If fretting wagering on NFL spreads and totals (historically the sharpest lines available at any book), props can be an intriguing and outright fun way to have an invested incentive in a player’s performance each and every Sunday. This continued series will be a weekly feature outlining my favorite player props for the upcoming week, including the five detailed below. Any additional bets will be added and updated over the weekend. All props and odds have been sourced accordingly and tracked for accountability below.
Devin Singletary OVER 36.5 Rushing Yards (-112) — Pinnacle
Jury’s out on how much work Singletary gets in his first game back from a nagging hamstring injury, but he doesn’t need to dominate touches ahead of Frank Gore to hit 37 yards. Not only have the Dolphins been bullied for the second-most raw rushing yards (751) allowed through five games, Singletary’s quietly exploded for 10-plus yards on 70 percent of his 10 carries to date. This Over is a mortal lock if the No. 74 overall pick sees the same run he did in Week 1 on 68.2 percent of Buffalo’s offensive snaps.
Dalvin Cook OVER 77.5 Rushing Yards (-125) — DraftKings Sportsbook
The Lions have leaked fantasy points up the middle of late, allowing LeSean McCoy (11/56/1) to average just over 5.0 YPC and most recently getting pummeled by both Jamaal Williams (14/104) and Aaron Jones (11/47). With run-stuffing DT Mike Daniels (foot, out) and interior DL Da’Shawn Hand (elbow, questionable) both potentially absent for the third consecutive week, Cook should have no issues buoying Minnesota’s 47 percent run play rate in neutral game script into another successful outing. Cook has yet to handle fewer than 14 carries in any game, surpassing 78 rushing yards in 4-of-6 performances.
Luke Willson OVER 19.5 Receiving Yards (-109) — DraftKings Sportsbook
Will Dissly’s unfortunate season-ending injury vacates 15 percent of Seattle’s target share and a nice 69.5 percent of routes run by their tight ends. That available opportunity alone opens the door for Willson, who ran 20 routes off the bench just last week. Jacob Hollister will likely be active behind Willson, but it’s the latter who will undoubtedly continue to be used in the passing game moving forward.
Cole Beasley OVER 3.5 Receptions (-167) — Pinnacle
This is simply an oversight worth attacking. Beasley’s averaged 7.8 targets and 5.4 catches this season. The only time he’s failed to catch fewer than his allotted prop is with a post-concussed Josh Allen under center in Week 5. Any lingering limitations for John Brown (groin) and Robert Foster (groin) are pluses for Beasley’s inevitable involvement underneath.
DK Metcalf OVER 2.5 Receptions (-132) — DraftKings Sportsbook
Marcus Peters is expected to “play a lot” in his Ravens debut, which is great news for Metcalf. A clear salary dump by Los Angeles, Peters’ remaining $5.8 million was easily sheddable after the 26-year-old was scorched for 10/166/2 on 16 targets as the team’s right outside corner. That side is coincidently where Metcalf has lined up on 52.3 percent of his offensive snaps this season. The rookie’s also due for positive touchdown regression as he’s only spiked two scores on 12 end zone targets to date. Metcalf should receive numerous looks to notch this prop just by being involved in the week’s fourth-highest total (48.5).
Last Week: 1-3, -0.9 Units
Season: 17-18, +16.2 Units