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Minty Bets and Matt Harmon offer up their favorite player props for Week 11.
MATT HARMON: Absolutely, we've got an exciting crop of players to talk about. Minty, your first guy here-- I see we've got an over, an over bet for Minty here. Let's talk about Mike Gesicki, who came in way under any line last week because he caught zero passes.
MINTY BETS: Yes, yes. Mike Gesicki is the guy we're talking about. I have an over. Four and a half receptions here. He's had four or less receptions, as you said, in his last three games. But this Jets defense allowing the second most passing yards per game and allowing some of the most points per game. So I'm gonna take a chance with the over here and just channel my inner Matt Harmon.
MATT HARMON: Well, listen, I love that. Betting against the Jets also smart. They rank 32nd in both drop back and rushing EPA allowed since week 7. So pretty brutal. Actually, though, I will be sticking in that same realm here. AJ Dillon-- give me the over on 113.5 total yards from this guy.
I'm obsessed with AJ Dillon, OK? I mean, this is so great. This is why I drafted him a ton in rounds like 9, 10, even round 8 a couple of spots in August because I really believe in the player. I also believe in this guy, you know, just carrying the load late in the season for the Green Bay Packers.
And his match-up this week against the Minnesota Vikings is extremely enticing. I mentioned the Jets were 32nd in rushing EPA allowed since week 7. Number 31 is the Minnesota Vikings. So I think AJ Dillon gets saddled up with a ton of work.
I love getting the total yards here because we've seen Dylan be an explosive pass catching threat. I mean, he's like a top-- almost a top 5 running back I think in fantasy this week, Minty.
MINTY BETS: Hmm, OK, I don't hate that. I mean, like you said, he's gotten a lot of production later this season. But, man, going up against a division rival in the Vikings who are like, hit or miss this season is super risky. I'm on the fence about that one.
But my next prop is going to be Greg' Zuerlein under 7 and 1/2 kicking points. Now I'm expecting this to be a high-scoring game. But for many of the points that Greg the Leg earns to come from PATs. KC has one of the weakest red zone defenses, so they'll let through quite a few scores and not limit Dallas to just field goals. So I like the over here-- or, the under here. Sorry.
MATT HARMON: An under and a kicking bed. Minty, that is right on brand for you. I'm gonna stick with the brand as well and pull up a rando here. Nico Collins. Give me the over on 27 and 1/2 receiving yards at minus 110. It's like, who's Nico Collins?
He's actually an interesting rookie for the Houston Texans wide receiver. He was a third round pick that they traded up for. This guy is big-- 6' 4", 210, 215 pounds, was a season-high 70% of the snaps last week. Nico Collins is a guy that I think should probably think about picking up and stashing at the end of your fantasy benches.
I think this guy can play. We know the Texans coming off their bye week desperately need some help at that wide receiver position. It kind of reminds me a little bit of at Tee Higgins, like a more explosive vertical receiver than you think. I really like this guy, and I just want to call attention to him here.
Match-up against the Titans in this spot-- you know, a secondary that's been a little hit or miss. I think Collins can rip off a couple of big plays on dig routes and stuff like that. So a bit of a random pull there, Minty. But I like Nico Collins here.
MINTY BETS: Love it. It was definitely a name I haven't heard much this season, but it's a really low total. And he's done phenomenal in all the games he's played in, so I actually really like that over.
MATT HARMON: Let's go, Nico Collins high. Let's stand up. All right.