College Basketball Best Bets, Feb. 26: West Virginia vs Kansas State

Vaughn Dalzell breaks down a Big 12 battle between West Virginia and Kansas State.

West Virginia at Kansas State (-9.5): O/U 143.5

Kansas State is coming off a 10-point home win versus BYU on Saturday and turn around to face the West Virginia Mountaineers who gave Iowa State a run for their money over 30 minutes.

Despite these teams being bottom of the barrel offensively in conference play, both teams turn the ball over a ton and get over 21% of their points at the free-throw line. K-State won 81-67 at WVU earlier this season, but Jesse Edwards did not play for the Mountaineers (14.6 PPG, 8.2 RPG).

I am targeting West Virginia's team total in this game. WVU scored 66, 73, 69, 68, and 69 points in the last five trips to Manhattan (69.0 PPG).

The Mountaineers showed a lot of fight at Iowa State and are a talented group having a rough year, but with four straight opponents scoring 70 or more points versus the Wildcats at Kansas State (Oklahoma, Kansas, TCU, BYU), there is some value here.

WVU is No. 1 in tempo during Big 12 road play and loves to shoot the triple (33.6% of points), while Kansas State is 6th in Big 12 home play for pace (10th in tempo during Big 12 road play).

K-State's permitted 50 three-point attempts over the last two games and while there has been only 9 makes (18%), WVU isn't a team you want to give volume too. WVU went 8-of-23 (34.8%) from deep in the first meeting but lost the rebounding battle (35-22) without Edwards.

Give me West Virginia's Team Total Over 66.5 at -110 odds on FanDuel up to 67.5 for 1 unit.

Pick: West Virginia Team Total Over 66.5 (1.5u)

Season Record: 48-40 (54.5%) +2 units

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