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Updated game-by-game win percentages for Wisconsin football after its loss to Washington State

The Wisconsin Badgers fell to 1-1 on the season with a 31-22 loss to Washington State on Saturday.

The game somewhat mirrored the loss to the Cougars last season, as the Badgers were likely the better team on the field yet struggled with mistakes, turnovers and an overall lack of consistency.

The loss pumps the breaks on what the team can accomplish this season. While the team is 0-0 in Big Ten play, it’s clear improvement is needed before they’re again considered favorites to win the Big Ten West.

Related: Five stats that defined Wisconsin’s loss to Washington State

As you can expect, Wisconsin’s projected winning percentages took a hit with the loss to Washington State. Here is how the rest of the season is projected:

Week 3 vs. Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern coach Clay Helton watches the team during the Eagle’s first spring practice on Saturday March 25, 2023 at Paulson Stadium. Credit: Richard Burkhart/Savannah Morning News-USA TODAY NETWORK
Georgia Southern coach Clay Helton watches the team during the Eagle’s first spring practice on Saturday March 25, 2023 at Paulson Stadium. Credit: Richard Burkhart/Savannah Morning News-USA TODAY NETWORK

Matchup predictor: 83.2% Wisconsin wins (down from 88.9%)

Date: Sept. 16

Georgia Southern FPI Rank: No. 77

Georgia Southern’s 2023 record: 2-0

Week 4 at Purdue

<a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/purdue/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Purdue Boilermakers;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Purdue Boilermakers</a> quarterback Hudson Card (1) breaks the tackle of <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/fresno-st/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Fresno State Bulldogs;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Fresno State Bulldogs</a> linebacker Levelle Bailey (6) during the NCAA football game, Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023, at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Ind. Fresno State Bulldogs won 39-35. Credit: Alex Martin/Journal and Courier-USA TODAY NETWORK
Purdue Boilermakers quarterback Hudson Card (1) breaks the tackle of Fresno State Bulldogs linebacker Levelle Bailey (6) during the NCAA football game, Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023, at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Ind. Fresno State Bulldogs won 39-35. Credit: Alex Martin/Journal and Courier-USA TODAY NETWORK

Matchup predictor: 60.9% Wisconsin wins (down from 72.7%)

Date: Sept. 22 (Friday)

Purdue FPI Rank: No. 59

Purdue’s 2023 record: 1-1

Week 5 (BYE)

Sep 10, 2022; Madison, <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/wisconsin/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Wisconsin;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Wisconsin</a>, USA; Wisconsin Badgers logo on a flag prior to the game against the <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/washington-st/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Washington State Cougars;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Washington State Cougars</a> at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 10, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers logo on a flag prior to the game against the Washington State Cougars at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 vs. Rutgers

Sep 3, 2023; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/rutgers/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Rutgers Scarlet Knights;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Rutgers Scarlet Knights</a> head coach Greg Schiano before the game against the <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/northwestern/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Northwestern Wildcats;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Northwestern Wildcats</a> at SHI Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 3, 2023; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights head coach Greg Schiano before the game against the Northwestern Wildcats at SHI Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 72.3% Wisconsin wins (down from 89.4%)

Date: Oct. 7

Rutgers FPI Rank: No. 54

Rutgers’ 2023 record: 2-0

Week 7 vs Iowa

Nov 12, 2022; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; A general view of Kinnick Stadium before the game between the <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/iowa/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Iowa Hawkeyes;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Iowa Hawkeyes</a> and the Wisconsin Badgers. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 12, 2022; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; A general view of Kinnick Stadium before the game between the Iowa Hawkeyes and the Wisconsin Badgers. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 53.7% Wisconsin wins (down from 69.6%)

Date: Oct. 14

Iowa FPI Rank: No. 34

Iowa’s 2023 record: 2-0

Week 8 at Illinois

Sep 2, 2023; Champaign, <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/illinois/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Illinois;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Illinois</a>, USA; <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/illinois/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Illinois Fighting Illini;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Illinois Fighting Illini</a> quarterback Luke Altmyer (9) runs the ball against the Toledo Rockets during the second half at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 2, 2023; Champaign, Illinois, USA; Illinois Fighting Illini quarterback Luke Altmyer (9) runs the ball against the Toledo Rockets during the second half at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 57% Wisconsin wins (down from 62.1%)

