Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts on a similar trajectory to Bills’ Josh Allen as a passer entering year-3?
Jalen Hurts' passing stats compare favorably to Josh Allen's over their first 2 career seasons…
Josh Allen’s passer rating jumped from 85.3 in year 2 (2019) to 107.2 in year 3 (2020).
Will Hurts have a similar breakout in his 3rd season?#Eagles #NFL pic.twitter.com/y9C7dkssOJ
— NFL Research (@NFLResearch) June 10, 2022
A lot has been said about Jalen Hurts as a passer over his first two seasons, but according to NFL Research, Philadelphia’s third-year quarterback compares favorably to Bills star signal-caller Josh Allen at the same point in his career.
Hurts started four games as a rookie in relief of Carson Wentz and then started 15 games in 2021 during his first full season as a starter.
Hurts has 19 regular season starts, and one playoff appearance to bring his total starts in the NFL to 20 entering his third season.
Through 19 starts, Hurts has actually averaged a higher completion percentage, yards per attempt, yards per game, and passer rating than Allen over a similar time period during the beginning of their careers.
Allen started 27 games through his first two seasons and only his touchdown to interception ratio is higher than Hurts in the five most important categories.
Jalen Hurts pre-AJ Brown
59% CMP 7.3 Y/A 6.2 ANY/A 3.8% TD 2.2% INT
84.7 passer ratingJosh Allen pre-Diggs
56% CMP 6.6 Y/A 5.2 ANY/A 3.8% TD 2.7% INT
78.2 passer ratingKyler Murray pre-Hopkins
64% CMP 6.6 Y/A 5.6 ANY/A 3.7% TD 2.2% INT
87.4 passer rating— Heath Cummings (@heathcummingssr) June 1, 2022
According to Heat Cummings of CBS Sports, Allen’s play and passing statistics increased heavily after the Bills acquired Stefon Diggs from the Vikings in a similar fashion to the way the Eagles acquired A.J. Brown from the Titans.
With the addition of Brown, and the maturation of Dallas Goedert and DeVonta Smith, Hurts should easily surpass the Eagles’ single-season record of 4,039-yards set by Carson Wentz in 2019, and he easily double the 16 touchdowns he passed for in 2021 as well.
Hurts and Allen are totally different players from a scheme standpoint, but the expectation is that Philadelphia’s quarterback will take all the next steps as a passer after spending his first offseason with the same offensive coach and play-caller in his entire career.
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