Betting: Should injuries sway line that much?
Minty Bets breaks the effect that injuries have on betting lines for NFL games and whether or not you should bet on games early in the week.
Video Transcript
- Welcome to "The Mint," everyone, a sports betting show where we're not trying to make you money, we're just trying to make sure you don't lose it all. I'm Minty Bets. And today, we need to talk about betting games a little bit too early. This week, we saw three line moves that dramatically change the point spread.
Let's start with Thursday.
- Thursday!
- Come on [INAUDIBLE].
- The Cardinals opened minus 3 and 1/2 against the Packers. Davante Adams rolled out. The Cardinals closed minus 6 and 1/2. But the Packers covered and won.
- Interesting.
- Moving on to Sunday-- man, this one hurts-- the Colts opened at minus one against the Titans. Money poured in on Tennessee, immediately making them at one-point favorites. Julio Jones rolled out. And the Colts closed at minus 3. But the Titans covered and won. That one, I lost.
- Interesting.
- And then on Sunday night, Dallas opened as two-point favorites in Minnesota. Dak Prescott rolled out. The Vikings closed at minus four. But then, well, you know, the Cowboys covered and won, thus making them 7 and 0 against the spread.
- Now, you have my attention.
- In my opinion, betting lines shouldn't move more than a point or so unless the starting quarterback is out. My PSA to you is don't immediately jump ship when a player isn't expected to play. The public continues to overreact. But remember, the books adjust the spread to how much they believe that player is worth to the team.
- Smart, very smart.
- When this happens next time, just take a deep breath, assess the situation, and place your bets responsibly at BETMGM.com/Yahoo. I'm Minty Bets. And this has been "The Mint."