Roto Arcade - Fantasy

Known as the Sacagawea of fantasy primers, the Weekly Rundown guides head-to-head owners through a forest of obscure stats and exploitable matchups in an attempt to help solve lineup conundrums. While reading, keep in mind matchups are subject to change due to managerial moves, unforeseen injuries and Mother Nature's influences.

LEADING OFF

Another quality start for Toronto's Ricky Romero and deep-thinking fantasy owners will no longer be able to refuse thy name.

The former Cal-Fullerton standout, who was selected sixth overall (sandwiched between Ryan Braun and Troy Tulowitzki) in the 2005 draft, is finally starting to live up to expectation. Maybe J.P. Riccardi is on the verge of vindication after all. Ok, that's an ambitious statement. The brainless comments about Adam Dunn last season will forever taint his image...  

In Romero's four-year professional career, the 24-year-old has battled through injuries and inconsistencies. His uneventful career in the minors -- 416 IP, 4.33 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 7.01 K/9 and 3.79 BB/9 -- is why many insiders have already labeled him a multi-million dollar flop. But, as Jays pitching coach Brad Arnsberg remarked to MLB.com earlier this month, the former top prospect underwent a massive mechanical and mental overhaul this spring in an attempt to unlock his potential:

"I talked to him (Romero) a lot about the courage and the confidence and the poise," Arnsberg said. "You've got the blend of a mechanical thing boosting the confidence thing. I said, 'When you walk out there on that mound, you've got to feel like you're a bad dude. This is my day. I've waited five days to do this."

So far, Romero's transformation has indeed yielded badass results. 

Equipped with a 90-94 mph fastball, slider, hard-breaking curve and plus change, the southpaw's variable arsenal and altered approach has occasionally miffed batters. In his first two major league starts he's amassed a 2.57 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 1.29 BB/9 and a very impressive 1.50 GB/FB ratio in 14 innings pitched.

Although his punchout numbers will be unremarkable, Romero's quality starts upside tags him a player of interest in deep mixed leagues (14-teams-plus). His long-term projection is a dependable mid-rotation starter, which isn't spectacular, but he's worth a trial run for those already drowning in ERA. If he can continue to coax groundballs and keep his stuff down in the zone, a breakthrough season is certainly possible, especially with the Jays offense flourishing. 

The 26-percent owned hurler toes the rubber today against the torpid A's.

Fearless Forecast: 148 IP, 9 W, 4.29 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 99 K

QUICK HITTERS

Rangers' reigning Minor League Pitcher of the Year, Derek Holland, was recalled from Triple-A on Saturday. He is expected to bolster a bullpen in dire need of a power-armed lefty. The 22-year-old southpaw, who was featured in "Farm Aid" earlier this spring, went 13-1 with a 2.27 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 9.18 K/9 last season.

With unexciting hurlers Matt Harrison and Kris Benson in the rotation, the youngster could eventually supplant either veteran. Texas GM Jon Daniels hinted Holland's bullpen role may only be temporary:

"As we looked at it, Derek was the best option for our bullpen. It's something we discussed in spring training, breaking camp in this role. We feel he's a strike thrower with the stuff and the maturity to handle it. He'll be used initially in the bullpen.

"Obviously, we see him as a starter down the line, but right now he'll be in the bullpen."

For now, Holland should only be rostered in deep AL-only formats, but given his dynamite skill set and ability to coax numerous groundballs, he could develop into an impact backend fantasy starter later this season. Watch his performances closely.

In other Rangers news, lightly owned outfielder Marlon Byrd (11 percent-owned) continues to punish the baseball. Although the 31-year-old hasn't officially leapfrogged David Murphy on the depth chart, he's slapped a hit in six of seven contests, posting a .344 BA with nine RBIs and five runs.

