Wimbledon Best Bets for July 5

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The Fourth Round, the Round of 16, the second week. Whatever you want to call it, we're moving on at Wimbledon and getting closer to the quarterfinals. The action is heating up, and I've got a couple great ways to get in on the fun.

Denis Shapovalov (-150) vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut (+120)

I know, the idea of backing Denis Shapovalov this late in a Grand Slam, where he's historically had issues, is not the most fun. With that being said, this is a story of two players coming in heading in opposite directions.

The confidence seems to be growing for the young Canadian as the matches go on, and his shot-making was on full display against Andy Murray in the third round. Though that win's hard to get excited about, given Murray's lack of mobility and visible fatigue, he'll come in as the fresher and more in-form player.

Bautista-Agut has always been a strong grass player, but this season has been a different story. He enters this match with just a 4-2 record on the turf with a couple tough losses to Americans Sam Querrey and Sebastian Korda and a couple narrow escapes against Dominik Koepfer and Miomir Kecmanovic.

The latter two got plenty of shots in on Bautista-Agut and were able to break with relative ease. The Kecmanovic match went five, and the Koepfer match very well could have with the way RBA played. He's not really dominating at the moment, and the power of Shapovalov should be too much as the courts get quicker. He likely won't hand back as many breaks as Bautista-Agut's first few opponents have.

Edge: Shapovalov -150

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Karolina Pliskova (-112) vs. Ludmilla Samsonova (-112)

If you haven't heard by now, Ludmilla Samsonova is taking the WTA Tour by storm. She's won 10 matches in a row, dating back to qualifying for Berlin, which she went on to win in impressive fashion. The young Russian has toppled some of the biggest names in the sport over the last month, and Sunday will mark another.

Karolina Pliskova has taken a step back from her ridiculous form a couple of years ago, and simply isn't the dominating presence she's been. Her serve still works wonders for her, but her return games leave a lot to be desired. That's why an opponent like Samsonova, who does such a great job of holding onto her serve, poses some real problems.

The margin for error should be thin for Pliskova, and I think the form Samsonova is in should help her capitalize. She's coming in brimming with confidence, and as someone who competes so hard and possesses some real weapons, I like her chances in this match.

Edge: Samsonova -112

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