Michael Lazarus' Big Board
Big Board FINAL PROJECTION. Last Teams in: Louisville, Utah State, Syracuse, Drake. First Teams out: Wichita State, Colorado State, Saint Louis, Boise State. New teams in (Saturday): Oregon State, Georgetown, North Texas, Ohio, Abilene Christian, Texas Southern. Old Teams out: Wichita State, Colorado State, Western Kentucky, Buffalo, Nicholls, Prairie View A&M. Houston ended any potential drama among bubble teams Sunday afternoon. Ohio State stays at No. 6 overall win or lose to Illinois.
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| Seed | Region | Rank | Team | Conf | W/L | NET | Comment | AQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W | 1. | WCC | 31-1 | 1 | Got a nice challenge and responded like a No. 1 overall team. | ✔ | |
| S | 2. | BIG12 | 28-2 | 2 | Not the same defensively since returning from pause. | |||
| MW | 3. | BTEN | 24-7 | 3 | Will stay ahead of Michigan win or lose. | ✔ | ||
| E | 4. | BTEN | 23-5 | 4 | Will Livers be back? Will be a tough call so Illini move ahead. | |||
| 2 | E | 5. | SEC | 26-7 | 7 | Virtually certain to be the 2 in East region. | ✔ | |
| S | 6. | BTEN | 21-10 | 8 | Not getting a 1, a week ago Buckeyes had lost 4 in a row. | |||
| W | 7. | BTEN | 22-9 | 6 | There's a gap after No. 7. | |||
| MW | 8. | BIG12 | 19-8 | 21 | Big 12 tourney title over OSU gives Longhorns the last 2. | ✔ | ||
| 3 | W | 9. | BIG12 | 21-9 | 29 | Couldn't justify seeding over Texas. | ||
| MW | 10. | SEC | 25-7 | 14 | Win streak finally snapped but clearly a top 10 team. | |||
| S | 11. | AAC | 28-4 | 5 | Seeding Cougars a 2 would be a major mistake. One win away from home vs. teams in field. | ✔ | ||
| E | 12. | BIG12 | 21-9 | 11 | It's been a tough week for the Jayhawks, NCAA fate uncertain. | |||
| 4 | E | 13. | BIG12 | 19-10 | 24 | Power of Big 12 should give Huggins a high seed. | ||
| MW | 14. | ACC | 18-7 | 25 | Might slip behind Purdue but everyone else below has question marks. | |||
| S | 15. | BTEN | 18-10 | 22 | Kept it close vs. Buckeyes, certainly enough to stick as a 4. | |||
| W | 16. | ACC | 18-7 | 12 | Cavaliers now wait and see if they can play in NCAAs. | |||
| 5 | S | 17. | BIGE | 22-9 | 26 | Massive loss in Big East final wasn't ideal. | ||
| W | 18. | BIG12 | 18-11 | 16 | Still not a team or coach anyone really wants to face once tourney starts. | |||
| MW | 19. | PAC12 | 23-9 | 15 | Did not help in-state rivals (among other bubble teams). | |||
| E | 20. | SEC | 18-9 | 13 | Gave Alabama everything it wanted, was just a bit short. | |||
| 6 | MW | 21. | BIGE | 18-7 | 17 | Unfortunate but haven't won since game Gillespie was hurt. | ||
| E | 22. | PAC12 | 25-8 | 19 | Well, Trojans won't face Buffs for a while at least. | |||
| S | 23. | PAC12 | 21-7 | 33 | Friday was much different than last Sunday as Beavers outshoot the Ducks. | |||
| W | 24. | SEC | 19-10 | 28 | SEC Final was one of the games of the year. | |||
| 7 | S | 25. | BIG12 | 16-11 | 36 | Did Sooners peak a month ago? Sure feels like it. | ||
| MW | 26. | BTEN | 18-13 | 27 | Lost a close tough one to Iowa Friday. | |||
| E | 27. | WCC | 20-7 | 20 | Gave the Zags a great run in WCC final. | |||
| W | 28. | MWC | 23-5 | 18 | Might be only Mountain West representative. | ✔ | ||
| 8 | E | 29. | ACC | 17-9 | 34 | Weird route to ACC title, but a title is a title. | ✔ | |
| MW | 30. | ACC | 16-8 | 41 | Wrong time to get hit with a Q3 loss, seed drop likely coming in next few days. | |||
| S | 31. | ACC | 18-11 | 32 | Couldn't get past rested Florida State. | |||
| W | 32. | SEC | 16-10 | 47 | Hung around with Arkansas, just came up a little bit short. | |||
| 9 | S | 33. | SEC | 15-10 | 31 | Trended the wrong direction in last 2 weeks. | ||
