Ball Don't Lie - NBA


30. 

31, by the time the playoffs start next season.

Portland? By the time the playoffs start in 2010?

Brandon Roy(notes), 25. LaMarcus Aldridge(notes), 24. Rudy Fernandez(notes), 25. Greg Oden(notes), 22. Travis Outlaw(notes), 25.

And when those players are in their primes? 2014 or so? Hedo's going to be well past his, at age 35. And this was a guy who was made to already look old and slow up against Trevor Ariza(notes) in this year's Finals.

So why, exactly, is Portland throwing its free agent booty at Hedo?

What am I missing here? The team was, statistically, the best offensive team in the NBA last year. Possession to possession, nobody scored more. Defense is this team's weakness, so they're spending all sorts of dough on a defensive liability?

The team, for years, has been one of the better closing squads in the NBA. They don't make a lot of comebacks, not with Nate McMillan's snail-slow pace, but with Travis Outlaw and Brandon Roy in the fold, they do just about lead the league in game-cinchers in the last 90 seconds. Statheads can talk about Carmelo Anthony(notes), TV talking heads can talk up Kobe Bryant(notes), but no team is better in the clutch than the Portland Trail Blazers.

And they're trying to add a guy who made his hay as a late-game finisher? Read that again. His value is inflated because of his late-game heroics. The team would be overpaying for something it already has in spades.

What is wrong with this picture? Why are they adding a player who is past his prime (Hedo's numbers dropped across the board in 2008-09, after hitting an NBA players' typical career-best at age 29, in 2007-08) to a team full of players that haven't even hit their prime?

Hedo in Orlando, before the Vince Carter(notes) trade, I was cool with. The Magic, save for Dwight Howard(notes) and Jameer Nelson's(notes) presence, had a fair amount of money already invested in players that were as good as they were going to get. So might as well try to win now.

Not that Portland isn't trying to win now, they'll be just fine with a trip to next year's Finals, but is Hedo the guy to put you over the top?

Let's say he turns back the clock next year and sustains his 17-point, five-rebound, five-assist averages. Coupled with poor defense, how does that help? How does 41 percent shooting help when Travis Outlaw - one of the league's more underrated offensive talents - is taking fewer shots, and playing fewer minutes? How does the defense improve with Turkoglu taking Nicholas Batum's minutes? And that's just assuming Hedo's contributions sustain. It could happen, but for someone his age, that's hardly something to bank on.

I don't mean to pick on Jason Quick, who does a fantastic job on the Blazer beat, but paragraphs like these are exactly why someone like Hedo Turkoglu(notes) gets overrated to the point where he can approach $9 million a year at age 30.

He averaged 16.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists this season. The nine-year veteran is regarded as a perimeter shooter but is coming off a season when he made just 41.3 percent from the field and 35.6 percent from three-point range.

His stock rose dramatically in the playoffs, when he became the go-to player in the Magic's playoff push. He averaged 15.8 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists in 24 playoff games, shooting 42.7 percent rrom the field and 38.6 percent from three-point range.

So, his "stock rose dramatically in the playoffs," even though he was contributing less. Why? Because he was on national TV, more. Simple as that.

(You can rip on this column, though, if you want. It has Detroit putting Hedo ahead of all other free agents today. Turns out, the Pistons didn't even call Turkoglu.)

Hasn't Portland GM Kevin Pritchard seen this thing before?

The Chicago Bulls were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA for two seasons running entering the 2006 offseason, and instead of cutting up their salary cap space to accrue depth or try and help what was a pitiful team offense, the team splurged and used all of its cap space on a player that gave them exactly what they already had, but much older. By the end of his first month in Chicago, it was obvious that signing Ben Wallace(notes) was a huge blunder.

Portland needs a defender, and it needs a point guard. Chicago's Kirk Hinrich(notes) would seem to be the obvious fit, but if the Blazers sign Hedo, they'd have to ship Outlaw to Chicago for Hinrich. The team plays great for a year, but by the time Turkoglu reveals himself to be a seventh or eighth man as a 32-year old in 2011, where's the relief? Where's the payoff, from all that cap space? The ability to plug in Nicolas Batum(notes)? You have that right now!

It just boggles the mind that people who are paid to be patient, dealers who can only deal under strict guidelines, limited to trade deadlines, given only a finite amount of roster spots and cap space, dissuaded by a profit-killing luxury tax, still jump at the bit to reel in someone because he's famous, and because they have money to burn.

Kills me.

Portland, Hedo Turkoglu is 30. He's a fine player, but an average one, especially after you factor defense in. Please act accordingly.

