Shuffle Up: Matt Ryan, home-field hero

The Shuffle Up series is all about value to come. What's happened to this point is merely an audition. How would you rank the players if you were starting from fresh today? (These are not Week 7 ranks; if you need those, please click here.)

The dollar values are merely comparison tools; they're not assembled in any scientific way. Players at the same position are considered even. We're aiming to illustrate tiers, show where the pockets of value are.

[Join FanDuel's $500,000 Week 7 fantasy league: $10 to enter; top 10,102 teams paid]

You'll disagree with some things (perhaps many things) because that's why we have a game in the first place. Share your respectful disagreement in the comments. (Running backs and tight ends are shuffled in the even weeks.)

$31 Peyton Manning
$30 Andrew Luck
$30 Aaron Rodgers
$28 Philip Rivers
$27 Jay Cutler
$25 Drew Brees
$23 Matt Ryan
$23 Colin Kaepernick
$22 Cam Newton
$21 Russell Wilson
$21 Tony Romo
$20 Nick Foles

The overwhelming play volume in Indianapolis is driving a large part of Luck's value. The Colts are the runaway leader in snaps per week. Mind you, playing cohesive football is also a large part of that story. Luck's attempted 56 passes in the red zone, 29 inside the 10, and 11 inside the five. Last year, he finished at 72-25-10 in those categories. He's also second in the league in red-zone rushes among quarterbacks; only Colin Kaepernick has more totes in that area of the field . . . Given how little the Seahawks were using Percy Harvin, I'm not making a post-trade adjustment to Wilson's value . . . A lot is made of Brees's home-road splits in recent years, but let's also note the homer tendencies of Ryan. He has a career 98.1 rating and 7.6 YPA at home, compared to 84.7 and 6.9 on the road. His touchdown rate is stable in both locations, but his completion percentage dips and his interception rate jumps when outside of Georgia. The differences are gigantic thus far in 2014, largely due to the obliteration of Tampa Bay last month.

My September stance on Foles hasn't changed at all: I love his setup (elite skill players and a progressive coaching staff), but I'm still not sure how good he really is. A spot in the Top 12 isn't a glaring condemnation; that still makes him a weekly starter in most formats.

Foles's red-zone play has to get a lot better; his 69.4 rating in that area is the worst in the league among qualified starters. Romo's also struggling there, grading in the mid-70s. The Top 10, all well over 100: Wilson, Peyton Manning, Ryan, Orton, Hoyer, Cousins, Brady, Smith, Rivers and Davis.

$18 Tom Brady
$17 Carson Palmer
$17 Matthew Stafford
$14 Eli Manning
$13 Joe Flacco
$13 Andy Dalton
$12 Alex Smith
$11 Ben Roethlisberger
$10 Mike Glennon

Seven of the Top 15 ADP quarterbacks are tied to a positive winning percentage in Yahoo fantasy leagues, according to our friends at Automated Insights. Luck's teams are winning 62.6 percent of the time, followed by Rivers (58.3), Manning (55.4) and Cutler (54.0). Not counting the injured Robert Griffin III, the biggest Top 15 bust has been Tom Brady (44.8 percent), though Brees (45.6 percent) and Stafford (46.3 percent) aren't far behind.

Here's a quirky Glennon stat: he's thrown for multiple touchdowns in 11 of his 16 pro starts, but he's never thrown for more than two. He's given us two scoring tosses (against one interception) in all three of his 2014 starts. I'd like to think the Bucs are finally seeing the error of their Josh McCown signing, especially with this season already in the dumpster. Glennon's emergence has unlocked Vincent Jackson; Glennon has an 83.0 rating when throwing to Jackson (39 attempts), compared to McCown's putrid 14.0 rating (20 attempts) when firing to No. 83.

$9 Kyle Orton
$9 Austin Davis
$9 Blake Bortles
$8 Ryan Tannehill
$7 Kirk Cousins
$7 Brian Hoyer
$6 Derek Carr

If Griffin were out for the year, I'd have Cousins in double-digits without any hesitation. Sure, he's made a few loose throws here and there, but he's also clicking with DeSean Jackson and his tight ends, and he throws a much better deep ball than anyone expected . . . Carr's pocket awareness is advanced for a rookie, and the Raiders actually kept the pocket clean in Week 6's shoout against the Chargers. Carr has entered the QB2 discussion, and his solid play keeps Andre Holmes and James Jones fantasy-relevant . . . While the jury is still out on Tannehill, it's a joke he had to twist in the wind prior to the London game. What an amateur grandstanding show from head coach Joe Philbin. Miami has gotten its sack problem under control - just 10 dumps this year, after 58 last season. But Tannehill's skimpy 6.2 YPA needs to come up significantly. Tannehill has yet to rush for a touchdown, but he's averaging a sneaky 20 rushing yards per game.

$5 Jake Locker
$4 Geno Smith
$3 Ryan Fitzpatrick
$3 Teddy Bridgewater
$1 Charlie Whitehurst
$0 EJ Manuel
$0 Josh McCown
$0 Chad Henne
$0 Drew Stanton
$0 Jimmy Clausen

And here are your receivers.