| W | 34. | BTEN | 16-12 | 38 | Will be dancing for first time in a LONG time. | |||
| MW | 35. | BIGE | 15-8 | 30 | Clear No. 3 in Big East, now a tourney lock. | |||
| E | 36. | MVC | 26-5 | 10 | Looked very solid in Arch Madness run. | ✔ | ||
| 10 | MW | 37. | ACC | 15-7 | 48 | Only got in five games since end of January. | ||
| E | 38. | BTEN | 17-14 | 35 | Can't say the Terps didn't lack energy vs. Michigan, just fizzled after first 15 minutes. | |||
| W | 39. | A10 | 16-5 | 23 | Don't see any scenario where Bonnies don't make it. | ✔ | ||
| S | 40. | PAC12 | 22-10 | 46 | There's a win over Colorado...and not much else here. | |||
| 11 | S | 41. | BTEN | 15-13 | 70 | Terrible NET but have some elite wins. | ||
| MW | 42. | A10 | 19-7 | 37 | Wins over bubble teams Utah State and Saint Louis loom VERY lage. | |||
| W | 43. | ACC | 13-7 | 56 | We said before Cardinals could be in trouble...closer to reality now. | |||
| E | 44. | MWC | 20-9 | 39 | Will be a long overnight wait. | |||
| E | 45. | ACC | 18-10 | 40 | Will they hold off the mid-majors to stay in First Four? | |||
| W | 46. | MVC | 26-5 | 45 | Final team in right now -- rooting hard for Houston. | |||
| 12 | E | 47. | PAC12 | 20-13 | 91 | Beavers have beaten the top 4 teams in Pac-12, NET doesn't reflect it. | ✔ | |
| W | 48. | BIGE | 13-13 | 64 | Best story of championship week -- Hoyas back in tourney. | ✔ | ||
| MW | 49. | CUSA | 18-10 | 59 | Needed OT but Mean Green are back in the tourney! | ✔ | ||
| S | 50. | BSOU | 23-2 | 55 | Looked very impressive in tourney final. | ✔ | ||
| 13 | W | 51. | BIGW | 22-5 | 54 | Finally broke through vs. UC Irvine to get first bid since 2011. | ✔ | |
| S | 52. | MAC | 17-8 | 87 | Third rep from MAC last three days, this one will stick. | ✔ | ||
| MW | 53. | ASUN | 23-6 | 86 | Was in even with a loss, but managed to beat North Alabama. | ✔ | ||
| W | 54. | SOUTH | 21-9 | 84 | Was only top Southern Conference seed left standing. | ✔ | ||
| 14 | E | 55. | BSKY | 16-8 | 114 | Put Big Sky final away early. | ✔ | |
| S | 56. | PAT | 14-2 | 9 | Now we'll see how Raiders fare outside of the Patriot League! | ✔ | ||
| MW | 57. | OVC | 23-8 | 121 | Kenneth Faried would be proud with rout of Belmont. | ✔ | ||
| W | 58. | HORIZ | 19-8 | 160 | Horizon champs one of rare mid-major top seeds to advance to tourney. | ✔ | ||
| 15 | MW | 59. | WAC | 17-7 | 107 | Bryce Drew joining his brother as tourney coaches. | ✔ | |
| W | 60. | SUMM | 18-11 | 158 | Didn't win any Q1 games, but wasn't totally outclassed. | ✔ | ||
| S | 61. | AEAST | 15-9 | 162 | All the way from play-in to a 15 seed over the course of 2 days! | ✔ | ||
| E | 62. | SLAND | 24-5 | 74 | Easy win in Southland title game. | ✔ | ||
| 16 | MW | 63. | CAA | 12-8 | 135 | Welcome back Dragons -- it's been a while. | ✔ | |
| S | 64. | MAAC | 12-6 | 138 | After further review Gaels will be a 16 ... but a scary one. | ✔ | ||
| E | 65. | NEC | 12-11 | 159 | Knocked off Bryant but likely in play-in now. | ✔ | ||
| W | 66. | SBELT | 17-12 | 210 | Way too many Q4 losses to avoid play-in. | ✔ | ||
| W | 67. | SWAC | 17-9 | 208 | Knocked off both league unbeatens to win SWAC bid. | ✔ | ||
| E | 68. | MEAC | 17-8 | 170 | Got past Morgan State after NC A&T withdrew. | ✔ |
Conference Breakdown: America East (1), American (1), Atlantic 10 (2), Atlantic Coast (8), Atlantic Sun (1), Big 12 (7), Big East (4), Big Sky (1), Big South (1), Big Ten (9), Big West (1), Colonial (1), Conference USA (1), Horizon (1), Metro Atlantic Athletic (1), Mid-American (1), Mid-Eastern (1), Missouri Valley (2), Mountain West (2), Northeast (1), Ohio Valley (1), Pac-12 (5), Patriot League (1), Southeastern (6), Southern (1), Southland (1), Southwestern Athletic (1), Summit (1), Sun Belt (1), West Coast (2), Western Athletic (1)