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228 Comments

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  1. JK
    1. Posted by JK Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:46 pm EDT

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    Thank you Kelly. Please send this to Kevin Pritchard.
  2. Stizz
    2. Posted by Stizz Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:46 pm EDT

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    What the Blazers lack the most is experience. Turkoglu fills the need for a small forward, as well as gives you the playoff experience that the Blazers need.
  3. Phoenix H
    3. Posted by Phoenix H Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:46 pm EDT

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    can we please get a blog posting about a team that is doing the right thing
  4. serhat
    4. Posted by serhat Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:47 pm EDT

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    Totally disagree. You're missing the mental factors. Portland needs an elder brother for young squad. Hedo may handle this.
  5. rbownsyou
    5. Posted by rbownsyou Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:50 pm EDT

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    As a Portland fan, I completely agree. I'm deathly afraid that Pritchard has lost his mind.
  6. mcwelk
    6. Posted by mcwelk Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:53 pm EDT

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    KD bringing the curmudgeon heat today! One should have Canada Day more often …
  7. alex m
    7. Posted by alex m Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:54 pm EDT

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    Because we all know what happened to the last Yahoo blogger who turned GM.
  8. Michael
    8. Posted by Michael Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:56 pm EDT

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    I agree with you. I think they should be looking at the "birdman" Chris Anderson to add size and toughness off their bench for when G.O. gets in foul trouble.
    Heinrich could be a good fit; a defensive upgrade to Steve Blake (although not as good an outside shooter & maybe too similar a player to Blake). Andre Miller would be better at breaking down defenses / getting to the rim. Pritchard may be looking for a 3rd offensive wheel for when other teams clamp down on B.Roy & L.A. - someone who can create offense. I suspect Hedo would be an upgrade to Outlaw because of Travis's incosistency but his age may translate to being past his prime. If he only hit 35% of 3s with D. Howard as a teammate, what will happen to his outside game on Blazers?
    MW
  9. Travis
    9. Posted by Travis Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:57 pm EDT

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    Oh man, no doubt. I wonder if KP even honestly wants Hedo. Could he be so foolish? After being so savvy in recent years? Ugh.
    No Hedo, no Hedo, no Hedo. Please.
  10. Kibbitz
    10. Posted by Kibbitz Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:57 pm EDT

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    hey, Charlie Rosen called, he wants his grumpiness back
  11. NBATurks
    11. Posted by NBATurks Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:58 pm EDT

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    Did I hear Kobe is 31? ... and the point is...???
    twitter.com/NBATurks
  12. Mask Marval
    12. Posted by Mask Marval Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:58 pm EDT

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    either him or Iverson for the blazers would be nice.... if they can find a way to work it plus keep those five dudes with the addition of Iverson! i'm just saying that cause on Live '09 the blazers are my team and I added A I...lol
  13. Joe M
    13. Posted by Joe M Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:59 pm EDT

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    KD you are on a roll today. I couldn't agree more. That being said, I'm hoping Portland splurges on the Turkish Michael Jordan if only to prevent them from going after my two Laker free agents.
  14. Leighton
    14. Posted by Leighton Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:00 pm EDT

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    yes, please send this to KP
  15. Hakan
    15. Posted by Hakan Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:00 pm EDT

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    Hey I am a Hedo fan and I don't like what they are saying. He hit all those clutch shots in the playoffs. He blocked Kobe Byrant's buzzer beater in the finals and threw a perfect pass for Courtney Lee who somehow missed that easy lay-up. Go to this site for more. http://garfieldjon.myminicity.com/
  16. schwalmy
    16. Posted by schwalmy Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:16 pm EDT

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    I''m having a hard time swallowing this Hedo Love. Is this for reals? Pritchard dosen't do stupid stuff like going after an old No-defense-playing-forward. Redundancy is not good in the NBA. You gotta have a variety of weapons to win it all - Lets keep our team intact, rather than jumping on this bad idea!! Batum is worth 2 Hedos, in my book! I'd even rather keep Outlaw, than get the old Turk. Hinrich is the answer! Not old Turk, not old Andre Miller, not ancient Jason Kidd!!! What are the Blazers thinking?! Or, could it be a ruse, designed to confuse and debillitate the brains of other NBA gms...Gawd, I sure hope they're just joking around or something,,, No Old Guys!!!
  17. Clint
    17. Posted by Clint Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:18 pm EDT

