Yahoo Golf Talk: WWT Championship at Mayakoba

·2 min read

In yesterday's article I dove into some course-fit stats that line up well for El Camaleon Golf Course.

Today, I am going to target some stats that have historically led to good results at this coastal course.

The goal of this research is to pluck out some potential value plays for our Yahoo DFS lineups.

To do this I will look at the leaderboards from the last five editions of the Mayakoba and see what pops out. What I found was the recipe for success at El Camaleon GC is very simple. Fairways and Greens is the name of the game.

Finding Fairways

Looking at the last five editions of the Mayakoba we can see that 60 percent of the top-20 finishers were finding more fairways than the field in their 12 lead-in rounds. That is not always the case when looking at historical lead-in form on the PGA TOUR. This is a rare course that puts a premium on accuracy.

Look at the current lead-in form (last 12 rounds), here are the leaders in fairways gained:

Chez Reavie
Abraham Ancer
Brian Stuard
Brice Garnett
Tyler Duncan
Ryan Moore
Graeme McDowell
Kevin Streelman
James Hahn
Russell Henley
Michael Thompson
Russell Knox
Denny McCarthy
Martin Laird
Kyle Stanley

Kevin Streelman ($32): He is priced right in the middle of the board when it comes to salary this week. That should result in him finding himself on a relatively low percentage of rosters. Finding more fairways than the field in 14 of his last 16 rounds, he should put himself in position to score this week while avoiding the hazards that lurk off the fairways at El Camaleon GC.

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Greens in Regulation

Keeping it simple this week, we see that top-20 finishers at the Mayakoba have historically been pelting a lot of greens in regulation in the lead-up to their big finish at El Camaleon Golf Course.

Just honing in on the top-20 finishes, we see the had averaged +4.5 more greens in regulation compared to the field in their 12 lead-in starts while golfers who missed the cut at this event have been losing an average of 2.7 GIR in their 12 lead-in rounds.

Here are the current leaders in GIR Gained over the last 12 rounds:

Mito Pereira
Will Zalatoris
Russell Henley
Charles Howell III
Luke List
Cameron Tringale
Patrick Rodgers
Brendan Steele
Adam Hadwin
Viktor Hovland
Emiliano Grillo
Denny McCarthy
Aaron Wise
Nick Watney
Maverick McNealy

Maverick McNealy ($34): The Stanford standout continues to show the upside potential of snagging his first PGA TOUR win and most recently showed that promise with a runner-up finish at the Fortinet Championship in mid-September where he found himself T10 or better after all four rounds. Will El Camaleon fit his style of play? Well, he has four career top 5s on the PGA TOUR and three have come at short, coastal courses (2020 Pebble Beach Pro-Am, 2021 Pebble Beach Pro-Am, 2021 RBC Heritage). He also has a T12 on his resume at the Mayakoba.

Hopefully, these stats will give you some names to dive into when it comes to researching your final selections this week over at Yahoo!