Dalton Del Don
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 2 days ago
Carlos Carrasco has an ugly 4.74 ERA, and I don’t want to point to his .351 BABIP as an automatic mark due for regression, because Cleveland’s defense is bad. However, getting Yan Gomes back should be a big help, and everything else here screams a pitcher who looks like a dominant ace (his 22.3 K-BB% ranks seventh best in baseball, while his 12.3 SwStr% is also top-10). Carrasco had a 1.72 ERA and 0.90 WHIP over 78.2 innings after the All-Star break last year, and his peripherals look even better in 2015 despite him having to deal with taking a line drive off his head early on. Carrasco could easily be a top-five fantasy starter from here on out, so try to buy him low in your fantasy league.
Song of the Week: Nirvana – “Where Did You Sleep Last Night.”
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 4 days ago
Michael Bolsinger, SP, vs. SD (Kennedy), $6400 at FanDuel: Normally I’m all about recommending the best starting pitching option, who’s usually the most expensive. And I have no problem if you go with Corey Kluber (et al) but realize Bolsinger pitches for a team that’s tied for the third most favored Saturday, yet there are 23 pitchers pricier. It’s safe to say Bolsinger’s 1.04 ERA is probably (and by probably I mean certainly) going to rise, but he’s inducing a bunch of ground balls with an elite offense backing him up and is so cheap you can load up on hitters.
Jose Altuve, 2B, at Det (Lobstein), $4100: Altuve isn’t cheap but he plays a thin position and has hit .396/.491/.521 against southpaws this season.
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 6 days ago
Clayton Kershaw, SP, at SF (Bumgarner), $11200 at FanDuel: He’s the most expensive player Thursday and faces a tough opposing pitcher in Madison Bumgarner. But Kershaw is still as good as it gets (2.52 GB/FB ratio, 24.5 K-BB%, 13.8 SwStr%), and this game’s O/U is six, with the vig -120 on the under.
Brad Miller, SS, at Bal (Tillman), $2900: He has five homers over 90 ABs against RHP, including three steals and a .289/.356/.567 line. Chris Tillman has yielded a .333 BAA to LHB, and Oriole Park at Camden Yards has increased home runs an American League-high 33 percent for left-handed batters over the past three seasons, so Miller seems like a no-brainer considering his price at such a shallow position.
Carlos Gonzalez, OF, vs. Phi (Williams), $3300: He has a long history of success, is facing a righty and is at home in Coors Field, where Gonzalez’s price doesn’t reflect this. Jerome Williams has allowed a .333 BAA versus LHB this season.
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 9 days ago
Troy Tulowitzki has always either been highly productive or hurt, so naturally, he’s been healthy this season and not hitting (although he's been dealing with a yet another leg injury of late, to be fair). But Tulow owns a 29:2 K:BB ratio, which is terrible for any hitter and is downright reprehensible for someone who plays half his games in Coors Field. Among fantasy shortstops who've played at least 25 games this season, he ranks No. 26 on a per-game basis. There's no where for his value to go but up, but Tulowitzki has been a major disappointment so far for different reasons than usual. His current 1.7 BB% is a career low, while his 24.2 K% and 11.5 SwStr% marks are career highs (the latter by a wide margin, with his career mark being 6.7%), and his defense has also graded as worse than ever. Let's hope he's just dealing with an injury that he'll soon recover from, because these signs are pretty discouraging for the soon to be 31-year-old who may very well be traded away from Coors Field in the near future.
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 11 days ago
Zack Greinke, SP, vs. Col (De La Rosa), $10100 at FanDuel: He’s the fourth most costly SP despite the Dodgers being by far the most favored team (-240) during Saturday’s slate. Despite decreased velocity, Greinke has been as good as ever, is at home and benefits from Los Angeles having the best offense in baseball by a mile (they lead MLB with 130 wRC+. Next highest is 115).
Joey Votto, 1B, vs. SF : (Vogelsong), $3900: He has a 1.017 OPS with seven homers and five steals over 84 at-bats versus right-handed pitchers this season, and he plays in a home park that’s increased home runs by 52 percent for LHB over the past three seasons, which is easily the most in MLB. $3900 seems like a bargain (there are six first basemen priced at least $400 higher).