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    Travis Outlaw an underrated offensive talent? This is a guy whose only offensive move is to hoist up a jumper or go one-on-one with a stepback fallaway shot. His 1 assist per game last year... ONE ASSIST PER GAME LAST YEAR... given 27 minutes of action, is unexcusable. A 1-to-1.2 assist-to-turnover ratio there. But he's an "underated offensive talent"? Does offense in your book include involving your teammates and not just hoisting up bad shot after bad shot Kelly?
    I was absolutely amazed to see he shot 45% from the field last year. Add to the fact his ball handling skills are suspect, you'll never see him finish at the rim... driving to the hole is kryptonite to him. All he does is drive left, step back, take 18-19 ft jumper.
    Outlaw is a black hole when it comes to giving him the ball. The only other person on the Blazers who I hated watching more was Sergio Rodriguez, who couldn't make the right decision in a game of whack-a-mole.
    While I'm not sold on Hedo and I agree with the overall tone of the article, a starting calibur PG should be our first need... we can at least run a point-forward situation with Hedo at the SF. But the Outlaw thing is ugly Kelly. Real ugly.
    Personally I'd rather see us save this money and get a PG in place... Andre Miller's name is thrown out there, but he's aging too. This team is about 2 years from really being able to compete, and I don't think Bayless or Paddy from St. Mary's are going to be ready in that amount of time.
  18. david b
    18. Posted by david b Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:21 pm EDT

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    30? Dear God, he must have dementia by now, being so ancient and all. What's he doing being allowed to walk around without his carer? Wait, isn't Kobe 32 soon? Yeah he sucks too, can barely walk. I hope the Blazers do';t listen to this jackass and they do sign Hedo. All their missing on that team is veteran leadership. Hedo could be the final piece.
  19. MATT R
    19. Posted by MATT R Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:22 pm EDT

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    People keep talking about hedo's age like is is 50 or something... big deal he is 30 and is still balling ... How old is kobe????? would you turn down kobe because of his age ... hedo is 6'10 and can pass and dribble like a point guard he is clutch and is a tough mismatch for a lot of defenses I hope the blazers are stupid and dont offer him what he wants so he can come back to the magic and we can have all starting 5 allstars
  20. Bill M
    20. Posted by Bill M Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:23 pm EDT

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    KD, your focal point shouldn't be Hedo's age, something that Portland could actually use next year, but (as you briefly mentioned) his inability to play good defense.
    Keep hatin' on the old boys, but it's because of them that championships are won.
  21. schwalmy
    21. Posted by schwalmy Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:24 pm EDT

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    Just in case Portland decides to go the Olg Guy route, I have made my services available. I don't play defense, play very slowly, and will be a cheap pick-up at $20/hour. I'm not yet 51, and could jog or even run on occasion, if Nate changes his slow approach. No agent yet, but leave a message at MacDonald's in Salem. I'll call you back if the Blazers have a need...50% free-throw shooter!!
  22. vince l
    22. Posted by vince l Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:25 pm EDT

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    portland can contend for a title. they need just a few tweeks. get amare by trading aldridge. get rid of GO cus hes a big bust. and sign any of rasheed, gortat, mcdyess. to help przbilla. get a pg andre miller or hinrich. then get D jones as backup sg esp to fight against NO's Cp3. portland has cap to get him.
  23. Rufio
    23. Posted by Rufio Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:25 pm EDT

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    I don't get it. A huge majority of Blazers fans are against the move (myself included). WHY KP? WHY DEAR GOD?!
    I pray to Thor that this is all a charade. Worse yet, Rudy is apparently cheesed by the Hedo rumors.
  24. MATT R
    24. Posted by MATT R Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:26 pm EDT

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    People keep talking about hedo's age like is is 50 or something... big deal he is 30 and is still balling ... How old is kobe????? would you turn down kobe because of his age ... hedo is 6'10 and can pass and dribble like a point guard he is clutch and is a tough mismatch for a lot of defenses I hope the blazers are stupid and dont offer him what he wants so he can come back to the magic and we can have all starting 5 allstars
  25. showtime
    25. Posted by showtime Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:30 pm EDT

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    15. Posted by Akon Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:00 pm EDT Report Abuse
    Hey I am a Hedo fan and I don't like what they are saying. He hit all those clutch shots in the playoffs. He blocked Kobe Byrant's buzzer beater in the finals and threw a perfect pass for Courtney Lee who somehow missed that easy lay-up. Go to this site for more. http://garfieldjon.myminicity.com/
    PERFECT PASS???? what a tooooooool!! that ball was under the backboard we he had it in his hands. you didnt watch the replay over and over like most nba fans did?? if you did, you wouldnt have posted this stupid comment.

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