Mad Bets: NFL Conference Championship Best Bets

Minty Bets, Jared Quay & Matt Gothard give their picks for the AFC Championship between Bills vs. Chiefs and the NFC Championship between Buccaneers vs. Packers.

Video Transcript

MINTY BETS: Its conference championship weekend, everyone. I'm here with my "Mad Bets" crew, and we're here to give you our best bets. Let's start with the AFC as the Kansas City Chiefs hosted the Buffalo Bills. Now, the, Chiefs playing 2 and 1/2 at home, and the total is set at 53 and a 1/2. Jared, let's start with you. What's your pick?

JARED QUAY: Oh, man, the Bills did handle business against the Ravens, so they are an amazing team. But I'm going with the Chiefs minus 2 and 1/2 here. I think they should easily dominate at home. They've been here before. They have the big weapons. I think this game is gonna be a high-scoring game because both do have good offenses.

But I just think that the Chiefs are bigger and bigger games at home field advantage will create something, because Bill Mafia, they're a loud roar. But I feel like in the playoffs, these teams do these cool things, where they, like, limit tickets to other teams. So there's only been, like, 50 tables broken not like 1,000. So I'm taking the Chiefs minus 2 and 1/2.

MINTY BETS: All righty. Matt, what's your pick?

MATT GOTHARD: I like the Chiefs in this one, too. It's hard to see picking the Bills in this. But I think if you like the Chiefs, you've got to take them right now. It's minus 2 and 1/2. I think Patrick Mahomes is practicing a lot this week. So once it's official that he's gonna be playing, that line is gonna move when the public hits it. So if you like the Bills, maybe wait on it. But I like the Chiefs minus 2 and 1/2 at that number.

MINTY BETS: I have yet to get this one. This one's a little iffy for me. But I think I'll take the Bills plus 2 and a 1/2. I will wait until they officially announced Patrick Mahomes as a starter so I can get a better number.

It's hard to bet against the Chiefs. But the Bills are 4 and 0 against the spread on the road. They're 9 and 1 against the spread their last 10 overall. And we know the Chiefs have a hard time covering as they have not covered in eight of their last nine.

Again, hard to bet against the Chiefs at home. I think they win. But the Bills cover here.

JARED QUAY: Gothard, what number would you not take a Cheesehead if it goes up too much whenever you switching?

MATT GOTHARD: I don't want anything over 4 and 1/2.

JARED QUAY: OK, that's good. All right.

MINTY BETS: Let's move on to the NFC as the Green Bay Packers host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Packers are 3-and-1/2 point home favorite. And the total is set at 51 and 1/2. Matt, let's start with you.

MATT GOTHARD: Well, I like the Packers in this. So I'm gonna take the Packers minus 3 and 1/2. But I'm gonna give a little PSA out there for anybody that thinks the Bucs are gonna win this game. Do not bet the Bucs money line right here. It's the worst bet you could possibly make.

Instead, bet the Bucs plus 450 to win the Super Bowl. If you think the Bucs are somehow going to beat the Packers, take the plus 450. You're gonna have so many hedge opportunities with Tom Brady up against whoever in the Super Bowl game. So if you think the Bucs are gonna win, take them to win the Super Bowl not to win this game. I like the Packers minus 3 and 1/2, though. I think that they-- they will roll in this game.

MINTY BETS: All righty. Jared?

JARED QUAY: Yeah. You just make the people ruin their money because I think the Packers gonna win, too. And it's like y'all put the Super Bowl bet in and now it didn't hit. The Buccaneers beat the Packers pretty bad last time. So therefore, I think the Packers gonna have a better game plan going into this game.

Also home field advantage will help because this is a team that plays in pretty warm weather, going into the freezing cold Lambeau Field. And I think Aaron Rodgers in this GOAT versus GOAT game has much more to prove by beating Tom Brady than Tom Brady does having to prove to beat Aaron Rodgers. And that's enough for me to go with that.

I think Aaron Rodgers has a game of his life. I think the Packers win by more than 3 and 1/2. I'm taking it.

MINTY BETS: I love it. OK. It is a sweep, guys. I also like the Packers minus 3 and 1/2 here. Their offense is just too crazy to contain. If they can limit turnovers and they can get ahead of the Bucs and not let their foot off the gas late in the game, I think they can win and cover here.

We've seen Tom Brady at a slow decline. I mean, he's got a great receiving corps but unable to utilize it because he can't throw the ball deep anymore. This ground game isn't that dominant. And although Tom Brady is used to playing in the tundra, this entire team might not be. So I think they can struggle here. I think Packers win by more than a field goal, more than a touchdown. So Packers minus 3 and 1/2 is my pick as well.

JARED QUAY: Boom, clean sweep.

MATT GOTHARD: Go, Pack, go. Go, Pack, go.

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