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Fight breakdown: Hopkins-Calzaghe

LAS VEGAS – Bernard Hopkins, the universally recognized light heavyweight champion, meets unbeaten super middleweight champion Joe Calzaghe Saturday at the Thomas & Mack Center for supremacy at 175 pounds. Here is what each man must do to win:





Keys to victory

HOPKINS' KEYS

CALZAGHE'S KEYS

1. Slow the pace:Hopkins can't let Calzaghe get off 80 punches a round, so he needs to keep the fight at a measured pace.

1. Distance: Calzaghe needs to create distance so he can get off his punches and not be smothered by Hopkins.

2. Attack the body:Calzaghe tends to stand square to his target with his hands high, leaving his body vulnerable. Hopkins needs to take advantage by working over Super Joe's midsection.

2. Use the left: Calzaghe has to remember to finish his combinations with a powerful left at the end of them.

3. Physical fight: Hopkins is one of the game's most physical fighters and should make certain to keep that up against Calzaghe.

3. Up the middle: As Hopkins moves in to clinch him, Calzaghe should take a half-step to his right and throw a left uppercut up the middle.

4. Await the charge: Calzaghe is most effective when his opponent is moving forward. Hopkins should not arbitrarily move into Calzaghe's punching range, but should force Calzaghe to initiate.

4. Finish strong:Hopkins will undoubtedly try to 'steal' rounds by flurrying in the last 20-30 seconds. Calzaghe needs to be ready for this and to combat it with flurries of his own.

Rating the fighters

Comparison of Bernard "The Executioner" and "Super" Joe Calzaghe on a rating of 1 to 10 in several categories:

CATEGORY

HOPKINS

CALZAGHE

IOLE’S SKINNY

Punching power

9

9

Neither has one-punch power, but each does damage when they land a good shot.

Jab

8

9

Hopkins uses his jab mostly as a range-finder.

Body attack

10

8

Hopkins is a punishing body puncher.

Speed and
quickness

7

9

Calzaghe is exceptionally fast-handed for a guy his size.

Defense

10

8

Opponents throw and land far fewer punches against Hopkins than they do against other men.

Chin

10

8

Hopkins has never been stopped.

Stamina

9

10

Calzaghe can throw a high-volume of punches and still be fresh.

Ring smarts

10

10

Hopkins is one of the most crafty fighters ever.

Corner

9

10

Hopkins has an all-star cast, but Calzaghe and his father, Enzo, have been together all their lives and work seamlessly.

Intangibles

8

10

It's the biggest fight of Calzaghe's career, but it's not the biggest of Hopkins'.

Total

90

91

The result will hinge on Hopkins' ability to neutralize Calzaghe's two-fisted attack. Calzaghe is younger and quicker and should be able to throw enough punches to win a close decision. But it will be so close that the loser undoubtedly will complain of being robbed.