A star-studded field heads to TPC Sawgrass for this week's PLAYERS Championship.
THE PLAYERS is one of the biggest events all season and it comes at a time without as much cross-sport action. That means huge prize pools across the DFS industry including over at Yahoo Fantasy Sports. We are going to focus on Yahoo today as we sift through some stats.
With 154 golfers lining up to start the week, it will be tough to land 6-of-6 golfers through the cutline. It should be a top priority to target cut-makers but that's easier said than done when playing on a course like TPC Sawgrass with water lurking around every corner. It just takes one or two bad shots to blow up a scorecard and force a golfer to pack their bags early.
Let's dig into some stats that might help us hone in on some value options.
The two areas I'm going to dive into today are Florida tee-to-green performance and par-5 scoring.
You can search for narratives of which golfers like playing in the Sunshine State but why not just run the numbers and see who pops? Florida has a very specific style when it comes to courses that host PGA TOUR events. If you play well on one of the Florida courses, you'll probably like most of them.
Over the last three years, here are the leaders in strokes gained tee-to-green while playing on courses in Florida:
Byeong Hun An
Jason Kokrak ($28): He's not really known for posting consistent results but he can catch fire with the best of them. He arrives off back-to-back top 10s, both on Florida courses. He has eight career top 10s in Florida but still looking for his first taste of success at TPC Sawgrass. He's just 2-for-7 at THE PLAYERS with nothing better than T46 (2018). That should land him on a lower percentage of rosters this week which will give you some nice leverage if he does end up finally figuring things out at this Pete Dye design.
Par 5 Scoring
We talked about the importance of par-5 scoring last week at Bay Hill and the same rings true this week at TPC Sawgrass.
The par 5s all yield a birdie-or-better rate over 30 percent for the field at TPC Sawgrass so you need to capitalize if you want to piece together a low round.
Here are the golfers that have been the most consistent at gaining strokes on the par 5s compared to the field, over the last two years on the PGA TOUR:
Sam Burns ($27): He stumbled out of the gate last week at Bay Hill and found himself in too big of a hole to recover on Friday. He was trending well before that with four straight top-40 finishes. He's held a solo lead after six rounds this season which is more than some steady golfers have accomplished over their entire career. A win is coming sooner or later for Burns. Maybe not this week, but you don't need a win at this price point.
Hopefully these stats will give you some names to dive into when it comes to researching your final selections this week over at Yahoo!