AccuScore computer projections: By the numbers
AccuScore.com simulated every possible NCAA tournament matchup and played out the full tourney 10,000 times to determine all 68 schools' chances of advancing and ultimately winning the national championship. Use the chart below to fill out your bracket.
More NCAA tournament projections: East | South | Midwest | West | Field of 68
ACCUSCORE: 2013 NCAA TOURNAMENT PROJECTIONS | ||||||
Seed/Team (Region) | 32 | 16 | Elite 8 | Final 4 | Final 2 | Champ |
1 Kansas (South) | 93.85% | 73.43% | 50.85% | 30.94% | 18.83% | 11.52% |
1 Louisville (Midwest) | 90.34% | 63.02% | 43.63% | 27.28% | 17.17% | 9.89% |
1 Gonzaga (West) | 88.88% | 62.26% | 41.84% | 27.00% | 15.45% | 9.04% |
1 Indiana (East) | 93.59% | 66.62% | 43.18% | 27.93% | 15.51% | 8.27% |
2 Duke (Midwest) | 91.89% | 58.11% | 36.24% | 19.79% | 11.35% | 5.77% |
2 Miami (East) | 88.17% | 66.21% | 42.73% | 22.34% | 11.30% | 5.48% |
2 Ohio State (West) | 82.18% | 57.21% | 36.26% | 19.48% | 9.91% | 5.25% |
2 Georgetown (South) | 91.00% | 58.82% | 31.10% | 14.74% | 7.24% | 3.53% |
3 Florida (South) | 88.05% | 66.93% | 42.40% | 24.14% | 14.23% | 8.15% |
3 New Mexico (West) | 70.86% | 42.77% | 23.11% | 11.17% | 5.22% | 2.50% |
3 Michigan State (Midwest) | 83.86% | 44.43% | 20.49% | 9.23% | 4.45% | 2.00% |
3 Marquette (East) | 52.46% | 32.57% | 17.61% | 8.25% | 3.75% | 1.70% |
4 Syracuse (East) | 73.18% | 46.20% | 22.81% | 13.27% | 6.47% | 3.05% |
4 Saint Louis (Midwest) | 73.91% | 42.83% | 17.86% | 8.42% | 3.95% | 1.74% |
4 Michigan (South) | 68.08% | 37.77% | 15.43% | 7.57% | 3.41% | 1.49% |
4 Kansas State (West) | 71.52% | 36.45% | 14.75% | 7.00% | 2.97% | 1.27% |
5 Wisconsin (West) | 65.11% | 38.65% | 17.79% | 9.16% | 4.19% | 1.95% |
5 VCU (South) | 48.76% | 29.55% | 13.86% | 7.12% | 3.71% | 1.86% |
5 UNLV (East) | 61.40% | 31.66% | 13.35% | 6.63% | 2.95% | 1.24% |
5 Oklahoma State (Midwest) | 63.70% | 32.68% | 12.54% | 5.52% | 2.45% | 1.00% |
6 Memphis (Midwest) | 70.63% | 38.20% | 16.98% | 7.50% | 3.50% | 1.44% |
6 Arizona (West) | 54.63% | 30.01% | 14.37% | 6.27% | 2.55% | 1.11% |
6 Butler (East) | 54.71% | 26.92% | 11.72% | 4.31% | 1.56% | 0.50% |
6 UCLA (South) | 44.89% | 14.30% | 6.08% | 2.13% | 0.74% | 0.26% |
7 Creighton (Midwest) | 64.72% | 29.97% | 16.23% | 7.70% | 3.67% | 1.70% |
7 San Diego State (South) | 67.82% | 28.48% | 10.17% | 3.35% | 1.21% | 0.47% |
7 Notre Dame (West) | 51.31% | 19.27% | 8.26% | 3.00% | 1.01% | 0.33% |
7 Illinois (East) | 48.51% | 15.32% | 6.18% | 1.91% | 0.56% | 0.16% |
8 Pittsburgh (West) | 60.34% | 23.21% | 12.57% | 6.32% | 2.76% | 1.21% |
8 North Carolina State (East) | 67.44% | 23.76% | 12.04% | 5.95% | 2.47% | 0.92% |
