When setting your weekly NFL DFS lineups, it can be just as helpful to have an idea of whom you DON’T want to include as whom you do. Every Friday we’ll highlight a few players that you might want to fade. When a player appears here, it mainly refers to fading him in cash games. If you play in a lot of large field, multi-entry tournaments, you might consider just being underweight on these players relative to the field rather than not using them at all.
Players I’m fading for Week 8 include:
Patrick Mahomes, QB - Kansas City Chiefs
Fading Mahomes is a matter of degrees. A little exposure in a tournament lineup or two? I’m fine with it, as the weather in this game is actually favorable compared to many. The question with Mahomes is just how much he’s going to have to do in this game and if it’s enough to pay off that high salary. The Chiefs opened as 21-point favorites, one of the largest spreads I’ve ever seen, and they’ve been holding at minus-19.5 for most of the week. The Jets are the lowest scoring offense in the league, though maybe starting all backup/rookie skill players will turn things around (sarcasm). I like to spend up for Mahomes in competitive potential shootouts and this isn’t that kind of game.
Drew Brees, QB New - Orleans Saints
I mentioned weather above, and with winds projected over 25 MPH at several northern stadiums this week, including Chicago’s, it’s worth taking into account when choosing your QB. Bad weather games have made for nice tournament stacks in the past, but relying on someone in conditions that are proven to limit fantasy production and real scoring is unnecessary. Add to the equation that Chicago is allowing the fewest fantasy points to QBs and that Brees will be without Michael Thomas and breakout Marquez Callaway this weekend, and I’m just plugging in Alvin Kamara and moving right along from this game.
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James Conner, RB - Pittsburgh Steelers
Weather is causing me to upgrade several running backs I would otherwise be only lukewarm on, but not Conner. This game feature two staunch defenses, neither of which has been in any sense generous to opponents. Baltimore is allowing the fewest real points to opponents this season (and Pittsburgh isn’t far behind). Conner has been fine this season, but he was vultured at the goal line by Benny Snell in Week 7, which was disappointing given his salary. Pittsburgh has a lot of offensive weapons to deploy, and this week, as I don’t have a good feeling about game flow with the Steelers on the road facing Lamar Jackson, I’m fading them all.
Stefon Diggs, WR - Buffalo Bills
This seems like a do or die week for the Bills to get back on track. Yes, they won last week to stop their losing streak, but it was hardly resounding for the offense. Neither of these defenses is living up to what it was in the 2019 season, but I never count the Patriots ability to take out the opponent’s best player, and excluding Josh Allen (which is debatable right now), that’s Diggs. I might turn to solo Allen in a GPP lineup, but rostering Diggs as around the fifth-most expensive receiver means not only does Allen turn it around in the pass game, but that New England ignores him and I don’t want to bet on both of those things. There are too many other wide receivers that will cost less than Diggs and produce as many or more fantasy points.
Mark Andrews, TE - Baltimore Ravens
I actually think Lamar Jackson could be a sneaky good tournament play this weekend, but going all-in on the Ravens is not smart, for reasons described above. Pittsburgh has been brutal, but matchup isn’t the only thing on my mind here. Though my season-long fantasy teams hope the best for Andrews, in DFS I’m spending all around him on Darren Waller and George Kittle. I think the ceiling is probably similar among the three, but Andrews’ floor is lowest this week.
LA Rams D/ST
I’ve heard some chatter about the Rams’ D/ST this week, and the DFS sites (except Yahoo, so kudos to them) have them priced like they’re fantasy gods. The good: They tie with the Eagles with 3.4 sacks per game, fourth in the league, and allow the second-fewest points to opponents (which has something to do with facing the Giants, Bears and Football team, who average the fourth-fewest points in the league). The Bill and Eagles both put up 30-plus points on them this season. Now the bad: they’re on the road, the line has moved in Miami’s favor this week, and Miami is debuting Tua Tagovailoa. The weather looks great here, 85 and sunny with light breezes. I’d much rather spend less on a defense in a bad weather game, at home, like Chicago, Green Bay, Buffalo or even Cleveland.
Players I like, but who are expected to have high ownership in Week 8 include: Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, Keenan Allen, A.J. Brown, Rashard Higgins, Brandon Aiyuk, Denzel Mims, George Kittle, Darren Waller, Jamaal Williams, Kareem Hunt, Alvin Kamara, Chiefs D/ST, Bills D/ST. You might consider deviating away from this player pool and pivoting in large GPPs.