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In this weekly article, we’ll look at the cheaper options that should return good value to your NFL DFS lineups. The bargain threshold varies by site, and position, but generally we’ll aim for our bargain plays to take up about 8-10 percent of your salary cap, except for quarterbacks, which we’ll allow 11-12 percent. A great tool to find bargains is our DFS projection system, which gives a dollar per fantasy point projection for each player. I refer to it often!
Dallas ranks fourth in overall fantasy points allowed to opponents, while also giving up the most real points of any team in the league (average 36.3 points per game). Washington has had their struggles, but Allen looked generally competent in Week 6 vs. a better NY Giants Defense than he will see here. Terry McLaurin is coming off a 12-target game and Logan Thomas found the end zone again in Week 6. Antonio Gibson is waiting to be fully unleashed, but between he and J.D. McKissic, the best part of the run game has been the receiving ability of both backs. That all points back to Allen being both the safest, and cheapest way to take advantage of this great matchup.
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland ($5500 DK, $7100 FD, $26 Yahoo)
Burrow hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass in two weeks, which might be a weird way to start a blurb recommending him. It will be a solid matchup for him this week, with Cleveland ranking ninth in total fantasy points allowed to opponents and fourth in passing yards allowed. Volume and yardage haven’t been Burrow’s problems; he still leads all QBs in attempts and ranks eighth in yards. His two rushing TDs have helped his fantasy numbers, but with only six passing TDs on the season, I’m looking for some regression here. He’s using Tyler Boyd, Tee Higgins and A.J. Green almost an equal amount, and all three are affordable if you’re thinking mini-stack here.
Justin Jackson, LA Chargers vs. Jacksonville ($4900 DK, $6100 FD, $16 Yahoo)
Coming off the BYE week, I’m excited about the Chargers in this great matchup. The Jaguars were just gashed by D’Andre Swift and now rank sixth in fantasy points allowed to RBs. Prior to their week off, the Chargers were using Jackson more than Joshua Kelley in both the run and pass phases of the game. There’s some risk in going all in with Jackson, but the Chargers high implied team total and super matchup mitigate it for me. I’ll probably throw Kelley in a GPP lineup just to have some exposure in case he develops the hot hand early on.
Latavius Murray, New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina ($4800 DK, $5300 FD, $19 Yahoo)
While Alvin Kamara should be the most popular back rostered this weekend, Murray is getting enough regular usage to be considered as well for lineups that need some salary-savings at the position. Averaging over 10 carries per game, just nine fewer than Kamara himself, Murray gets some chances to score as well (two touchdowns on nine red zone carries this season). Carolina has just been so bad against the run and the Saints are such big home favorites here that it seems like an ideal spot for Murray to shine.
Also consider: Jerick McKinnon
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Mike Williams, LA Chargers vs. Jacksonville ($4700 DK, $5900 FD, $16 Yahoo)
Williams saw eight targets in Week 5, before the teams’ BYE, and converted two of them for touchdowns. Joshua Herbert likes to throw it deep and Williams is the most experienced deep threat the team has. Both Jalen Guyton and Tyron Johnson have also caught deep touchdowns, but with a healthy Keenan Allen and Williams on the field, they’re the primary receivers for Herbert. There’s almost no Charger I don’t like this week, given their freshness off the BYE, the matchup, the salary, the Vegas total, the home field…you get the idea.
Tim Patrick, Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City ($4600 DK, $5500 FD, $16 Yahoo)
Not an exciting play, but Patrick is a nice way to save with a high floor. Denver was unable to score touchdowns vs. New England in Week 6, but they did move the ball, and despite not scoring, Drew Lock put the ball in Patrick’s hands enough that he had his second consecutive 100-yard receiving game and third in the double-digit fantasy points. The Broncos are going to have to throw the ball to have a chance to keep pace against Kansas City, so while I’m avoiding Lock in DFS, I do like Patrick and Jerry Jeudy, who is more expensive.
Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys at Washington ($3900 DK, $5200 FD, $17 Yahoo)
Like most TEs, Schultz will have his good games and his bad games. Use him here for his upside – Andy Dalton seemed to be looking for him in the embarrassing loss to the Cardinals Monday night, given the Cowboys relatively high team total. Maybe I’m crazy, but I like the Dalton to Dalton connection. Schultz has yet to exceed 100 receiving yards, and hasn’t scored since Week 4, which is keeping his salary low. You have the option of paying up for George Kittle or Travis Kelce this week, but if you blow your budget elsewhere, I think you can get around 10 PPR fantasy points out of Schultz this weekend. Washington has limited the fantasy production of opposing wide receivers (31st in fantasy points allowed to WR) but ranks fifth to tight ends.
Also consider: Hunter Henry
Washington Football Team vs. Dallas ($2500 DK, $3800 FD, $14 Yahoo)
I’m not super keen on the Cowboys, despite the Schultz blurb above. Andy Dalton in no way fills Dak Prescott’s shoes (I forget who I heard say that ahead of MNF last week), and yet the Cowboys are the favored team this week. What the Washington Defense has going for it is Dallas’ league-leading turnover rate (15). They’ve proven opportunistic, with at least one interception in every game except Cleveland, and an average of 2.5 sacks per game. There are some obvious plays in the upper salary tier, but if you’re looking to save, look for the turnover potential.