No. 3 Arizona vs. No. 1 Stanford (-8)
For the first time in NCAA Women's Championship history, two Pac-12 teams made the NCAA Championship Game. Only six teams before this season's title game have featured teams within the same conference.
Stanford has not won a National Championship in 29 years and Arizona is still chasing its first. Stanford won 10 straight games by double-digits before the one-point victory against South Carolina. Stanford won four of the last five games, all by 10 or more points.
Arizona (21-5) has a star in Aari McDonald. She has led the team in scoring nine of the last 10 games, scoring 20 or more in eight of the 10. Against Stanford, McDonald scored 12 in the first meeting and 20 in the second. Arizona lost the first game by 27 points and the second by 14.
Stanford's (30-2) only two losses came in back-to-back games. Since then, the Cardinals have won 19 straight games, winning 17 of them by eight or more. Can a third time be the charm for Arizona?
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Arizona did beat UConn, who always is a threat to win the National Title. Fresh off impressive wins against Texas A&M in the Sweet 16, Indiana in the Elite 8 and UConn in the Final 4, this squad can keep this within 10 points.
Although Stanford has won by eight or more in 17 of the previous 19 games, two of Arizona's five losses have come to Stanford and two more in OT. Meeting the same opponent for the third time can favor the underdog, especially when they are 0-2 on the season.
I expect Arizona to keep this single-digits and McDonald to have another successful scoring outing, topping her 20-point effort in the last meeting with Stanford.
Pick: Arizona +8
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