Minty Bets, Pamela Maldonado, and Ariel Epstein break down which NFL teams that are winless against the spread can cover in Week 3.
MINTY BETS: Welcome to "Mad Bets," everyone. I am Minty Bets. And joining me are Ariel Epstein and Pam Maldonado. Entering week three, we're seeing several teams still winless against the spread. So I want to know from you guys who you're taking to cover this week for the first time. Ariel, let's start with you.
ARIEL EPSTEIN: The team that I'm picking to cover for the first time all year, Cincinnati Bengals, minus 4 and 1/2 on the road at the New York Jets. This is going against my season long bet for the under 10 wins on the Bengals win total. It pains me, yet the Bengals, as much as I want them to be this bad, aren't this bad. It's a good get right spot.
They just faced a really tough defensive front in Dallas. I don't see the Jets defensive front applying that much pressure on the quarterback for the Bengals' Joe Burrow. The offensive line struggles, which is why Burrow has been sacked a ton already this season. The Jets aren't going to do that.
The Jets also are not great against the run. Last week, the Jets allowed over 100 yards on the ground to the Cleveland Browns. The week before that, the Baltimore Ravens don't have their running backs yet. So I'm not really using the Ravens as a scale for the run defense of the Jets. Now you're going to get a running back, like Joe Mixon for the Bengals, who is so versatile, can catch the football, run with the football. He can attack this Jets run defense that was bottom 10 last year in rushing yards allowed.
The road game doesn't scare me either, because the Bengals were 9-2 against the spread on the road last year. I'll take the Bengals here against the Jets, who just upset the Cleveland Browns last week. They're coming off a high. Minus 4 and 1/2, Cincinnati.
MINTY BETS: All right. Pam, who you got?
PAMELA MALDONADO: Ariel, this is not an attack on you and your Baltimore Ravens team, but I am fading them, backing the winless against the spread New England Patriots, plus 3 at home. Now Lamar Jackson looked absolutely stellar last week. He went completely nuclear against the Miami Dolphins. 119 rushing yards, over 300 yards passing, 3 touchdowns.
It was a damn near perfect game. But why has Lamar Jackson looked so dang good? Because he hasn't been pressured. Number one in protection rate, but is that a bit of a flawed stat, because he's only thrown four passes under pressure? Both teams that Baltimore has faced in the Jets and the Dolphins, bottom of the league for applying quarterback pressure. New England, top 10 in sacks.
This is going to be Jackson's first true test, and as you mentioned, he doesn't have his running backs to kind of help him along. The Baltimore defense, last in the league. 82% of the yardage allowed by Baltimore has come via passing. Over 300 yards to Joe Flacco. Nearly 500 yards to Tua Tagovailoa.
Now Mac Jones has played back-to-back road games in Miami and Pittsburgh. That is a really tough back-to-back stretch. He gets the league's worst passing defense in his home opener. I love the Patriots plus 3 at home to the Ravens.
MINTY BETS: OK.
ARIEL EPSTEIN: Paining me.
MINTY BETS: I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders, guys. Now yes, they looked awful last week against the Cardinals, allowing them to come back in the fourth quarter and win in overtime. They made a lot of mistakes, but throughout week 1 and 2, they showed a lot of life.
Compared to the Titans, they kind of look all over the place. Not to mention, they're kind of coming off a shorter week. The Raiders are the better team here, in my opinion, and I think they can cover the 2 and 1/2 points.
To recap our picks. Ariel's on the Bengals. Pam is going with the Patriots. And I'm going with the Raiders. Bet $10 and win $100 when you wager on any event. Sign up at BetMGM.com/YahooSpecial. New customers only. Must be 21 or older.