Last week, Ron Washington stressed Murphy will play, but if Byrd can continue to wield a fiery stick those opportunities will be limited. He won't carry virtual teams in any single category, but his all-around contributions are useful for deep-thinking owners (14-teams-plus) with underachieving utility options. Assuming he accumulates 420-plus at-bats, a final tally in the ballpark of .285-14-70-65-8 should be expected.

Battered, bruised or should not be used: Vladimir Guerrero (torn pectoral, out at least one month), Alex Gordon (hip surgery, out 10-12 weeks), Cristian Guzman (hamstring, on 15-day DL), Huston Street (well-deserved demotion), Stephen Drew (being a brittle Drew, hamstring), Milton Bradley (groin strain, fiery temper, day-to-day),  Chipper Jones (thumb, day-to-day), David Ortiz (.158 BA, Manny separation anxiety)

DOUBLE DIPPERS

For stream conscious owners who want to push the innings-pitched envelope this is the list for you. Run support, ballpark factors, historical and recent trends, opposing offenses, opposing SPs, managerial tendencies and meteorological influences are painstakingly taken into account to give you the top double dippers of each week.


Other NL Double Dippers: Ross Ohlendorf, Pit (Fla, at SD), Kevin Correia, SF (at Phi, Pit), Micah Owings, Cin (at ChC, Atl), Russ Ortiz, Hou (LAD, Mil)


Other AL Double Dippers: None

FEAST OR FAMINE?  

Torn between two stat-similar infielders this week? Use the pitching and hitting staff sorters below to help you decide whether or not Adam LaRoche or Scott Olsen is fantasy feast or famine. Stats are for games played through April 17:


--

Image courtesy of Getty

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80 Comments

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  1. John R
    1. Posted by John R Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:39 pm EDT

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    Thanks....looks good....I'm tempted to roster Holland in my keeper league....
  2. Dean B
    2. Posted by Dean B Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:09 pm EDT

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    I'm in a 12 team keeper (10) and have Kelvim Escobar stashed. Is it worth dropping him to take a flier on Zimmerman's two start week?
  3. marc s
    3. Posted by marc s Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:06 pm EDT

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    jesse has a tough time counting.
  4. Dean B
    4. Posted by Dean B Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:09 pm EDT

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    Thanks as always...great info.....Zimmerman could be a nice flier this week, should I drop Kelvim Escobar to give him a shot or hold the oft injured Kelvim?
  5. lastfineprince
    5. Posted by lastfineprince Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:56 pm EDT

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    I went to the game and got cheap tickets. The game was hot! If anybody wants cheap tickets to any of the games go to this website www.Getitcheaperhere.net and get the best seat at a good price.
  6. Leonidas
    6. Posted by Leonidas Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:11 pm EDT

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    I really like these guys that were super-talented coming out of High School or college and one year just click back with the potential. There are a couple guys every year that feel like they just hit a switch and go back to when they were the top prospect in their organization. I like Aaron Hill to be a Chase Utley light this year. What do you guys think about post-hype sleepers ready to take off?
  7. Miles Tarver
    7. Posted by Miles Tarver Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:21 pm EDT

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    Nolan's asinine idea of stretching his pitchers out and making them throw innings like it was 1970 is going to ruin Holland and any other pitcher that the Rangers actually have the foresight to hang on to unlike Danks, Gallaraga, Volquez, Young.... Nolan was a physical freak and he expects his pitchers to be the same. Nolan's hiring is no different than Jordan or Gretzky. Just a publiscity stunt for a failed franchise
  8. Miles Tarver
    8. Posted by Miles Tarver Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:21 pm EDT

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    or maybe "publicity"
  9. million_dollar_sleeper
    9. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:20 pm EDT

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    stephen drew is not brittle like his brother
    my condolences brad, i heard the sad news about you dropping Billy Butler in the F&F league
    you know what they say tho... let him go and if he comes back, its true love
  10. azgreggie1
    10. Posted by azgreggie1 Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:00 pm EDT

