Eyeing Manaea's Ks and One Other Play

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Marathon Monday! We get to kick it off nice and early to start our week off. Coming off a great week, there is no reason to think we can’t start it up again.

*Each play will be labeled (1 through number “X”) to determine how I rank my plays on a daily basis.

UPDATE: The White Sox-Guardians matchup has since been postponed due to weather.

Chicago White Sox (+115) @ Cleveland Guardians (-136) | Over/Under 7.5 (1)

The Baseball Gods vehemently proclaimed they did not want the Sox getting another first five W. Some of the worst luck I have seen in a baseball game combined with the fact that Vince Velasquez has no business being a starting pitcher in any professional league decided the loss. Chicago now sits at 6-2-1 in the first half of ball games this season.

Dallas Keuchel is back on the bump for the south side on Monday after an okay (?) debut against the Mariners last week giving up three runs and six hits in five innings. He faces a Guardians lineup that only managed to score four runs in three games vs. the Giants. I mentioned last week there were not too many more pitchers in baseball that got more runs per start than DK last season (5.8). Chicago can plate runs in a hurry, but against Shane Bieber, it remains to be seen if the offensive firepower can carry over vs. a pitcher who is 5-1 against them since 2020.

This is a double-dip play where we can take a shot not only on big plus money for the Sox to win the F5, but take the under in the first half as well. In both of Bieber’s starts this year, the under has cashed. Not to mention out of his last six outings vs. Chicago, the under has hit four times. I’m not ready to get back in his strikeout prop market, but the first five total should be open for business today.

PREDICTION: White Sox F5 (+130) -0.5u

PREDICTION: UNDER 4 runs F5 (-115) -0.5u

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Sean Manaea O/U 6.5 Strikeouts vs. Cincinnati Reds (2)

It might have been a little unsung, but wow what a power move for the Padres trading for Sean Manaea from the A’s right before the season. So far, Manaea has been sparkling with his new team allowing only four hits and two earned runs in 13 innings to go along with 13 punchouts.

On Monday, he draws the Cincinnati Reds at home. Aside from the obvious fact that he has been dealing, Cincy holds the distinction of having the 4th-most strikeouts in the league (98). Not to mention, they are much worse against lefties this season (worse in average, OBP, SLG, OPS). Additionally, we could see Sean’s pitch count get bumped from the high-80s to the mid-90s if he continues to shove. With a good matchup on deck, Manaea is a great play at plus money to notch at least seven punchouts against a struggling offense.

PREDICTION: Manaea OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (+116) -1.0u

Los Angeles Angels (+130) @ Houston Astros (-155) | Over/Under 9 (3)

A good old-fashioned AL West rivalry. HELLO. Houston, we finally have a home game! After a grueling nine-game road stretch to start off their 2022 campaign, the Astros welcome the Angels at home in their second series meeting of the season. Houston took three of four in the opening set against LA, severely outplaying them most of the series.

Coming off a rough weekend set against my darling Seattle Mariners, where they dropped two of three, H-Town should be looking to get back to business against an Angels team that could be missing Mike Trout thanks to a bad hand plunking in Sunday’s contest against the Rangers. A welcome sight for the lineup is slugger Yordan Alvarez slated to return to a tepid offensive attack that has only mustered nine runs in the last four outings. Dueling against LA’s Michael Lorenzen, coming off a great debut vs. the Marlins, it should favor the ‘Stros to attack a pitcher who has only made six starts since 2016. As long as Luis Garcia can hold better command than he did vs. Arizona, I like Houston to have a nice comfortable win on Monday night. For what it’s worth, the Astros were 13-6 SU and ATS against LA a season ago, covering four of their last five.

PREDICTION: Astros RL -1.5 (+130) -1.0u

Pull a Blue Mountain State, and have a nice Marathon Monday taste.

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