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What does Texas basketball need to do at the Big 12 Tournament to help its NCAA case?

Texas coach Rodney Terry smiles during the Longhorns' win over Oklahoma Saturday. Entering this week's Big 12 Tournament, Texas seems locked into no worse than a No. 9 seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament.
Texas coach Rodney Terry smiles during the Longhorns' win over Oklahoma Saturday. Entering this week's Big 12 Tournament, Texas seems locked into no worse than a No. 9 seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Based on Tuesday’s NCAA Tournament projections from national prognosticators, Texas basketball has nowhere to go but up at this week’s Big 12 Tournament .

The Longhorns (20-11, 9-9 Big 12) have been locked in as either a No. 8 or No. 9 seed over the past few weeks. Considering Texas’ lofty NET rating, not even a loss to Kansas State in the second round of the Big 12 Tournament on Wednesday will likely knock the Longhorns down to a No. 10 seed. However, if the team gets hot in Kansas City and makes a run to the Big 12 semifinals, it’ll make the case to move up a spot or two in the NCAA bracket.

Here is where Texas stands in the latest NCAA Tournament predictions:

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Texas basketball: Horns stay the same in projections

ESPN's Joe Lunardi still has Texas as a No. 8 seed, and he projects the Longhorns playing ninth-seeded Florida Atlantic in the Midwest Regional, which runs through Detroit. If Texas won its first-round game in this scenario, it would meet top-seed Purdue in the second round of the opening weekend in Indianapolis.

CBS Sports' Jerry Palm has consistently projected Texas lower than Lunardi, and he currently sees the Longhorns as a No. 9 seed in the West Regional, which runs through Los Angeles. Palm has Texas playing eighth-seeded Gonzaga in the first round in Charlotte before a potential meeting with Tennessee and former Texas coach Rick Barnes.

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Texas basketball's NCAA Tournament résumé

The Longhorns have strengthened their position in the NET rankings, which is a primary metric used by the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee as it wades through the 362 Division I college basketball programs to determine the 68-team field in March. Texas rose up to No. 25 in the latest NET ratings Tuesday.

The NET ratings lean heavily on a quadrant system to determine quality wins and losses, with “Quad 1” wins especially valued. Texas has a 5-9 record against Quad 1 teams, including road wins at TCU, Oklahoma, Texas Tech and Cincinnati as well as a home victory over Baylor.

Seven of Texas’ 11 losses have been to teams projected as top-three seeds by Lunardi: Houston (twice), Connecticut, Marquette, Kansas, Baylor and Iowa State.

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How many times has Texas made the NCAA Tournament?

At this point, Texas seems like a lock to qualify for the NCAA Tournament for a fourth consecutive season. Between 1948 and 1988, Texas only competed in five NCAA Tournaments before former coach Tom Penders made the Longhorns a March Madness regular with eight appearances in his 10 years from 1989 to 1998.

Barnes led Texas to 14 consecutive NCAA Tournaments from 1998-2012 before former coach Shaka Smart missed the tournament three times in his six seasons from 2016-21.

This article originally appeared on Austin American-Statesman: Texas basketball hopes to strengthen NCAA case at Big 12 Tournament.