Date: Oct. 21

Illinois FPI Rank: No. 53

Illinois’ 2023 record: 1-1

Week 9 vs Ohio State

Ohio State’s Kyle McCord (6) throws during the second half of the <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/indiana/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Indiana;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Indiana</a> versus Ohio State football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023. Credit: Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times-USA TODAY NETWORK
Ohio State’s Kyle McCord (6) throws during the second half of the Indiana versus Ohio State football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023. Credit: Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times-USA TODAY NETWORK

Matchup predictor: 13.8% Wisconsin wins (down from 14.7%)

Date: Oct. 28

Ohio State FPI Rank: No. 2

Ohio State’s 2023 record: 2-0

Week 10 at Indiana

Sep 2, 2023; Bloomington, <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/indiana/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Indiana;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Indiana</a>, USA; <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/indiana/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Indiana Hoosiers;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Indiana Hoosiers</a> quarterback Brendan Sorsby (15) scrambles during the second half of the NCAA football game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana University Memorial Stadium. Ohio State won 23-3. Credit: Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch-USA TODAY NETWORK
Sep 2, 2023; Bloomington, Indiana, USA; Indiana Hoosiers quarterback Brendan Sorsby (15) scrambles during the second half of the NCAA football game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana University Memorial Stadium. Ohio State won 23-3. Credit: Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch-USA TODAY NETWORK

Matchup predictor: 64.3% Wisconsin wins (down from 72.2%)

Date: Nov. 4

Indiana FPI Rank: No. 66

Indiana’s 2023 record: 1-1

Week 11 vs Northwestern

Sep 3, 2023; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Northwestern Wildcats interim coach David Braun shakes hands with Northwestern Wildcats wide receiver Jack Kennedy (1) before the game at SHI Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 3, 2023; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Northwestern Wildcats interim coach David Braun shakes hands with Northwestern Wildcats wide receiver Jack Kennedy (1) before the game at SHI Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 73.9% Wisconsin wins (down from 82.5%)

Date: Nov. 11

Northwestern FPI Rank: No. 67

Northwestern’s 2023 record: 1-1

Week 12 vs Nebraska

Nov 19, 2022; Lincoln, <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/nebraska/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Nebraska;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Nebraska</a>, USA; Wisconsin Badgers quarterback Graham Mertz (5) looks to pass against the <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/nebraska/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Nebraska Cornhuskers;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Nebraska Cornhuskers</a> during the third quarter at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 19, 2022; Lincoln, Nebraska, USA; Wisconsin Badgers quarterback Graham Mertz (5) looks to pass against the Nebraska Cornhuskers during the third quarter at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 78% Wisconsin wins (up from 76%)

Date: Nov. 18

Nebraska FPI Rank: No. 69

Nebraska’s 2023 record: 0-2

Week 13 at Minnesota

Aug 31, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; <a class="link " href="https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaw/teams/minnesota/" data-i13n="sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link" data-ylk="slk:Minnesota Golden Gophers;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0">Minnesota Golden Gophers</a> running back Sean Tyler (2) runs the ball against the Nebraska Cornhuskers during the second quarter at Huntington Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports
Aug 31, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Golden Gophers running back Sean Tyler (2) runs the ball against the Nebraska Cornhuskers during the second quarter at Huntington Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 53.6% Wisconsin wins (down from 58.8%)

Date: Nov. 25

Minnesota FPI Rank: No. 49

Minnesota 2023 record: 2-0

Overall

Sep 10, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers fans cheer during the fourth quarter against the Washington State Cougars at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 10, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers fans cheer during the fourth quarter against the Washington State Cougars at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

FPI Rank: 35

Projected W-L: 7.2-5.2

% Chance…

  • Wisconsin wins out: 0.2

  • Six or more wins: 82.7

  • Win Big Ten West: 31.2

  • Win Big Ten: 4.8

  • Makes College Football Playoff: 0.1

  • Win National Title: 0.0

Story originally appeared on Badgers Wire