8 Colorado State (Midwest) | 55.70% | 18.94% | 9.86% | 4.59% | 2.05% | 0.78% |
8 North Carolina (South) | 70.15% | 20.78% | 9.94% | 4.15% | 1.66% | 0.66% |
9 Missouri (Midwest) | 44.30% | 17.16% | 10.00% | 5.02% | 2.55% | 1.10% |
9 Wichita State (West) | 39.66% | 12.63% | 5.90% | 2.48% | 0.84% | 0.32% |
9 Temple (East) | 32.56% | 8.09% | 3.25% | 1.29% | 0.42% | 0.10% |
9 Villanova (South) | 29.85% | 4.58% | 1.54% | 0.44% | 0.10% | 0.03% |
10 Iowa State (West) | 48.69% | 16.80% | 7.52% | 2.75% | 0.87% | 0.30% |
10 Cincinnati (Midwest) | 35.28% | 9.88% | 3.95% | 1.21% | 0.43% | 0.12% |
10 Colorado (East) | 51.49% | 14.02% | 5.43% | 1.58% | 0.41% | 0.10% |
10 Oklahoma (South) | 32.18% | 10.58% | 3.17% | 0.90% | 0.28% | 0.09% |
11 Bucknell (East) | 45.29% | 18.98% | 7.50% | 2.49% | 0.76% | 0.22% |
11 Belmont (West) | 45.37% | 19.28% | 7.09% | 2.28% | 0.65% | 0.22% |
11 Middle Tennessee State | 29.37% | 12.57% | 4.56% | 1.59% | 0.62% | 0.21% |
11 Minnesota (South) | 55.11% | 15.01% | 6.10% | 1.91% | 0.65% | 0.20% |
12 Akron (South) | 51.24% | 20.71% | 5.37% | 1.71% | 0.56% | 0.15% |
12 Mississippi (West) | 34.89% | 14.87% | 4.40% | 1.70% | 0.46% | 0.13% |
12 California (East) | 38.60% | 13.81% | 3.69% | 1.27% | 0.39% | 0.08% |
12 Oregon (Midwest) | 36.30% | 13.82% | 3.45% | 1.10% | 0.36% | 0.07% |
13 South Dakota St. (South) | 31.92% | 11.97% | 2.80% | 0.78% | 0.21% | 0.06% |
13 Boise State | 28.48% | 10.03% | 2.40% | 0.76% | 0.17% | 0.06% |
13 New Mexico St. (Midwest) | 26.09% | 10.67% | 2.55% | 0.71% | 0.22% | 0.04% |
13 Montana (East) | 26.82% | 8.34% | 1.39% | 0.38% | 0.05% | 0.00% |
14 Davidson (East) | 47.54% | 21.53% | 7.64% | 2.21% | 0.59% | 0.15% |
14 Harvard (West) | 29.14% | 7.94% | 1.54% | 0.22% | 0.04% | 0.01% |
14 Valparaiso (Midwest) | 16.14% | 4.79% | 1.05% | 0.24% | 0.04% | 0.01% |
14 Northwestern St. (South) | 11.95% | 3.76% | 0.78% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
15 Iona (West) | 17.82% | 6.72% | 1.86% | 0.35% | 0.06% | 0.00% |
15 Pacific (East) | 11.83% | 4.45% | 1.18% | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
15 Florida Gulf Coast (South) | 9.00% | 2.12% | 0.20% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
15 Albany (Midwest) | 8.11% | 2.04% | 0.49% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
16 LIU Brooklyn | 6.41% | 1.54% | 0.30% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
16 Southern (West) | 11.12% | 1.90% | 0.35% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
16 North Carolina A&T | 9.66% | 0.89% | 0.12% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
16 Western Kentucky (South) | 6.15% | 1.22% | 0.19% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
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