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 12 days ago
Clayton Kershaw, SP, vs. Col (Butler), $11000 at FanDuel: As usual, I’m recommending my favorite SP option of the day, regardless of price, before digging for some hitting bargains. Kershaw’s current ERA (4.26) and WHIP (1.26) are both his highest since his rookie campaign way back in 2008. But his average FB velocity (93.6 mph) is his highest since 2009, and both his GB/FB ratio (2.44) and SwStr% (14.2) are career highs, the latter ranking No. 2 in MLB this season. Start Kershaw with confidence.
Kyle Blanks, OF, vs. Cle (Chen), $2700: He’s cheap, in a hitter’s park and owns a 1.333 OPS against left-handed pitchers this season. Bruce Chen has been getting destroyed versus RHB, so this matchup looks worth taking advantage of.
Albert Pujols, 1B, at Bal (Chen), $2900: It’s possible Pujols is done, but this is a hitter with a career 1.021 OPS versus southpaws over nearly 2,000 at bats. There are 18 first basemen priced higher Friday.
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 16 days ago
After a slow start, Kolten Wong has raised his OPS nearly 200 points over the past eight games, currently sitting at .898, which is the fourth highest among all second basemen. He’s 24 years old and has recently been moved to the No. 2 spot in St. Louis’ order (he’s on pace to record 84 runs and 89 RBI despite hitting mostly eighth all season). Wong’s .359 BABIP is going to come down (his career mark is .283), but he should be a threat to go 25/25 with a ton of counting stats. I’d give him around a 50 percent chance he’s more valuable than Robinson Cano this season.
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 17 days ago
Felix Hernandez, SP, vs. Oak (Chavez), $11300 on FanDuel: Of course you don’t need me to tell you King Felix is good at pitching, but did you realize he’s increased his K:BB ratio in each of the past seven seasons (technically he tied in one)? His current 23.6 K-BB% is a career best, and his 62.7 GB% is Hernandez’s highest since his rookie campaign. He’s at home Sunday, where he’s posted a 31:3 K:BB ratio over 23.0 innings with a 0.78 ERA and 0.52 WHIP this season. Moreover, the Mariners are both the biggest favorite (-175) while also in the game with the lowest O/U (7).
Pablo Sandoval, 3B, at Tor (Dickey), $2900: He’s just 2-for-28 against LHP this season, but Panda is batting .380 against righties. There are 13 third basemen more expensive Sunday.
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 18 days ago
Madison Bumgarner, SP, vs. Mia (Phelps), $10100 at FanDuel: He’s obviously not cheap, but as usual in this space, I’m recommending spending money on an ace. I have no problem if you want to go Clayton Kershaw instead, but Coors Field is just barely enough (and the fact he’s $1100 more) to make me lean toward MadBum, who has a 32:6 K:BB ratio on the year and has allowed one run over his last two starts (15.1 innings). The Giants are the biggest favorites on Saturday’s board (tied with LAD), and their game is also the lowest O/U (6.5) among all contests. Although it’s worth pointing out the Marlins .777 OPS is the fourth highest against southpaws in MLB.
Dalton Del Don at Roto Arcade 23 days ago
What’s going on with Corey Kluber? Last year’s Cy Young winner has yet to win a game this season and is sporting a 4.24 ERA. He’s been especially bad of late, as he’s allowed 14 earned runs and 31 hits over his last three starts, spanning over just 17.1 innings. Some of this may be attributed to Yan Gomes getting injured, as Kluber owns a 2.58 ERA over 45 games with Gomes catching compared to a 4.66 ERA over the other 36 games when throwing to someone else. Kluber also has a poor defense defense working behind him to go along with a shaky bullpen. But his SwStr% (12.9) and GB/FB ratio (1.87) are both career highs, and his 18.2 K-BB% remains top-20 in MLB, so there’s plenty of reason to suggest his start to the 2015 season is flukier than him being the best pitcher in the AL last year. Go try to trade for Kluber if his owner thinks otherwise.