$31 Antonio Brown
$31 Jordy Nelson
$31 Demaryius Thomas
$30 Julio Jones
$30 Dez Bryant
$28 Brandon Marshall
$26 Alshon Jeffery
$25 Jeremy Maclin
$24 Randall Cobb
$23 A.J. Green
$23 Calvin Johnson
$22 DeSean Jackson
$21 Mike Wallace
$21 T.Y. Hilton
$21 Emmanuel Sanders
$21 Vincent Jackson

There are three players who have four catches in the red zone but no touchdowns to show for it: Percy Harvin, Emmanuel Sanders, and Justin Brown. Sanders only has four targets in the area, period. He doesn't have the ideal skill set for goal-line dominance, but eventually someone this good has to score, even by accident. No post-merger player has ever topped 1,000 yards receiving without a touchdown; 13 different players have pulled off the 1000 yards with just one or two scores (Harry Douglas and Kendall Wright did it last season).

Give the Ravens credit for unlocking the big-play ability of Steve Smith. Senior's four touchdowns this year have come from 21, 56, 61 and 80 yards. Contrast this to last year, when Smith scored four times but they were all from modest distances (2, 3, 17, 19). Smith only had two long touchdowns (30 yards or more) in his entire time with Cam Newton; the last one came in October, 2011.

$20 Steve Smith
$19 Kelvin Benjamin
$18 Golden Tate
$18 Michael Floyd
$16 Julian Edelman
$16 Michael Crabtree
$16 Andre Johnson
$15 Mohamed Sanu
$15 Pierre Garcon
$14 Andre Holmes
$14 Terrance Williams
$14 Eric Decker
$13 DeAndre Hopkins
$13 Roddy White
$13 Keenan Allen
$12 Reggie Wayne
$12 Sammy Watkins
$12 Larry Fitzgerald
$11 Brian Quick
$11 James Jones
$11 Malcom Floyd
$11 Rueben Randle

EJ Manuel throwing to Watkins: 17-for-31, 197 yards, two TDs, no picks. Kyle Orton throwing to Watkins: 9-for-15, 114 yards, no TDs, one pick. The rating is going to side with Manuel because of the TD/INT ratio, but long-term I certainly prefer Orton for Watkins's value (higher completion percentage, better YPA). And keep in mind one of the Orton/Watkins games was mucked up by the presence of Darrelle Revis. Much better days are ahead . . . Austin Davis has a 107.9 rating when he throws to Brian Quick, an 84.0 rating when he throws to Kenny Britt, and a 67.8 rating when he throws to Jared Cook (I don't think Cook's sideline complaining is factored into that stat) . . . Floyd and Fitzgerald have a chance so long as Carson Palmer is on the field. Palmer is 9-for-14 chucking to Floyd (166 yards, TD) and 7-for-10 when he aims for Fitzgerald (120 yards, one score). Drew Stanton checks in this way: 6-for-18 with Floyd (130 yards), 12-for-22 with Fitzgerald (142 yards). Stanton's best moments by far came when he threw for John Brown (9-for-17, 84 yards, two TDs), likely because of second-team chemistry and familiarity.

$10 Brandin Cooks
$10 Mike Evans
$10 Cecil Shorts
$9 Brandon LaFell
$9 Torrey Smith
$8 Odell Beckham Jr
$8 Justin Hunter
$7 Josh Gordon
$7 Marques Colston
$7 Percy Harvin
$6 Anquan Boldin
$6 Wes Welker
$6 Doug Baldwin
$5 Allen Hurns
$5 Kendall Wright
$5 Jordan Matthews
$5 Davante Adams
$5 Hakeem Nicks

It's possible I could have Harvin too low; a mecurial player is often best utilized immediately after a change of scenery. Remember how Manny Ramirez went ballistic right after his trade to Los Angeles? Mind you, no one had to help Ramirez hit; Harvin's potential is directly tied to how well Geno Smith plays and how effectively Marty Morhinweg manufactures touches . . . Shorts would chase into the $12-14 area if not for the health concerns . . . If Riley Cooper got hurt or simply went away, I'd double the price on Matthews immediately.

$4 Eddie Royal
$4 Cordarrelle Patterson
$4 Andrew Hawkins
$4 Dwayne Bowe
$4 Markus Wheaton
$3 John Brown
$3 Miles Austin
$3 Allen Robinson
$3 Robert Woods
$3 Jermaine Kearse
$2 Louis Murphy
$2 Devin Hester
$2 Andre Roberts
$2 Steve Johnson
$2 Greg Jennings
$2 Kenny Britt
$2 Jerricho Cotchery
$2 Ricardo Lockette
$2 Brandon Lloyd
$2 Jarvis Landry
$2 Riley Cooper
$2 Jarius Wright
$2 Jeremy Kerley
$2 Taylor Gabriel
$1 Brian Tyms
$1 Travis Benjamin
$1 Harry Douglas
$1 Brice Butler
$1 Austin Pettis
$1 Brian Hartline
$1 Eric Weems
$1 Lance Moore
$1 Donnie Avery
$1 Jeremy Ross
$1 Kenny Stills
$0 Rod Streater
$0 Mike Williams
$0 Jason Avant
$0 Brandon Tate
$0 Tavon Austin