Michael Lazarus' Big Board

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Michael Lazarus' Big Board

Big Board Projection FINAL (5:30 PM Eastern). Last Teams in: Notre Dame, Wyoming, Davidson Xavier. First Teams out: Texas A&M, Rutgers, Wake Forest, SMU. New teams in: Richmond, Akron, Cal State Fullerton, TAMU-CC, Texas Southern. Teams out: Texas A&M, Kent State, Long Beach State, SE Louisiana, Alcorn State. Richmond's win is Texas A&M's loss on our Big Board. Xavier keeps the last spot based on the full body of work of the season, even though it's been a terrible final month for the Musketeers.

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Seed	Region	Rank	Team	Conf	W/L	NET	Comment	AQ
1	W	1.	Gonzaga	WCC	28-4	1	The No. 1 overall seed is a done deal.	✔
	S	2.	Arizona	PAC12	33-4	4	If Kriisa is back for tourney, Wildcats might become the favorite.	✔
	MW	3.	Kansas	BIG12	34-6	3	Easy choice for the 3 spot after Big 12 tourney win.	✔
	E	4.	Baylor	BIG12	27-7	5	Remember it's the whole season -- 10-5 vs. Q1 beats everyone else.
2	MW	5.	Kentucky	SEC	26-8	9	Will have to settle for top No. 2.
	E	6.	Tennessee	SEC	27-8	7	Everyone talked up Kentucky, everyone slept on Volunteers.	✔
	S	7.	Auburn	SEC	28-6	13	Welp that's enough to drop to the two line.
	W	8.	Villanova	BIGE	30-8	6	Resume is simply stronger than Blue Devils.	✔
3	E	9.	Duke	ACC	32-7	10	At least Blue Devils will stay out East.
	MW	10.	Purdue	BTEN	29-8	12	Boilermakers keep surviving to get to Big 10 final.
	S	11.	Wisconsin	BTEN	25-8	25	Loss to MSU had some shades of 2000 Final Four matchup.
	W	12.	Texas Tech	BIG12	27-10	8	Very solid debut season for Mark Adams.
4	MW	13.	UCLA	PAC12	27-8	11	Came up just a little short vs. AZ, another Final Four run possible.
	W	14.	Iowa	BTEN	26-10	14	Has put together a VERY solid six weeks.	✔
	E	15.	Illinois	BTEN	23-10	15	Neither team led by more than 5 in loss to Indiana.
	S	16.	Providence	BIGE	27-6	24	Well, Friars still rule in close games -- Friday wasn't close.
5	W	17.	Arkansas	SEC	28-9	21	Right on 4/5 edge, dropped back down for now.
	S	18.	Texas	BIG12	22-12	16	Came up just a little short in Big 12 quarterfinals.
	E	19.	Houston	AAC	32-6	2	Ok apparently Okla State is now a Q1 win which gives Cougars...1.	✔
	MW	20.	Connecticut	BIGE	23-10	18	Very solid season turned in by Huskies.
6	MW	21.	Seton Hall	BIGE	21-11	48	Pirates seem locked on the six seed line.
	S	22.	St. Mary's	WCC	26-8	19	No shame in getting one of three from the Zags.
	W	23.	LSU	SEC	22-12	20	Last-minute losses an LSU staple for 30 years
	E	24.	Alabama	SEC	19-14	32	Great schedule, but man 13 losses.
7	S	25.	Boise St.	MWC	27-8	34	Seemed like every MWC game went to the wire and Broncos prevailed.	✔
	MW	26.	USC	PAC12	26-8	40	Trojans need to find nonconference success again.
	E	27.	Marquette	BIGE	19-13	50	Feels like a gap starts here.
	W	28.	Michigan St.	BTEN	23-13	38	Ok Sparty beat someone besides Maryland.
8	S	29.	Ohio St.	BTEN	20-12	23	Pretty good season, pretty bad last 11 days.
	MW	30.	Colorado St.	MWC	25-6	35	Top 3 MWC teams you can pick out of a hat...all very close.
	E	31.	Creighton	BIGE	23-12	51	No doubt here -- top 8 seed locked up.
	W	32.	N. Carolina	ACC	29-10	17	We thought Tar Heels were safer than most, now there's no doubt.
9	MW	33.	Murray St.	OVC	31-3	29	Will be curious to see Racers' actual seed after dominating league.	✔
	E	34.	SDSU	MWC	23-9	30	So close to grabbing MWC, fell one point short.
