By The Numbers Week 28

I’ve been trying to spend the last couple of days working out if Sunday could actually have been any worse, as a Spurs supporter? We lost the cup to Chelsea, not really a surprise but it was a bit of a shame that we didn’t really manage to put any real pressure on them. Arsenal won – never an ideal situation for a Spurs supporter. Liverpool won against a lacklustre City, pushing us further down the table. Nope, it was a disaster. The only thing that made it at least a little enjoyable was that I managed to give some cracking tips in last week’s column including Krul and Rooney. In fact, I mentioned six players specifically in last week’s column and they amassed 82 points and 4 goals amongst them – maybe when you’re lucky in fantasy football the opposite is true for your actual team?

This week is obviously a double hitter which will mean that the majority of managers will be looking to QPR and Spurs for the majority of their team. I would just like to advise caution – there is highly likely to be some rotation risk, especially at Spurs so make sure you choose wisely. The double week has also played havoc with my Poisson spreadsheet so this will return next week – I’ll do some modifications going forward to ensure it can handle the extra workload.

Goalkeepers

Well I know that the majority of managers will be looking at Lloris and who can blame them? I certainly am although I really wouldn’t be surprised to see Vorm appear in the QPR game – you have been warned. The goalkeepers who actually fit the system this week are Hart, Lloris, Courtois, Forster and McGregor. If you’re going for a single week goalkeeper then I think that Courtois has to get the call, multiple week then Lloris.

It is probably worth keep an eye on Forster though. Whilst he might do well against Crystal Palace he’s likely to come a bit of a cropper next week against Chelsea and that’s exactly what I’m hoping for. He has the easiest run in by far from week 30 onwards and if his price drops further after a mauling by Chelsea then I’m planning a “set and forget” option.

Predictor

I did actually manage to get the predictor spreadsheet to adjust to the longer game week so I’ve included all of the games. You’ll see that Tottenham are a great choice at home to Swansea and are still favourites when away to QPR – Good choices. It’s interesting to note that the actual odds of QPR winning both of their game is a paltry 7.8% which might calm down some of the managers who want to back fill their Spurs focussed teams with QPR players. Other than that, you have to fancy the likes of Coutinho, Henderson, Aguero, Kane, Giroud and Moses I believe. I do have a hunch though that if you’re holding Rooney from last week that he’s definitely worth holding on to.

Sorry for the short article but that’s what happens on a short week! See you next Tuesday.