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    Nolan Ryan may have had a freakish arm, but his work ethic is what made him the Ironman of pitchers. Nolan's work ethic is also the reason nobody will ever touch his 5714 strikeouts.
  11. kennydust
    11. Posted by kennydust Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:15 pm EDT

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    why is JP ricchardi still employed?
  12. Erik Archer
    12. Posted by Erik Archer Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:05 pm EDT

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    How come Predator 2 was never reviewed in Film Comment?
  13. Brandon P
    13. Posted by Brandon P Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:59 pm EDT

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    Anyone have any idea when Tommy Hanson will be called up? I picked him up thinking the braves might bring him up when Glavine got hurt. Jordan Zimmerman is available in my league and will start this week. Should I get him instead?
  14. Rick N
    14. Posted by Rick N Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:39 pm EDT

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    I have 4 closers Wood, Lidstrom, Ryan, and Hoffman should I drop Ryan for Zimmerman
  15. irish07
    15. Posted by irish07 Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:50 pm EDT

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    do we actually trust jarrod washburn? also, any thoughts on what asdrubal cabrera's been doing lately....worth rostering over the oft injured kaz matsui?
  16. The Predator Monster
    16. Posted by The Predator Monster Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:50 pm EDT

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    why do people feel the need to post what order their comment is? do they really just troll the message boards hoping for a new article so they can post that they were first? Pretty Dousche-ish if you ask me......
    anyways do you guys think i should drop sherzer for zimmerman and rock him for the two start week? my pitching is terrible, halladay is my only stud and i keep hearing about zimmerman what do you think?
  17. Danny
    17. Posted by Danny Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:28 pm EDT

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    The funny thing about JP's idiotic Adam Dunn comments was that he went out and signed Brad Wilkerson like a week later. Less power than Dunn, a lower average, fewer walks and more K's.
  18. 1-0
    18. Posted by 1-0 Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:14 pm EDT

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    what about neftali feliz? they are keeping him a starter? when does he come up? june 1st?
  19. TheGodfather
    19. Posted by TheGodfather Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:42 pm EDT

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    Anderson Silva should give me my $44.95 back
  20. Paul
    20. Posted by Paul Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:12 pm EDT

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    JP has Ricky Romero, Adam Lind, and Travis Snider to his credit. He has never made a bad trade (Scutaro, Rloen). The test will be if he can resign Doc Halladay. Plus Dunn is a lot of money for a .230 hitter. BlueJays are in first place wooohooo!!!
  21. Crazylegs $wam
    21. Posted by Crazylegs $wam Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:13 pm EDT

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    welcome back Zach Duke, those who've abstained are relieved to see the old you emerge again.
  22. Terrible Ted
    22. Posted by Terrible Ted Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:51 pm EDT

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    Toronto doesn't want Dunn, Toronto doesn't need Dunn. Check the standings.
  23. STEALTH
    23. Posted by STEALTH Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:19 pm EDT

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    .230 hitter with a solid OBP... You cannot ignore his ability to get walked, bramptonian2. Hopefully you'd agree with me that getting walked is not useless. Add to that ability to get on base his chronic 40 HRs, and he's worth at least most of the money he gets (his defense isn't tops, but hey, Manny still gets paid generously).
    and the Blue Jays won't be in first for that long. I wish they would, but it's just not going to happen.
  24. STEALTH
    24. Posted by STEALTH Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:19 pm EDT

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    and Riccardi's comments also included his attitude toward the game. I'd excuse it if he were talking about another .230/40 HR hitter... namely Richie Sexson... who still has the ability to play (at least part-time) but just doesn't care anymore.
  25. The Predator Monster
    25. Posted by The Predator Monster Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:50 pm EDT

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    BJ upton left todays game in the second inning wiht hamstring tightness after stealing 3rd....just thought those of you inweekly leagues would like to know..... doesnt bother me too much i can slide dukes in for him was looking for a spot for him anyways.....would you guys play lind, stephen drew (sore hammy), or rios (bum for some reason)for my last util spot?

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Roto Arcade is a fantasy sports blog edited by Andy Behrens. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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