	S	35.	Virginia Tech	ACC	23-13	22	We were higher on Hokies than most, leaped past a lot of bubble teams anyway.	✔
	W	36.	TCU	BIG12	21-13	33	Trying to beat Kansas again proved to be too much.
10	S	37.	Iowa St.	BIG12	22-13	41	31-point loss will leave a mark.
	W	38.	Memphis	AAC	22-11	31	Beat Houston and Tigers could jump to a single-digit seed.
	MW	39.	San Francisco	WCC	24-10	26	Beating BYU should end any worry about ending NCAA drought.
	E	40.	Michigan	BTEN	19-15	27	Everything says Wolverines should be in except for 17-14.
11	E	41.	Loyola Chicago	MVC	25-8	28	Held off Drake for MVC title.	✔
	W	42.	Indiana	BTEN	21-14	44	Knocking off Illinois pulls Hoosiers out of play-in.
	S	43.	Miami (FL)	ACC	26-11	47	If BC's shot had gone in, Hurracanes might've had to sweat.
	MW	44.	Notre Dame	ACC	24-11	43	After further review, Irish still in but it's getting sketchy.
	MW	45.	Wyoming	MWC	25-9	58	Trended badly the last few weeks, now gotta sweat a lot.
12	E	46.	Davidson	A10	27-7	46	Still in the field, but winds up in play-in.
	E	47.	Xavier	BIGE	23-13	37	The last team in, if Rutgers or Texas A&M were here I wouldn't argue.
	W	48.	Vermont	AEAST	28-6	56	Emphatic title-game win.	✔
	S	49.	UAB	CUSA	27-8	49	Blazer profile decent enough to hold onto 12 seed.	✔
	MW	50.	S. Dakota St.	SUMM	30-5	67	Was a little tighter than expected vs. Bison.	✔
13	S	51.	Richmond	A10	24-13	84	Spiders are usually a scary tournament team.	✔
	E	52.	Chattanooga	SOUTH	27-8	63	Best end-of-game moment to clinch bid so far.	✔
	MW	53.	N. Mex. St.	WAC	27-7	78	WAC a little tougher this season, but Aggies still help up well.	✔
	W	54.	Montana St.	BSKY	27-8	128	Big Sky usually overseeded, 13 might make sense this year.	✔
14	S	55.	Akron	MAC	24-10	126	Zips snap up MAC bid.	✔
	W	56.	Yale	IVY	19-12	149	Held off Princeton for Ivy title.	✔
	MW	57.	Colgate	PAT	23-12	124	Locked up Patriot league title and might get OK seed.	✔
	E	58.	Longwood	BSOU	26-7	131	Clinched first NCAA Division I tourney bid.	✔
15	W	59.	CSU Fullerton	BIGW	21-11	155	Just second bid since 2018 for Titans.	✔
	S	60.	Georgia St.	SBELT	18-11	158	Panthers third bid in last four tournaments.	✔
	E	61.	Delaware	CAA	22-13	134	Seeing Jameer Nelson Jr. at PG here makes me feel old.	✔
	MW	62.	St. Peter's	MAAC	22-12	105	Finished the job to get the MACC auto-bid.	✔
16	E	63.	Jacksonville St.	ASUN	21-11	148	Gets the auto-bid without despite losing in tourney semifinal.	✔
	MW	64.	Norfolk St.	MEAC	24-7	169	Pretty certain the play-in has been avoided for MEAC champs.	✔
	S	65.	Wright St.	HORIZ	22-14	186	Just second NCAAs in 15 years for Raiders.	✔
	W	66.	Bryant	NEC	22-10	205	Conference final was no contest.	✔
	W	67.	Texas Southern	SWAC	19-13	196	Earned sixth bid since 2014.	✔
	S	68.	TAMU Corpus Christi	SLAND	23-12	243	First NCAA's in 15 years for Islanders.	✔

On the Bubble:

Conference Breakdown: America East (1), American (2), Atlantic 10 (2), Atlantic Coast (5), Atlantic Sun (1), Big 12 (6), Big East (7), Big Sky (1), Big South (1), Big Ten (8), Big West (1), Colonial (1), Conference USA (1), Horizon (1), Ivy League (1), Metro Atlantic Athletic (1), Mid-American (1), Mid-Eastern (1), Missouri Valley (1), Mountain West (4), Northeast (1), Ohio Valley (1), Pac-12 (3), Patriot League (1), Southeastern (6), Southern (1), Southland (1), Southwestern Athletic (1), Summit (1), Sun Belt (1), West Coast (3), Western Athletic (1)

Michael Lazarus' Big Board

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