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AccuScore computer projections: By the numbers

AccuScore.com simulated every possible NCAA tournament matchup and played out the full tourney 10,000 times to determine all 68 schools' chances of advancing and ultimately winning the national championship. Use the chart below to fill out your bracket.

More NCAA tournament projections: East | South | Midwest | West | Field of 68

ACCUSCORE: 2013 NCAA TOURNAMENT PROJECTIONS
Seed/Team (Region) 32 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Final 2 Champ
1 Kansas (South) 93.85% 73.43% 50.85% 30.94% 18.83% 11.52%
1 Louisville (Midwest) 90.34% 63.02% 43.63% 27.28% 17.17% 9.89%
1 Gonzaga (West) 88.88% 62.26% 41.84% 27.00% 15.45% 9.04%
1 Indiana (East) 93.59% 66.62% 43.18% 27.93% 15.51% 8.27%
2 Duke (Midwest) 91.89% 58.11% 36.24% 19.79% 11.35% 5.77%
2 Miami (East) 88.17% 66.21% 42.73% 22.34% 11.30% 5.48%
2 Ohio State (West) 82.18% 57.21% 36.26% 19.48% 9.91% 5.25%
2 Georgetown (South) 91.00% 58.82% 31.10% 14.74% 7.24% 3.53%
3 Florida (South) 88.05% 66.93% 42.40% 24.14% 14.23% 8.15%
3 New Mexico (West) 70.86% 42.77% 23.11% 11.17% 5.22% 2.50%
3 Michigan State (Midwest) 83.86% 44.43% 20.49% 9.23% 4.45% 2.00%
3 Marquette (East) 52.46% 32.57% 17.61% 8.25% 3.75% 1.70%
4 Syracuse (East) 73.18% 46.20% 22.81% 13.27% 6.47% 3.05%
4 Saint Louis (Midwest) 73.91% 42.83% 17.86% 8.42% 3.95% 1.74%
4 Michigan (South) 68.08% 37.77% 15.43% 7.57% 3.41% 1.49%
4 Kansas State (West) 71.52% 36.45% 14.75% 7.00% 2.97% 1.27%
5 Wisconsin (West) 65.11% 38.65% 17.79% 9.16% 4.19% 1.95%
5 VCU (South) 48.76% 29.55% 13.86% 7.12% 3.71% 1.86%
5 UNLV (East) 61.40% 31.66% 13.35% 6.63% 2.95% 1.24%
5 Oklahoma State (Midwest) 63.70% 32.68% 12.54% 5.52% 2.45% 1.00%
6 Memphis (Midwest) 70.63% 38.20% 16.98% 7.50% 3.50% 1.44%
6 Arizona (West) 54.63% 30.01% 14.37% 6.27% 2.55% 1.11%
6 Butler (East) 54.71% 26.92% 11.72% 4.31% 1.56% 0.50%
6 UCLA (South) 44.89% 14.30% 6.08% 2.13% 0.74% 0.26%
7 Creighton (Midwest) 64.72% 29.97% 16.23% 7.70% 3.67% 1.70%
7 San Diego State (South) 67.82% 28.48% 10.17% 3.35% 1.21% 0.47%
7 Notre Dame (West) 51.31% 19.27% 8.26% 3.00% 1.01% 0.33%
7 Illinois (East) 48.51% 15.32% 6.18% 1.91% 0.56% 0.16%
8 Pittsburgh (West) 60.34% 23.21% 12.57% 6.32% 2.76% 1.21%
8 North Carolina State (East) 67.44% 23.76% 12.04% 5.95% 2.47% 0.92%
8 Colorado State (Midwest) 55.70% 18.94% 9.86% 4.59% 2.05% 0.78%
8 North Carolina (South) 70.15% 20.78% 9.94% 4.15% 1.66% 0.66%
9 Missouri (Midwest) 44.30% 17.16% 10.00% 5.02% 2.55% 1.10%
9 Wichita State (West) 39.66% 12.63% 5.90% 2.48% 0.84% 0.32%
9 Temple (East) 32.56% 8.09% 3.25% 1.29% 0.42% 0.10%
9 Villanova (South) 29.85% 4.58% 1.54% 0.44% 0.10% 0.03%
10 Iowa State (West) 48.69% 16.80% 7.52% 2.75% 0.87% 0.30%
10 Cincinnati (Midwest) 35.28% 9.88% 3.95% 1.21% 0.43% 0.12%
10 Colorado (East) 51.49% 14.02% 5.43% 1.58% 0.41% 0.10%
10 Oklahoma (South) 32.18% 10.58% 3.17% 0.90% 0.28% 0.09%
11 Bucknell (East) 45.29% 18.98% 7.50% 2.49% 0.76% 0.22%
11 Belmont (West) 45.37% 19.28% 7.09% 2.28% 0.65% 0.22%
11 Middle Tennessee State
11 Saint Mary's (Midwest)
29.37% 12.57% 4.56% 1.59% 0.62% 0.21%
11 Minnesota (South) 55.11% 15.01% 6.10% 1.91% 0.65% 0.20%
12 Akron (South) 51.24% 20.71% 5.37% 1.71% 0.56% 0.15%
12 Mississippi (West) 34.89% 14.87% 4.40% 1.70% 0.46% 0.13%
12 California (East) 38.60% 13.81% 3.69% 1.27% 0.39% 0.08%
12 Oregon (Midwest) 36.30% 13.82% 3.45% 1.10% 0.36% 0.07%
13 South Dakota St. (South) 31.92% 11.97% 2.80% 0.78% 0.21% 0.06%
13 Boise State
13 La Salle (West)
28.48% 10.03% 2.40% 0.76% 0.17% 0.06%
13 New Mexico St. (Midwest) 26.09% 10.67% 2.55% 0.71% 0.22% 0.04%
13 Montana (East) 26.82% 8.34% 1.39% 0.38% 0.05% 0.00%
14 Davidson (East) 47.54% 21.53% 7.64% 2.21% 0.59% 0.15%
14 Harvard (West) 29.14% 7.94% 1.54% 0.22% 0.04% 0.01%
14 Valparaiso (Midwest) 16.14% 4.79% 1.05% 0.24% 0.04% 0.01%
14 Northwestern St. (South) 11.95% 3.76% 0.78% 0.09% 0.01% 0.00%
15 Iona (West) 17.82% 6.72% 1.86% 0.35% 0.06% 0.00%
15 Pacific (East) 11.83% 4.45% 1.18% 0.13% 0.02% 0.00%
15 Florida Gulf Coast (South) 9.00% 2.12% 0.20% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Albany (Midwest) 8.11% 2.04% 0.49% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00%
16 LIU Brooklyn
16 James Madison (East)
6.41% 1.54% 0.30% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00%
16 Southern (West) 11.12% 1.90% 0.35% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
16 North Carolina A&T
16 Liberty (Midwest)
9.66% 0.89% 0.12% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Western Kentucky (South) 6.15% 1.22% 0.19% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%

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