter. I wanted the pressure of coming down here and having to win the race to win the championship, because that's the type of person I am. I want the ball. I want to be on the field on the last play with the ball thrown to me, and that's what that moment is." Jimmie Johnson

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