Betting: Which Props should you bet for Chiefs-Chargers TNF?
The Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein, gives her best props for the matchup between the Chiefs vs. Chargers on Thursday Night Football in Week 15 of the NFL season.
Video Transcript
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ARIEL EPSTEIN: Welcome to Yahoo Sportsbook. I'm the prop queen, Ariel Epstein. I cannot believe it is week 15 of the NFL season. It kicks off tonight, a huge divisional rivalry with a lot of playoff implications on the line. The Kansas City Chiefs are 3 point favorites at the Los Angeles Chargers. I'm going with three different props. First, this one just seems too easy. The Kansas City Chiefs running back, not Clyde Edwards-Helaire. It's going to the other one, the second string, Darrel Williams.
I'm taking his over 14 and 1/2 rushing yards. On BetMGM, it's not even heavily juiced. It's minus 110. Looking back at what the Chargers have done all year, they have been one of the worst run defenses in football, bottom three all season. When looking at the two headed monsters the Chargers have faced, 10 out of the 13 have gone over this number. Both running back have gone over this number.
Looking back at the last three weeks against the Chargers, you've had the two headed monster in New York with Saquon Barkley and Devontae Booker, Cincinnati's running backs Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine, Denver Broncos Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams. All six of those running backs went over this number. Plus Williams has done it himself in 10 out of the last 11 weeks. I'm taking that over. 14 and 1/2 rushing yards for Williams tonight.
My second prop. I'm taking the over 1 and 1/2 field goals for the Kansas City Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker. Butker went 3 for 3 at SoFi Stadium last year. In fact, away kickers this year at SoFi, five out of the seven have had at least two field goals. Butker's gone over this number in six straight weeks. Also for the Chiefs, they've only been in four 3-point spread games, whether they're 3-point underdogs, 3-point favorites, Butker's gone over this number in three out of the four games where the Chiefs have been involved in a 3-point spread. Give me the over. 1 and 1/2 field goals on Butker.
My last drop. I'm going with the over, 15 and 1/2 rushing yards for the Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert. Herbert's gone over this number in four of the last five weeks. Kansas City has allowed for the fifth most rushing yards per game to quarterbacks. Kansas City is allowing for just under 24 rushing yards per game to the QB position. Also, in games against Kansas City, Herbert has gone over this number in two out of the three. Game one last year, he rushed for 16. Game one this year, he rushed for 18.
The only reason I don't count game two of last season is because it was the last week of the regular season. Kansas City didn't play any of their starters. I'm going with that over. 15 and 1/2 rushing yards for Herbert.
Here's your prop queen recap. I'm taking the over 14 and 1/2 rushing yards for Darrel Williams, over 1 and 1/2 field goals for Harrison Butker, and over 15 and 1/2 rushing yards for Justin Herbert. That's it for me, you're prop queen, Ariel Epstein. Good luck tonight. Bet $1.00 on any game and win $100 free. Sign up now at betmgm.com/yahoospecial.